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Dancing with the Trend

What We Know That Isn't So

by Greg Morris

Investment-Related "Believable" Misinformation Makes Successful Investing Hard Work Exceptional discipline and objectivity will keep you from falling victim to short-term emotion and chasing something new, even though you know your long-term methods are sound.  The uncertainty of the market requires a methodology that allows you to participate in most of the good times and  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Late Afternoon Buying Does Little For NASDAQ Shares

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, June 3, 2019 I've had lots of positives for software stocks the past few years, but yesterday we saw a rare short-term breakdown that will test the mettle of traders.  The Dow Jones U.S. Software Index ($DJUSSW, -3.17%) joined internet stocks ($DJUSNS, -6.23%) to lead a stampede of selling in the high octane growth stocks found on the NASDAQ 100 ($NDX, -2.10%) and  Read More

The Canadian Technician

Faang Goes Bang! $FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL

by Greg Schnell

Big names fell big on Monday. In particular, the large tech names tumbled in unison on what proved to be a miserable day in the technology sector. Facebook got a face wash, finishing down 26% from the highs. The 2018 high has the chart looking messy, down a long way from the highs of 2018. The SCTR is leaking substantially and the uptrend in the relative strength is broken  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/3 MWL: Monday Setups with Greg Schnell - Earnings Spotlight with John Hopkins - DP Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Hexcel Bucks the Selling and Holds the Break Zone

by Arthur Hill

May was a tough month for the broad market indexes and nine of the eleven sectors. Only the Utilities SPDR and Real Estate SPDR advanced in May as the other nine sectors fell. Stocks that closed higher in May bucked some serious selling pressure and could be worth a second look. Hexcel (HXL) is one such stock because it advanced in May and even hit a new high in late May. The chart shows the  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Don't Gamble On This Industry In June

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, May 31, 2019 The U.S. stock market was in no mood for any negative surprises, yet it received one when President Trump slapped a 5% tariff on all products from Mexico (effective June 10th) to try to control illegal immigration.  While it may seem as a minor tariff, President Trump promised to increase those tariffs periodically.  After all the back and forth  Read More

The Canadian Technician

May Month-End Trauma - Market Roundup

by Greg Schnell

After April closed near the highs, May reversed a lot of good work on many exchanges around the world. I want to start with those that are bullish, as they really have me puzzled. Australia, Brazil and Russia, in particular, have made higher highs or held up; Canada, to a certain extent, has not dropped precipitously. Russia and Australia both had the highest monthly  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: Markets May Face Broader Technical Headwinds; Volatility Likely To Resurface

by Milan Vaishnav

In yet another fairly eventful week, the Indian equity markets continued to digest the general elections fully, ending with a violent reaction to the portfolio allocation of the new set of cabinet ministers. After witnessing a 420-point trading range while marking incremental highs on a closing basis, the headline index NIFTY ended with net gains of 78.70 points (+0.66%) on the  Read More

ChartWatchers

Dissecting the Dow - New IT Price Momentum Oscillator SELL Signal

by Erin Swenlin

This week, all four of the Scoreboard indexes (SPX, OEX, NDX, Dow) switched to IT Trend Model Neutral signals. This is just added insult to injury, given the ST Neutral and SELL signals that posted earlier this month. Today, the Dow lost its IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signal. This occurs when the PMO crosses below its signal line on the  weekly chart, as  Read More

ChartWatchers

Gold - Something To Love?

by Greg Schnell

As I have mentioned in the last three Market Roundup shows (which you can find here on the  StockCharts YouTube channel), the Gold-related charts have been setting up for weeks now. Friday's price action to close out the month looks like an initiation move that has more room to run. While that is hard to  Read More

ChartWatchers

Strong Earnings can Fuel a Portfolio

by John Hopkins

The market has been under fire for some time now as uncertainty abounds. Even a lot of stocks that had earlier reported strong earnings haven't been able to escape the recent market turmoil. However, there are also many stocks that have held up quite well, outperforming the market and reminding us that strong earnings DO matter. As an example, we recently conducted a webinar that  Read More

The Traders Journal

The Best of Breed Methodology: Stage 4 - A Significant Enhancement

by Gatis Roze

A quarter century of investing yields one paramount conclusion. Venture capitalists have known this forever. Professional sports teams as well. Investors have been a little slower on the uptake. Venture capitalists will tell you that if you invest in one company like Netflix, Salesforce or Google, it will make up for an awful lot of losers. The New England Patriots know that drafting one Tom  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP WEEKLY/MONTHLY WRAP: Intermediate-Term Trend Model Back to NEUTRAL from BUY

by Carl Swenlin

Today the SPY 20EMA crossed down through the 50EMA and the IT Trend Model for SPY changed from BUY to NEUTRAL. As usual, this signal is an information flag to encourage us to take a closer look at the situation. In this case, the price breakdown is associated with a double top, and is quite similar to the NEUTRAL signal generated in October. We cannot know the future, but it is hard not to  Read More

ChartWatchers

Key Moving Average Rolls Over for S&P 500

by Arthur Hill

The 200-day moving averages for the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and the S&P Small-Cap 600 are already trending lower and this key moving average for the S&P 500 turned lower over the past week. This puts all three indexes below their falling 200-day SMAs and in potential downtrends. Chartists can use moving averages to determine the trend in at least two ways. First, the trend is up when price  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

The 40 Week Moving Average Turns Down Again $SPY

by Greg Schnell

The SPY is a tracking ETF for the S&P 500. What that means is that SPY represents the price action of the $SPX; in fact, it actually outperforms the $SPX, as investors holding the SPY also get the dividends. The rising purple area chart below shows the SPY outperforming the $SPX, which is due to the dividend. Looking at the weekly RSI, we have dipped below 50, which is bearish. In bull  Read More

ChartWatchers

There's a Reason Why Banks and Energy Stocks are Falling Together - And That Reason May be Falling Oil Prices

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, May 31st at 11:14am ET. Energy stocks are one of the weakest parts of the market. So are bank stocks. There may be a reason why. The black bars in Chart 7 shows the Energy SPDR (XLE)  Read More

Members Only

Market Message

THREAT OF MEXICAN TARIFFS PUSHES GLOBAL STOCKS LOWER -- 200-DAY AVERAGES ARE BEING BROKEN

by John Murphy

200-DAY AVERAGES ARE BEING BROKEN The threat of tariffs on Mexican imports is rattling global markets today. And more technical damage is being done. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials falling below their March low near 25,200. That puts the Dow at the lowest level since late January. Chart 2 shows the Nasdaq Composite Index trading below its 200-day  Read More

Members Only

Art's Charts

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Bearish Evidence Proliferates

by Arthur Hill

Key Moving Average Turns Lower. Mid-caps Trigger Bearish Breadth Signal. Small-caps Lead New Low Expansion. Four New Signals on Sector Table. Risk Aversion Indicators Surge. Treasury Bonds Extend Surge. Consumer Discretionary Sector Breaks Down. Oil Extends Decline. Gold Forms a Bull Wedge. Art's Charts ChartList Update. Stocks are short-term oversold as the S&P 500 flirts with its  Read More