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DP Bulletin: SPX and OEX New BUY Signals - Beware Outside Reversal Days

Erin Swenlin

Erin Swenlin

Co-Founder, DecisionPoint.com

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Two items I need to call your attention to. First, the PMOs crossed their signal lines on the SPX and OEX to trigger ST PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator) BUY signals. The Dow's PMO is stubbornly staying below its signal line, but that should disappear tomorrow given it's only two hundredths of a point away. That brings up item number two. I noticed clear outside reversal bars on all but the Dow.



Below are the charts for the SPX and OEX. I've also added the NDX to point out the clear outside reversal bars. This is similar to an engulfing candle, but the high on the second day must be higher than the previous day's and the low on the second day must be lower than the previous day's. The Dow didn't technically show an outside reversal day because today's low isn't lower than yesterday's. At first blush, I felt it ominously occurred after gaps up on breakouts from bullish flags and could show island reversals. However, the charts show that we could be looking at an island reversal on the Dow, but the others pretty much closed their gaps. We also see they are holding support along the declining tops lines of the flags. Should that support break down, I'd be looking for a continuation of lower prices in the short term.


Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Erin's PMO Scan

DecisionPoint Shared ChartList and DecisionPoint Chart Gallery

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)

ITBM and ITVM

SCTR Ranking


 

Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

Happy Charting!
- Erin


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Erin Swenlin
About the author: is a co-founder of the DecisionPoint.com website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at StockCharts.com. Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master's degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor's degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California. Learn More