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Banks, Bonds, Cyber Security and On Trend

by Arthur Hill

XLF Shows a Little Leadership. Stocks to Watch in XLF. TLT Backs off Resistance. Two Cyber Security Stocks Bounce off Support. Ametek Ends Consolidation. Video Food for Thought. On Trend on Youtube. XLF Shows a Little Leadership The Financials SPDR (XLF) led the sector SPDRs on Tuesday with a .49% gain. One day of leadership does not a trend make, but I will consider  Read More

9/4 MWL Recap: DecisionPoint Monthly Report - "Monday" Set-Ups - Momentum Sleepers

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

TLT Looking More and More Bearish - PMO SELL Signal - IT and LT Head & Shoulders

by Erin Swenlin

There were some new developments on the 20-year Bond ETF (TLT) that are tipping the scales bearish. We were already noticing some problems for Bonds in general, but volatile trading had made it difficult to decipher. Today there is no denying the negative bias as both a Short-Term Trend Model Neutral signal and a Short-Term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signal triggered. The highly  Read More

The Nasdaq Exchange Tests A Breakout (NDAQ)

by Greg Schnell

The NASDAQ OMX Group (NDAQ) has consolidated recently for the last few months. For September it looks like it wants to start the month pushing for a break out to the upside. The SCTR shows the company holding in the top quartile. Relative Strength is still holding but closer to four month lows.  Like most parts of the market, the volume has been quieter lately, so I would  Read More

5 Monday Trade Setups As We Welcome In September

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, August 31, 2018 Friday's action was underscored by bifurcation.  The NASDAQ and small cap Russell 2000 turned in solid gains of +0.26% and +0.48%, respectively, while the Dow Jones ended the day in negative territory.  The S&P 500 was essentially flat.  Among sectors, consumer discretionary (XLY, +0.39%) thrived and technology (XLK, +0.08%) and  Read More

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US Stocks Take On Global Equities, Gold, Commodities And Bonds

by Martin Pring

US Equities versus the world Stocks versus Commodities Stocks and bonds Stocks compared to gold There are lots of seasonal reasons to be bearish on the stock market, such as September being the weakest month and mid-term election years having a downward bias. However, if you compare the S&P Composite to all other asset classes you come away with the unmistakable impression that stocks are  Read More

Just A Wiggle In Commodities 2018-08-31 Video

by Greg Schnell

Commodities wiggled this week. It wasn't very exciting to watch but it still suggests paying attention. Crude oil closed above the 50 day moving average, but some corresponding ETF's didn't rally with oil. XOP in the bottom panel traded sideways all week and closed marginally above the 50 day ma. While oil had a nice uptrend, XLE actually closed slightly lower than last week. I still like  Read More

Can Banks Rally For The Fourth Quarter?

by Greg Schnell

At one of the CMT Association meetings in NYC, I was given an interesting tip about the markets. The tip was that bank charts hold clues because bankers see everyone else's business success from the financial side. From this, it's never a bad idea to keep track of what the banks are doing. The reason I want to write about the bank charts this week is that multiple charts are at  Read More

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by John Murphy

STOCKS HAVE A STRONG AUGUST U.S. stocks had a strong August with the Nasdaq, S&P 500, Russell 2000, and Dow Transports hitting record highs. Technology, Consumer Cyclicals, and Healthcare saw the biggest percentage gains and hit record highs. The three weakest sectors were Energy, Materials, and Industrials. The Nasdaq had the month's biggest percentage gain at +5.7% and had the  Read More

Three Stocks To Bolster Your September Returns

by Tom Bowley

It's widely known that September historically has been a difficult month for U.S. equities.  Since 1950, the S&P 500 has risen during the month of September 30 times and moved lower 38 times.  It's the only calendar month where the bears have had long-term success.  The September annualized return of -5.58% is one of only two calendar months with negative annualized  Read More

Combining Relative Rotation Graphs and the (dynamic) yield curve tool

by Julius de Kempenaer

In one of my recent articles, I high lighted that Relative Rotation Graphs can do (much) more than just show equity sector rotation by showing how RRG can be used to analyze rotation among the different commodity groups against a broad commodity index.  Read More

When the Minority becomes the Majority - Weighting the Sectors

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 hit a new high in August, but only four of the ten sector SPDRs joined in on this high: the Consumer Discretionary SPDR, the Technology SPDR, the Health Care SPDR and the Real Estate SPDR. This suggests that the other six are lagging in some way shape or more. Even so, this is not a problem for the S&P 500 because the four that hit new highs account for  Read More

8/31 MWL Recap: Julius de Kempenaer Q&A on RRG - Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Weekly/Monthly Wrap: Is Another Parabolic Advance Beginning?

by Carl Swenlin

This week, as the market once again broke out of the cyclical bull market rising trend channel, it occurred to me that perhaps another parabolic advance was getting under way. On Wednesday I was a guest of Erin and Tom on MarketWatchers LIVE, and I gave a more detailed account of how my thinking developed on this matter. We don't have to search the data too deeply to give an example of what I  Read More

Climactic Indicators and Sentiment Suggest Weakness in Week Ahead

by Erin Swenlin

The market made new all-time highs this week, but with the upcoming holiday and short trading week, look for consolidation or continued sell-off. The indicators in the very short term and short term are suggesting a selling initiation. Add to that the highly bullish sentiment charts and it spells weakness in the week ahead. The ultra-short-term indicators of breadth and the VIX show declining  Read More

Late August Rebound in Foreign Stocks Helped Push U.S. Stocks to New Record

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Wednesday, August 29th at 12:33pm ET. Before leaving on vacation on August 15, I expressed concern about the fact that foreign stock ETFs were lagging too far behind the U.S. which could threaten the uptrend in the  Read More

Powerhouse Earnings Power Market Higher

by John Hopkins

Here's a fact: Traders gravitate towards companies that beat earnings expectations. Why? Because they know they are putting their money to work in companies that outperform. Here's another fact. MANY companies that report and beat earnings expectations often gap up - move higher - on positive news and ALWAYS (at some point) pullback to levels that make them attractive trading candidates. Here's  Read More

Bank Momentum Looks A Little Tepid

by Greg Schnell

The big banks have been wandering sideways lately. JP Morgan (JPM) spent the month trying to push to new highs. Today's price action looks a little tepid to close out the month. To review the indicators, there is a downtrend in relative strength in the shaded area. Price is stuck below the highs of the first quarter. While the volume looks weak, the bigger concern is the amount of red bars  Read More

If You Only Read One Blog This Year...Make It This One!

by Gatis Roze

After two conferences in the past three weeks (ChartCon 2018 and TSAA - San Francisco), it is abundantly clear that individual investors want to challenge my portfolio strategy. Therein lies the risk of 100% candid exposure on my holdings and investing approach. Rather than engaging in arm wrestling over whether my strategy is better than your strategy, I've decided to outline my portfolio very  Read More