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Analysis of Market Direction ... Timing is everything!

Marc Slavin Author is a PRO memberHas Had Over 300 Followers Rank: 6 Followers: 308 Votes: 387 Years Member: 8 Last Update: 24 April 2014, 22:22 Categories: Trend Analysis
ETFs
Swing Trading

24Apr14 - The S&P 500 is not far from its all time closing high so some resistance is expected. Although it was up today, It closed at a price less than the price at which it opened (See Chart 0002).
21Apr14 - Added 10 Day 15 Minute Charts (from 6000 to 6050) for the some major ETFs.
17Apr14 - I have replaced my numeric scoring system with one that is word based. I hope this system will be more intuitive and easier to understand. See Chart 0000.
16Apr14 - Among the 'Highly Rated ETFs', there are 15 that Scored +2 (Neutral - Trending Up but not quite Bull)

SHORT TERM (Days - The Ripples): 23Apr14 - From the brink (of a Correction) only a few short days ago, stocks have now surged to near record territory.
MEDIUM TERM (Weeks - The Waves): 23Apr14 - Still weak but six days of surging prices smother a possible Medium Term Correction (Chart 0006).
LONG TERM (Months - The Tide): 04Aprr14 - The market continues to look Bullish on a Long Term basis (Chart 0007).

25Apr14 - As of 24Apr14: Market is Strong (66-85%) - 80.3% of conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs are 'Bull:Strongest'
24Apr14 - As of 23Apr14: Market is Strong (66-85%) - 76.9% of conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs are 'Bull:Strongest'
23Apr14 - As of 22Apr14: Market is Strong (66-85%) - 73.8% of conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs are 'Bull:Strongest'
22Apr14 - As of 21Apr14: Market is Average (36-65%) - 46.7% of conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs are 'Bull:Strongest'
21Apr14 - As of 17Apr14: Market is Average (36-65%) - 44.4% of conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs are 'Bull:Strongest'

James wrote:
'It is your site and commentary that has taken me to a different level of understanding how to trade. Your organizational skills and selection of indicators have really help me understand how to time the market.'

Less

0000 - Current ETF Bullish & Bearish List - Scores as of 17Apr14

As a general rule, the ETFs that I chart are ETFs whose performance is 'better than average' (Stock Charts Technical Rank > 70)
and whose Average Daily Volume exceeds 300,000.

Table of Contents:
0000 - 0099 General Market Direction (Page 1)
1000 - 1999 Highly Ranked ETFs, superior performance over time (Page 4)
2000 - 2999 International ETFs (Page 12)
3000 - 3999 Leveraged ETFs (Page 15)
4000 - 4999 For Your Information - Performance Comparison & Bullish Percent & General Interest. (Page 19)
5000 - 5999 Day Trade - Intraday Charts. (Page 23)
6000 - 6999 Short Term Daily (Page 31)
7000 - 7999 Medium Term Weekly (Page 32)
8000 - 8999 Long Term Monthly (Page 33)
9000 - 9999 Metal ETFs (Bonds and Others) (Page 34)

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0001 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day - Bull: Moderate (4) 22Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day

From Bob: 'While I have traded for years using the discipline of charts,
your site has added greater precision and greater relevance to my trading process..
I am really indebted to you and very much appreciate the free service you provide.'

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0002 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look - Bull: Moderate (4) 24Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look

Brent wrote:
'I really appreciate your charts. Clear, concise, and diverse. A person does not need any more to make profitable investment decisions.'

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0003 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Bull: Moderate (4) 22Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day
07Apr14 - Lesson learned - wait for established Trend (ADX > 25) before placing order to Buy

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'Great simple tech. indicators..heck yah you got my vote....Thanks for the hard work..'

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0004 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Bull: Moderate (4) 22Apr14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Support Zones
11Apr14 - The General Trend of the last 6 months looks flat to down.

DeWayne wrote:
'I am impressed with your charts. The trend and momentum indicators that you use are very clear.'

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0005 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -10 Day 1 Hr -Intraday- Bull: Moderate (4) 22Apr14

S&P 500 Intraday Chart - An intraday look (under the hood) for the last 10 Days
07Apr14 @ 2:05 - 10 relentless hours of falling prices!

Mike wrote:
'I really like your straight forward charts and the indicators that you use. Also , how you describe on what to expect from the speed & movement of the different indicators.'

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0006 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 18 Mo Week - Med Term: Less Bearish (-5) 17Apr14

What is the Medium Term (Weekly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index?

James wrote:
'I cannot begin to thank you enough for sharing your work. I've been trading for four years. Most of my understanding of technical analysis has come from books and Stockcharts.com. About a month ago I began to realize your work and your uncanny ability to assess market direction.
It is your site and commentary that has taken me to a different level of understanding how to trade. Your organizational skills and selection of indicators have really help me understand how to time the market.'

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0007 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 6 Yrs Mo - Long Term: Bull: Topping (7) 17Apr14

What is the Long Term (Monthly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index
11Apr14 - Stochastic RSI has dropped to Oversold which is Bearish.

From a reader:
'Great job -you charts help me a lot.
thank you'

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0008 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 2 Yr Day - Trend Lines - Room Within the Lines -17Apr14

Chart of the S&P 500 (the market) compared to the 2 Year Daily Raff Regression Trend Lines drawn to the March 2014 peak...

From a reader: 'I love your work . Your charts help me a lot to understand the market direction. I like the
comments on the charts. Thank you'

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0009 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -50 & 100 Day MA- Bull: Moderate (4) 22Apr14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 50 & 100 Day Moving Average

From Elma:
'I like your charts and have just started following you... Great charts. I had been trying to do mean reversion trading, but I think it is more important that I first learn to follow the trend.'

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