Orderly Bull

Jaroslaw Jac Rank: 95 Followers: 6 Votes: 2 Years Member: 5 Last Update: 28 January 2015, 17:42 Categories: Chart Patterns
Market Timing
Support / Resistance Lines

1/20/15 On doors, volcanos and laxatives.

Periodic comments here: http://orderly-bull-companion-blog.blogspot.com/

This chart list is intended to monitor the bull market's progress relying on simple charting (for clarity), intermarket analysis and the gut feeling. My objective is to keep an eye on the Big Picture, stay put when it is justified, try to pick optimal investment choices and entry points, and to revamp portfolio when major turns are apparent or appear to be imminent.

A cyclical bull market has been in progress since the March 2009 panic low. I am expecting it to exhibit typical behavior of a cyclical bull of the secular inflationary period with preserved inter-market relationships. (Please refer to John Murphy's work on intermarket analysis for in-depth explanations)

A cursory look at the last cluster of cyclical bulls and bears that happened in the second-half of 1960s and throughout 1970s can give us some rough idea what can we expect in the terms of the course and duration of the bull runs.

Each of the cyclical bulls consisted of 2 upward phases separated by a pullback/consolidation.
First rally lasting approximately 1 year, multi-month consolidation and second rally for about 1 year (more variable).


0.000000211 Russell 2000 2010-11

0.000000218 RUT 1y

0.000004815 VIX fix

0.000004817 VIX the fear-o-meter

0.00001311 Daily DAX

0.00001312 Funny monies DAX

0.00001313 German Way

0.00001331 Cheap and slightly used only

0.000013542 Wisdom or something else?

0.00001786 Frank and Yen, two pals they were

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