Analysis of Market Direction ... Timing is everything!
  
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25 June 2017, 16:56
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24Jun17 - Renumbered Financials: XLF(1510), FXO(1510), KRE(1560), and KBE(1570) and Technology: QQQ(1810), XLK(1810), FDN(1820), and SMH(1830). |
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0001 - S&P 500 ($SPX) LONG TERM (Monthly) Bullish Monthly Trend Continues- 23Jun17
0001 - Question: What is the Long Term (Monthly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index?
23Jun17 - Bullish Monthly Trend Continues
(1) Plus: PMO(35,20,10) is Bullish
(2) Plus: Slow Stochastic is Overbought
(3) Plus: Williams %R is Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI is Overbought
(5) Plus: MFI is flat but remains very close to Overbought
(6) Plus: Ultimate Oscillator (ULT) is Overbought
16Jun17 - Bullish Monthly Trend Continues
(1) Plus: PMO(35,20,10) is Bullish
(2) Plus: Slow Stochastic is Overbought
(3) Plus: Williams %R is Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI is Overbought
(5) Plus: MFI is flat but remains very close to Overbought
(6) Plus: Ultimate Oscillator (ULT) is Overbought
09Jun17 - Bullish Trend Continues
(1) Plus: PMO(35,20,10) is Bullish
(2) Plus: Slow Stochastic is Overbought
(3) Plus: Williams %R is Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI is Overbought
(5) Plus: MFI is flat but remains very close to Overbought
(6) Plus: Ultimate Oscillator (ULT) is Overbought
02Jun17 - May Gain Maintains Bullish Trend
(1) Plus: PMO(35,20,10) is Bullish
(2) Plus: Slow Stochastic is Overbought
(3) Plus: Williams %R is Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI is Overbought
(5) Plus: MFI is flat but remains very close to Overbought
(6) Plus: Ultimate Oscillator (ULT) is Overbought
0002 - S&P 500 ($SPX) MEDIUM TERM (Weekly) Small Rise (0.21%)- RSI: Flat- Bull (4) 23Jun17
0002 - The MEDIUM TERM (Weekly) Trend of the S&P 500-
23Jun17 - Indicators Suggest Sideways Drift
(1) Neutral: RSI well above Neutral (50) but little changed
(2) Neutral: MACD, TSI, TRIX, and PPO are little changed
(3) Plus: AROON suggests Buyers continue to outnumber Sellers
(4) Plus: Full Stochastic Overbought, ULT rising
(5) Plus: The 'Long Term' Trend continues BULLISH (13 Week EMA ABOVE 34 Week EMA)
(6) Plus: ADX(14) and VTX(14) signal Weak Up Trend
16Jun17 - Momentum Indicators Are Mostly Bullish
(1) Plus: RSI well above Neutral (50) and slowly rising
(2) Neutral: MACD, TSI, TRIX, and PPO are flat
(3) Plus: AROON suggests Buyers continue to outnumber Sellers
(4) Plus: Full Stochastic Overbought, ULT rising
(5) Plus: The 'Long Term' Trend continues BULLISH (13 Week EMA ABOVE 34 Week EMA)
(6) Plus: ADX(14) and VTX(14) signal Up Trend
09Jun17 - Momentum Indicators Reflect Slow but Steady Rising Price
(1) Plus: RSI well above Neutral (50) and slowly rising
(2) Plus: MACD, TSI, TRIX, and PPO cross Bullish
(3) Plus: AROON remains high suggesting Buyers outnumber Sellers
(4) Plus: Full Stochastic Overbought, ULT rising
(5) Plus: The 'Long Term' Trend continues BULLISH (13 Week EMA ABOVE 34 Week EMA)
(6) Plus: ADX(14) and VTX(14) signal Up Trend
02Jun17 - Weak Momentum Indicators Reflect Slow Rate of Price Increase
(1) Plus: EMA of RSI(14) well above Neutral (50) and drifting higher
(2) Neutral: MACD, TSI, TRIX, and PPO are relatively flat
(3) Plus: AROON is high suggesting more Buyers than Sellers
(4) Plus: Full Stochastic Overbought, ULT rising
(5) Plus: The 'Long Term' Trend continues BULLISH (13 Week EMA ABOVE 34 Week EMA)
(6) Neutral: ADX(14) and VTX(14) signals Weak Up Trend
0003 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- RSI: Down- Neutral (0) 23Jun17
0003 - S&P 500 ($SPX) 6 Month Daily- SHORT TERM (Daily)
16Jun17- Indicators are weaker; VERY SHORT TERM market looks Flat
(1) Neutral: RSI(14) above 50 (Neutral Line) but drifting lower
(2) Neutral: MACD, TRIX, and PMO are Bullish but weaker, SLOPE crossed Bearish
(3) Plus: Full Stochastics and Slow Stochastics close to dropping below Overbought
(4) Plus: ROC and Chaikin Oscillator continue above 0
(5) Neutral: ULT suggests Buyer/Seller standoff
(6) Plus: The Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 over EMA 34)
(7) Plus: Long Term Indicator Special K continues Bullish
(8) Neutral: Vortex (VTX): suggests weakening Short Term Bull Trend
09Jun17- Indicators remain Bullish although Very Short Term market looks Flat
(1) Neutral: RSI(14) above 50 (Neutral Line) but drifting lower
(2) Plus: MACD, TRIX, and PMO continue Bullish, SLOPE rising
(3) Plus: Full Stochastics and Slow Stochastics remain Overbought
(4) Plus: ROC and Chaikin Oscillator continue above 0
(5) Neutral: ULT falling suggests increasing Selling pressure
(6) Plus: The Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 over EMA 34)
(7) Plus: Long Term Indicator Special K continues Bullish
(8) Plus: Vortex (VTX): suggests Short Term Bull Trend
02Jun17- Indicators Suggest Short Term Bullish Surge
(1) Plus: RSI(14) above 50 (Neutral Line) and rising
(2) Plus: MACD and PMO crossed Bullish, SLOPE rising
(3) Plus: Full Stochastics and Slow Stochastics are Overbought
(4) Plus: ROC and Chaikin Oscillator are above 0
(5) Plus: ULT suggests Buying pressure
(6) Plus: The Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 over EMA 34)
(7) Plus: Long Term Indicator Special K continues Bullish
(8) Plus: Vortex (VTX): suggests Bull Trend
0004 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- Market Well Above Support But Flat 23Jun17
0004 - Proxy for the Market, the S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Years Daily
23Jun17 - Less Bullish
(1) Plus: RSI is above 50
(2) Minus: MACD,TSI, and TRIX crossed Bearish
(3) Plus: SLOPE continues above 0
(4) Plus: ROC continues above 0
(5) Minus: MFI is Bearish (below 50 and falling)
(6) Neutral: Slow Stochastic below Overbought
(7) Neutral: ADX dropping and well below 20: Interpretation: No Trend
16Jun17 - Through the lens of Moving Averages: Less Bullish
(1) Plus: RSI EMA(20) is above 50
(2) Neutral: MACD,TSI, and TRIX are Bullish but weakening
(3) Plus: SLOPE EMA(20) is above 0
(4) Plus: ROC EMA(20) is above 0
(5) Neutral: MFI is just about 50
(6) Plus: Slow Stochastic are Overbought
(7) Neutral: ADX(14) dropping and below 20: Interpretation: No Trend
09Jun17 - Through the lens of Moving Averages: Bullish
(1) Plus: RSI EMA(20) is above 50
(2) Plus: MACD,TSI, and TRIX are Bullish
(3) Plus: SLOPE EMA(20) is above 0
(4) Plus: ROC EMA(20) is above 0
(5) Plus: MFI is above 50
(6) Plus: Slow Stochastic are Overbought
(7) Neutral: ADX(14) rising slowly but still below 20: Interpretation: Trend Uncertain
02Jun17 - Through the lens of Moving Averages: Bullish
(1) Plus: RSI EMA(20) is above 50
(2) Plus: Whiplash- MACD,TSI, and TRIX crossed Bullish
(3) Plus: SLOPE EMA(20) is above 0
(4) Plus: ROC EMA(20) is above 0
(5) Plus: MFI is above 50
(6) Plus: Whiplash- Slow Stochastic again Overbought
(7) Neutral: ADX(14) rising slowly but still below 20: Interpretation: Trend Uncertain
0005 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- Indicators Mostly Neutral- 23Jun17
0005 - S&P 500 ($SPX) 6 Month Day- SHORT TERM
23Jun17- Indicators: 4 Neutral, 1 Plus, 2 Minus
(1) Neutral: RSI(14) in slow decline
(2) Minus: MACD(12,26,9) crossed Bearish
(3) Neutral: SLOPE above 0 but slipping
(4) Minus: Full Stochastic and Slow Stochastics below Overbought and falling
(5) Neutral: ROC (Rate of Change) above 0 but slipping
(6) Plus: S&P 500 Medium Term Trend is Bullish: EMA(13) is above EMA(34)
(7) Neutral: VTX Neutral, ADX falling and signals no Trend
16Jun17- Indicators: 3 Neutral, 2 Plus, 2 Minus
(1) Neutral: RSI(14) in slow decline
(2) Minus: MACD(12,26,9) crossed Bearish
(3) Minus: SLOPE crossed below 0
(4) Plus: Full Stochastic Overbought but falling, Slow Stochastics below Overbought and falling
(5) Neutral: ROC (Rate of Change) falling
(6) Plus: S&P 500 Medium Term Trend is Bullish: EMA(13) is above EMA(34)
(7) Neutral: VTX Bullish but weakening, ADX falling and signals no Trend
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Rising Medium Term Trend: The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 13 Day (Green Line) is above the 34 Day (Red Line).
Signals: A Green Arrow is Bullish and a Red Arrow is Bearish.
MACD provides a fairly reliable indication of market direction. MACD crossovers generally signal when it is a good time to buy or sell.
CAUTION: MACD assumes that the market is trending. MACD is reliable when the market is in a Trend but can result in Whipsaws when the market is moving sideways.
Full Stochastic serves as an early warning indicator but is very sensitive and often there are false signals.
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0006 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM: Market Short Term Outlook: Neutral Again- 23Jun17
0006 - Proxy for the Market, the S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Months Daily
23Jun17 - S&P 500 SHORT TERM Indicators: Continue Neutral
(1) Minus: MACD(12,26,9) crossed Bearish
(2) Minus: Slow Stochastic below Overbought
(3) Neutral: On Balance Volume slowly dropping
(4) Plus: Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 Day is above EMA 34 Day)
(5) Neutral: ADX(14): no MEDIUM TERM Trend, ADX(7): no SHORT TERM Trend
(6) Neutral: VTX: No Short Term Trend
16Jun17 - S&P 500 SHORT TERM Indicators: Neutral
(1) Minus: MACD(12,26,9) crossed Bearish
(2) Neutral: Slow Stochastic just below Overbought
(3) Neutral: On Balance Volume slowly dropping
(4) Plus: Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 Day is above EMA 34 Day)
(5) Neutral: ADX(14): no MEDIUM TERM Trend, ADX(7): no SHORT TERM Trend
(6) Neutral: VTX: Weakening Short Term Bullish Trend
09Jun17 - S&P 500 SHORT TERM Indicators: Weakening Bull
(1) Neutral: MACD(12,26,9) Bullish but weakening
(2) Plus: Slow Stochastic above Overbought
(3) Neutral: On Balance Volume flat
(4) Plus: Medium Term Trend is Bullish (EMA 13 Day is above EMA 34 Day)
(5) Neutral: ADX(14): no MEDIUM TERM Trend, ADX(7): signals SHORT TERM Trend weakening
(6) Plus: VTX: Short Term Bullish Trend
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When the EMA 13 Day (Green line) is above the EMA 34 Day (Red line), the Medium Term direction of the market is Up.
For Medium Term investing the EMA 13 Day vs. the EMA 34 Day shows when the overall market is trending up and it is probably OK to stay invested.
When the Medium Term of the market is Up, I use the MACD and the Stochastics for Buy and Sell signals.
When the Medium Term of the market is Down, I'm on the sidelines!
0007 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- Indicators look less Bullish- 23Jun17
0007 - Two year Daily Chart of the S&P 500 (Proxy for the market)
23Jun17 - Indicators look less Bullish
(1) Minus: MACD, KST, TSI, and TRIX have become Bearish
(2) Plus: SLOPE above 0 (Bullish)
(3) Neutral: Slow Stochastic dropping
(4) Neutral: StochRSI below Overbought
(5) Neutral: ADX(14) below 20- MEDIUM Term Trend not indicated
16Jun17 - Indicators less Bullish
(1) Neutral: MACD, TSI, and TRIX continue Bullish
(2) Plus: SLOPE above 0 (Bullish)
(3) Plus: Slow Stochastic Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI just below Overbought
(5) Neutral: ADX(14) below 20- MEDIUM Term Trend not indicated
09Jun17 - Indicators continue Bullish
(1) Plus: MACD, TSI, and TRIX continue Bullish
(2) Plus: SLOPE above 0 (Bullish)
(3) Plus: Slow Stochastic Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI remains Overbought
(5) Neutral: ADX(14) below 20- MEDIUM Term Trend not indicated
02Jun17 - Strong Surge
(1) Plus: MACD, TSI, and TRIX are all Bullish
(2) Plus: SLOPE above 0 (Bullish)
(3) Plus: Slow Stochastic back to Overbought
(4) Plus: StochRSI bounced from Oversold to Overbought
(5) Neutral: ADX(14) below 20- MEDIUM Term Trend not indicated
0008 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- 65 Day EMA: Flat 23Jun17
0008 - S&P 500 ($SPX) 6 Month Daily- Elder Impulse System
0009 - S&P 500 ($SPX) SHORT TERM- Daily From 1984- 200 Day MA: Steady Rise- 23Jun17
0010 - S&P 500 ($SPX) Daily Since 1984-
0010 - SHORT TERM (Daily) Rating Summary: Bullish (28), Neutral (77), Bearish (36) as of 22Jun17
0010 - SHORT TERM Rating Summary
22Jun - ETFs are rated as follows: Bullish (28), Neutral (77), and Bearish (36)
(1) 28 ETFs are Bullish: Bull (27) + Stronger (1)
(2) 77 ETFs have been rated Neutral
(3) 36 ETFs are Bearish: Bear (18) + Weaker (18)
15Jun - ETFs are rated as follows: Bullish (35), Neutral (70), and Bearish (35)
(1) 35 ETFs are Bullish: Bull (31) + Stronger (4)
(2) 70 ETFs have been rated Neutral
(3) 35 ETFs are Bearish: Bear (22) + Weaker (13)
08Jun - ETFs are rated as follows: Bullish (75), Neutral (44), and Bearish (21)
(1) 75 ETFs are Bullish: Bull (68) + Stronger (7)
(2) 44 ETFs have been rated Neutral
(3) 21 ETFs are Bearish: Bear (4) + Weaker (17)
01Jun - ETFs are rated as follows: Bullish (81), Neutral (34), and Bearish (25)
(1) 81 ETFs are Bullish: Bull (65) + Stronger (16)
(2) 34 ETFs have been rated Neutral
(3) 25 ETFs are Bearish: Bear (5) + Weaker (20)
25May - Most ETFs are rated Bullish (77) then Neutral (51) and finally Bearish (12)
(1) 77 ETFs are Bullish: Bull (42) + Stronger (35)
(2) 51 ETFs have been rated Neutral
(3) 12 ETFs are Bearish: Bear (6) + Weaker (6)
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