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John Murphy's Market Message

FALLING COMMODITIES ARE HURTING THE AUSSIE AND CANADIAN DOLLARS -- THAT'S HELPING BOOST THE DOLLAR -- BOND YIELDS AND COMMODITIES ARE LINKED -- AND ARE FALLING TOGETHER -- THAT WARNS OF GLOBAL ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH CONTINUED LOW INFLATION

by John Murphy

AUSSIE AND CANADIAN DOLLARS ARE TIED TO COMMODITIESTwo major events this past week have highlighted the need to view things from a global perspective. Mr  Read More

Art's Charts

The State of the Stock Market - Short and Long Term Breadth Signals

by Arthur Hill

Today I am going to dive into breadth by looking at two indicator groups used for short-term market timing and three indicator groups for long-term market timing. Most of you are familiar with these indicators: AD Percent, Up/Down Volume%, High-Low Percent and %Above 200-day EMA  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Three Tweets And You're OUT

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for August 1, 2019 Today's article will be very brief. The whole Fed deal and now another trade tweet. Really? Can we all just get along? It reminds me of that old Jackson 5 song, Rockin Robin (sing along if you'd like  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

This Chart Could Plummet!

by Greg Schnell

With the weakness accompanying the China trade deal, industrial metals have been getting weaker. This week, the chart of Teck Resources (TECK) turned down again and now looks ready to break to new two-year lows. The SCTR for the stock is at its lowest level in two years  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

BOND YIELDS PLUNGE TO NEW LOWS -- STOCK RALLY FADES ON CHINA TARIFF THREAT -- DOLLAR WEAKENS AS YEN AND GOLD REBOUND -- CRUDE OIL TUMBLES 7% -- FALLING YIELDS HURT FINANCIALS

by John Murphy

BOND YIELDS PLUNGEA threat of new tariffs on China starting September 1 is contributing to this afternoon's plunge in bond yields. And lower stock prices. Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury yield plunging 13 basis points to the lowest level since 2016  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

A RISING DOLLAR LOWERS U.S. INFLATION BY PUSHING COMMODITY PRICES LOWER -- FALLING EUROPEAN CURRENCIES ARE PUSHING THE DOLLAR HIGHER -- FALLING BOND YIELDS IN THE UK AND EUROZONE ARE PULLING TREASURY YIELDS DOWN -- 10-YEAR BOND YIELD DROPS BELOW 2.00% -- WHILE STOCKS ARE ON A STRONG NOTE

by John Murphy

A RISING DOLLAR IS KEEPING COMMODITY INFLATION DOWNOne of the reasons given by the Fed for lowering rates yesterday was to boost inflation. But the dollar hit the highest level in a year right after the rate cut  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

BHGE Rapidly Improving and Ready to Jump

by Julius de Kempenaer

Here's a Relative Rotation Graph filled with stocks that I got off my StockCharts.com dashboard this morning: Your Dashboard is a great way to get an overview of what's going on in the market and organize your workflow on the site  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Fed Lowers Rates, But Creates Utter Confusion; Thanks For Nothing

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, July 31, 2019 To say that this current Fed is transparent would be the equivalent of saying I'm a marine biologist (a Seinfeldism for those of you that are fans)  Read More

Muscular Investing

Benoit Mandelbrot, Father of Fractals, Explains Why Volatility is Not Your Friend

by Brian Livingston

Many investors think big up and down moves in the market are good for profits. Actually, crazy days are indicators of corrections and bear markets  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Guest Jake Bernstein Trading Rules

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols  Read More

DecisionPoint

Monthly Chart Review | SELL Signals on Major Indexes | Double-Top on SPX

by Erin Swenlin

While the Fed didn't do anything unexpected, market participants were not excited about the language of Chairman Powell. The 10-minute bar chart below shows the spike in volume that finished the day, which is the biggest volume finish in the past two weeks  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

STOCKS SELL OFF AFTER QUARTER POINT RATE CUT -- DOLLAR INDEX HITS NEW HIGH FOR THE YEAR WHICH PUSHED GOLD LOWER -- A RISING DOLLAR MAKES IT HARDER FOR THE FED TO BOOST INFLATION

by John Murphy

STOCKS WEAKENStocks sold off on today's Fed accouncement. Or, more accurately, during the press conference afterwards based on some confusing responses from Jerome Powell regarding the reasons for today's rate cut, or whether more cuts are coming  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle July 30, 2019

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes: Sold long SPX on 7/22/19 at 2985.07= small gain; Long 7/17/19 at 2984.42. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 1/29/19 at 21.96. Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes: Sold SPX 7/5/19 & 2990.41= gain 2.63%  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Traders Await Fed, Apple Blows Away Estimates

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, July 30, 2019 For a second straight day, traders opted for safety ahead of today's FOMC policy statement. It was once again apparent in the sector leaderboard, which ended the session on Tuesday as follows: Industrials (XLI, +0  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

The Fed, Treasury Yields, Housing and a Bullish Continuation Pattern

by Arthur Hill

After an extended tightening cycle, the Fed is set to lower rates for the first time since December 2008 (yawn)  Read More

Muscular Investing

Traits the Best Investment Strategies Have in Common

by Brian Livingston

To gain our trust, an investing strategy needs more than one or two things going for it. It must meet the real criteria that serious investors demand. • Individual traders often don’t write down all of the features they expect before adopting a trading strategy  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

A Retail REIT Makes Fresh New Highs

by Greg Schnell

I must admit, when I see a retail REIT hitting new highs, I can't help but be pessimistic. However, after going to the website and checking out what they have going on, I think I can get my head around the multi-use buildings and why this REIT could keep going  Read More

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Martin Pring's Market Roundup

Tricky Dollar Is Still In A Bull Market

by Martin Pring

Defining a Bull or Bear Market Using a Two-Way Test Applying the Test to the Dollar The Euro and the Pound Defining a Bull or Bear Market Using a Two-Way Test Technical Analysis is an art form, one in which we put together several reasonably reliable indicators and form a weight-  Read More

Muscular Investing

How to Evaluate an Investment Strategy

by Brian Livingston

Investors have mental lists of desirable traits when looking for investing strategies they can live with. We can profit by firming up those qualities. • Some people say they simply want whatever strategy will make the most profits  Read More

The Mindful Investor

The First Chart of the Day

by David Keller

What was the first chart you looked at today? Was it for a stock that you read about in a blog or the newspaper? Was it for a company that was mentioned in that e-mail newsletter you saw? Was it for one of your holdings that you’re concerned about? Whatever the case, the first ch  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

FOMC Meets, Will They Get It Right This Time?

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, July 29, 2019 I am not at all surprised by Wall Street's action on Monday  Read More

Art's Charts

All Time Highs, Sector Leadership, Wedges and Throwbacks

by Arthur Hill

This post will update some prior setups that are still working as we start the week. As noted in the State of the Stock Market on Friday, we are in a bull market right now and have been since mid February  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

The Stars Are Aligning; Look Out Above

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, July 26, 2019 Communication services (XLC, +2.86%) exploded higher on Friday, thanks in large part to a blowout quarterly earnings report from Alphabet (GOOGL, +9.62%) after the bell on Thursday  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Fastenal Reverses off Key Level with RSI Failure Swing

by Arthur Hill

Fastenal, an industrial staples company, is reversing off a key level with an RSI failure swing working. Never heard of that sector? Let me explain  Read More

RRG Charts

The Break to New Highs in the S&P 500 is Now Getting Support From Rotation To Offensive Sectors

by Julius de Kempenaer

In the run-up to its resistance level (around 2950), along with first two weeks after breaking that barrier while pushing to new highs, more defensive sectors like Utilities and Consumer Staples were leading the market higher  Read More

The Canadian Technician

Wrapped Up In A Bull Market

by Greg Schnell

It was another up week for the indexes, especially the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. $SPX was up 49 points, or 1.65%, while $NDX stormed higher on the back of Alphabet's earnings and their massive $25 billion buyback, surging 2.32%(!!!). Those are big numbers  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: NIFTY Critically Poised; Breaks Weekly Pattern Support, but Oversold on Short-Term Charts

by Milan Vaishnav

In the week before this past week, the NIFTY rested itself and took support on the lower rising trend line of the nine-month-long secondary channel that had been formed  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

My Philosophy: Creating Portfolios To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500

by Tom Bowley

That is my #1 goal. If I didn't believe I could beat the S&P 500, I'd simply buy the SPY (ETF that tracks the S&P 500) and call it a day. But I know I can beat the S&P 500 performance and you can too. Beginning in November 2018, I created my Model Portfolio  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

NASDAQ AND S&P 500 HIT NEW RECORDS -- SMALLER STOCKS AND TRANSPORTS HAVE A STRONG WEEK -- COMMUNICATIONS WERE WEEK'S TOP SECTOR -- BANKS LED FINANCIALS HIGHER -- KBW BANK INDEX MAY BE NEARING UPSIDE BREAKOUT -- EURO AND BRITISH POUND TOUCH TWO-YEAR LOWS -- A RISING DOLLAR IS MAKING THE FED'S JOB A LOT HARDER

by John Murphy

NASDAQ AND S&P 500 HIT NEW RECORDS SMALLER STOCKS AND TRANSPORTS STRENGTHEN Stocks ended the week on a strong note. Charts 1 and 2 show the Nasdaq Composite Index and the S&P 500 closing at record highs on Friday. A report showing 2  Read More

ChartWatchers

Paradise By The Dashboard Lights

by Greg Schnell

This week has been an interesting one for the transports. Transports traditionally include Railways, Trucking and Airlines, but, for the purposes of this article, we'll add the Autos in. First, let's take a look at the transports index  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Energy Starts To Leak Oil

by Greg Schnell

Crude Oil ($WTIC) continues to be a focal point for the world. With diminishing demand and a lack of investment in the mega-projects of the future, the mystery of oil continues  Read More

ChartWatchers

Emerging Leadership From Two Key Groups - On Your Mark, Get Set, TRADE!!!

by John Hopkins

With a new earnings season comes new leadership, and I'm already beginning to see a shifting of industry winds  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Three Uses of Relative Strength | What's Hot, What's Not | (07.26.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols  Read More

ChartWatchers

DP Bulletin! Negative Divergences on Major Indexes Flag an IT Decline

by Erin Swenlin

On today's DecisionPoint show, we looked at some of the intermediate-term analysis charts and found some disturbing negative divergences. Below are the charts you need to see  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP WEEKLY WRAP: While S&P 500 Index Makes Record Highs, Index Component New Highs Fade

by Carl Swenlin

The S&P 500 Index has been making all-time highs for over a month, but new highs for S&P 500 component stocks has been fading since the rally initiation spike in early-June. This indicates that participation is narrowing and that largest-cap stocks are doing most of the work  Read More

ChartWatchers

The MSCI All-World Stock Index is Testing its Early 2018 High

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, July 26th at 11:16am ET. Global stock indexes are once again testing overhead resistance barriers  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

Tom McClellan: Fed Needs a Half Point Cut Now, and More Soon

by Tom McClellan

The FOMC is expected to cut short-term interest rates at its upcoming July 30-31 meeting, but they probably will not cut as much as they need to. The FOMC is usually slow to do the right thing  Read More

ChartWatchers

Relative Strength Based on Price Action

by Arthur Hill

Price action is not everything, it’s the only thing. This is what Vince Lombardi might have said were he a trader or investor. Indicators are great for scans and sorting through hundreds of stocks, but nothing takes the place of price action  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

THE MSCI ALL-WORLD STOCK INDEX IS TESTING ITS EARLY 2018 HIGH -- ITS FOREIGN STOCK INDEX IS LAGGING WAY BEHIND -- AND IS TESTING RESISTANCE OF ITS OWN -- GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKERS ARE IN A NEW RACE TO PUSH HISTORICALLY LOW RATES EVEN LOWER -- WHAT ARE THEY GOING TO DO WHEN THE NEXT RECESSION HITS?

by John Murphy

ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX TESTS PREVIOUS HIGHGlobal stock indexes are once again testing overhead resistance barriers  Read More

The Traders Journal

140 New Reasons to Join the ChartPack Investing Ecosystem - ChartPack Update #24 (Q2, 2019)

by Gatis Roze

Once again, a big shout-out to our Tensile Trading ChartPack User community. This has become a sensational crowd-sourced collection of the best-of-the-best charts and ChartList organization. We’re all profiting handsomely from improving this collaborative investing tool  Read More