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Analysis of Market Direction ... Timing is everything!

Marc Slavin Author is a PRO memberHas Had Over 300 Followers Rank: 6 Followers: 319 Votes: 429 Years Member: 8 Last Update: 9 March 2014, 16:32 Categories: Trend Analysis
ETFs
Swing Trading

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07Mar14 - Using the Bullish Percent Index, charts 0200 to 0280 give the 9 Sectors that are currently Bullish.
04Mar14 - Easing tensions Bullish for stocks; the $VIX may soon return to Bearish territory (see Chart 0021).
03Mar14 - Please take note: The intraday $VIX has become Bullish. This may not last the day but assuming it does, it is a Bearish sign (See Chart 0021).
02Mar14 - Geopolitical turmoil poses risk to stock market. I am watching the $VIX very closely. If the $VIX becomes Bullish it is a Bearish sign (See Chart 0021).

SHORT TERM (Days - The Ripples): 28Feb14 - Broken resistance at ~1850 becomes Support (see Chart 0003).
MEDIUM TERM (Weeks - The Waves): 14Feb14 - Neutral: Market action has erased signs of a Medium Term Correction (Chart 0006).
LONG TERM (Months - The Tide): 14Feb14 - Bullish: The 13 Month EMA remains well above the 34 Month EMA (Chart 0007).

07Mar14 - Market Strength = 60% based on the fact that of 80 non Leveraged, Liquid, High SCTR rated ETFs, 48 have a Score of +8.
06Mar14 - Market Strength = 77.5% based on the fact that of 80 non Leveraged, Liquid, High SCTR rated ETFs, 62 have a Score of +8.

James wrote:
'It is your site and commentary that has taken me to a different level of understanding how to trade.
Your organizational skills and selection of indicators have really help me understand how to time the market.'

Less

0000 - Current ETF Bullish & Bearish List - as of 07Mar14

As a general rule, the ETFs that I chart are ETFs whose performance is 'better than average' (Stock Charts Technical Rank > 70)
and whose Average Daily Volume exceeds 300,000.

Table of Contents:
0000 - 0099 General Market Direction (Page 1)
0100 - 0999 Performance Comparison of ETFs (0100 to 0140) and Bullish Sectors (0200 to 0260) (Page 4)
1000 - 1999 Highly Ranked ETFs, superior performance over time (Page 5)
2000 - 2999 International ETFs (Page 15)
3000 - 3999 Leveraged ETFs (Page 22)
4000 - 4999 For Your Information - General Interest. (Page 27)
5000 - 5999 Day Trade - Intraday Charts. (Page 29)
6000 - 6999 Short Term Daily (Page 39)
7000 - 7999 Medium Term Weekly (Page 40)
8000 - 8999 Long Term Monthly (Page 41)
9000 - 9999 Metal ETFs (Bonds and Others) (Page 41)

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0001 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day - Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day
Bull: Score 8 05Mar14
Bull: Score 5 03Mar14
Bull: Score 8 28Feb14
Bull: Score +7 21Feb14
Bull: Score +8 14Feb14
Bull: Score +4 11Feb14

From Bob: 'While I have traded for years using the discipline of charts,
your site has added greater precision and greater relevance to my trading process..
I am really indebted to you and very much appreciate the free service you provide.'

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0002 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look - Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look
Bull: Score 8 05Mar14
Bull: Score 5 03Mar14
Bull: Score 8 28Feb14
Bull: Score +7 21Feb14
Bull: Score +8 The S&P 500 is close to Resistance at around 1850. 14Feb14
Bull: Score +4 11Feb14

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0003 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day
Bull: Score 8 05Mar14
Bull: Score 5 03Mar14
Bull: Score 8 28Feb14
Bull: Score +7 21Feb14

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0004 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Support Zones
Bull: Score 8 05Mar14
Bull: Score 5 03Mar14
Bull: Score 8 28Feb14
Bull: Score +7 21Feb14

DeWayne wrote:
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0005 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -10 Day 1 Hr -Peak Inside- Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Intraday Chart - An intraday look (under the hood) for the last 10 Days
Bull: Score 8 05Mar14
Bull: Score 5 03Mar14
Bull: Score 8 28Feb14
Bull: Score +7 21Feb14

Mike wrote:
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0006 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 18 Mo Wk Med Term Bull: Score 4 (Was 2) 07Mar14

What is the Medium Term (Weekly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index?
Medium Term Neutral: Score +4 07Mar14
Medium Term Neutral: Score +2 28Feb14
Medium Term Neutral: Score +1 21Feb14
Medium Term Neutral: Score +2 14Feb14
Medium Term Neutral: Score -2 07Feb14

James wrote:
'I cannot begin to thank you enough for sharing your work. I've been trading for four years. Most of my understanding of technical analysis has come from books and Stockcharts.com. About a month ago I began to realize your work and your uncanny ability to assess market direction.
It is your site and commentary that has taken me to a different level of understanding how to trade. Your organizational skills and selection of indicators have really help me understand how to time the market.'

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0007 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 6 Yrs Mo - Long Term Bull: Score +8 (Was +6) 14Feb14

What is the Long Term (Monthly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index
Long Term Bullish (Score +8) 14Feb14
Long Term Bullish: Score +6 07Feb14
Long Term Bullish (Score +5) 31Jan14

From a reader:
'Great job -you charts help me a lot.
thank you'

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0008 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 2 Yr Day - Trend Lines - Room Twixt the Lines 18Feb14

Chart of the S&P 500 (the market) compared to the 2 Year Daily Raff Regression Trend Lines drawn to the 2013 December peak...
The same can be said for the distance to the Green Dotted Trend Line (More than 100 points) - 03Mar14
More than 100 points from where the market is now to the Red Dotted Trend Line - 18Feb14
Bounced off the Lower (Green Dotted) Trend Line - 06Feb14
Room between the dotted Trend Lines - 30Jan14
Room to move higher from beneath the Trend Line (Red dotted line) - 9Jan14

From a reader: 'I love your work . Your charts help me a lot to understand the market direction. I like the
comments on the charts. Thank you'

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0009 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -50 & 100 Day MA- Bull: Score 8 (Was 5) 05Mar14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 50 & 100 Day Moving Average
14Feb14 - The extremely rapid pace of this advance is very unlikely to continue. Pace of advance will probably slow.
11Feb14 - Above 50 Day Moving Average
03Feb14 - Below 100 Day Moving Average
24Jan14 - Under 50 Day Moving Average

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