= 070 Daily Indicator (Trend) Review

Lawrence Stanczak Rank: 58 Followers: 13 Votes: 28 Years Member: 11 Last Update: 31 August 2014, 11:49 Categories: Trend Analysis
Market Timing
Support / Resistance Lines

Long Term: Bullish / Intermediate Term: Bullish / Short Term: Bullish
The purpose of this list is to assess market trend and risk using Intermarket analysis of Commodities; Currencies; Bonds; and Stocks as well as Risk Appetite (VIX, CPC, Rato Studies, etc) and Foreign Markets. Nomenclature: Intermediate Trend (IT): 3 or more Months; Short Term (ST) generally 3 days to 3 weeks.

Version 2 has some added charts and has been restructured to make it easier to navigate to only those studies of interest. The series from 000 to 400 are relationship studies and 500 to 700 are candlestick charts of major indexes and ETF's. 000 - Commentary & Macro view; 100 - Commodities; 200 - Currencies; 300 - Bonds; 400 - Stocks; 500 - Candle Charts for Commodities, Currencies and Bonds; 600 - Domestic Stock Indexes; 700 - Foreign Stock ETFs.

How I use it: I review the entire series before the open and after the close. Once acquainted with the relationships in play I keep an eye on the candle components using the summary view during the trading day.

The purpose of this list is to make macro level calls I may cite trades I have put on or am considering as examples. These are not recommendations as that engenders a different series of charts and analysis.
I welcome all feedback, questions and recommendations. I am very open minded and enjoy the discourse as it helps me continually improve this list and my analysis.

Less

000 Commentary

8/29/14 Levels to Be Aware of:

2023 - Weekly R3
2009/2014 - Weekly R1 and R2
2005 - Last Week High; All Time High (8/26/14)

2003 - Last Week Close; All Time Closing High (8/29/14)

2000 - Round Number; Weekly PP
1991/1994 - Last Week Low; 10 DMA; Weekly S1
1980/1985 - Prior Resistance; Weekly S3 and S2
1971 - Monthly PP
1963/1966 - 20 and 50 DMA
1950 - Prior Resistance
1937 - Monthly S1
1931 - Jul 2014 Low; 100 DMA
1916 - Jun 2014 Low
1900/1905 - Round Number; 150 DMA; Aug 2014 Low
1879/1880 - 200 DMA (close 6.6% above); Prior Resistance
1860/1871 - May 2014 Low; Monthly S2
1834/1837 - Mar 2014 Low; Monthly S3
1814 - Apr 2014 Low
1800/1805 - Round Number; 10% below 2005 High
1768/1770 - Dec 2013 Low; Jan 2014 Low
1754 - 38% Retracement of rally from Nov 2012 Low

010 Correlations: TNX, SPX, CRB, USD Daily

Intermarket Relationships
- US Dollar and Commodities trend in opposite directions
- Bond prices and Commodities trend in opposite directions
- Bond prices and Stocks are inversely correlated
- Bond Yields and Stocks trend in the same direction
- Stocks and Commodities are correlated
At tops, the typical rotation is Bond Yields peak first, Stocks second and commodities last. This order is less reliable at bottoms.

112 CRB, SPX Daily

131 WTIC, USD (SPX) Daily

141 GOLD (GDX) Daily

150 Industrial Commodities/Gold Ratio Daily

151 COPPER, USD (SPX) Daily

202 USD, CRB (SPX) Daily

232 Risk Currencies/Yen Ratio Daily

310 SPY:TLT (SPY) Ratio Weekly

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