Analysis of Market Direction ... Timing is everything!

Marc Slavin Author is a PRO memberHas Had Over 300 Followers Rank: 6 Followers: 308 Votes: 410 Years Member: 8 Last Update: 18 April 2014, 10:06 Categories: Trend Analysis
ETFs
Swing Trading

17Apr14 - I am in the process of replacing Numeric Scores with what I hope is easier to understand. Henceforth Scores shall consist of a few words describing the price trend.
16Apr14 - Among the 'Highly Rated ETFs', there are 15 that Scored +2 (Neutral - Trending Up but not quite Bull)
13Apr14 - New: ETFs with high Scores: EPP(2270), FM(2730), EWY(2930), EMB(2940), EWT(2950), EWH(2960), and AMLP(1900).
10Apr14 - Another broad sell-off suggests that this may be a Correction and not just another Consolidation.

SHORT TERM (Days - The Ripples): 17Apr14 - The many charts on the cusp of becoming Bullish suggest broad improvement in world markets.
MEDIUM TERM (Weeks - The Waves): 04Apr14 - Bearish: A positive start came to an abrupt end supporting a possible Medium Term Correction (Chart 0006).
LONG TERM (Months - The Tide): 04Aprr14 - The market continues to look Bullish on a Long Term basis (Chart 0007).

17Apr14 - As of 17Apr14: Market Strength = 44.4% - Average (36-65%) - Of 63 conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs, 28 Score +8.
17Apr14 - As of 16Apr14: Market Strength = 30.3% - Weak (16-35%) - Of 66 conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs, 20 Score +8.
16Apr14 - As of 15Apr14: Market Strength = 26.2% - Weak (16-35%) - Of 61 conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs, 16 Score +8.
15Apr14 - As of 14Apr14: Market Strength = 27.7% - Weak (16-35%) - Of 65 conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs, 18 Score +8.
12Apr14 - As of 11Apr14: Market Strength = 28.1% - Weak (16-35%) - Of 57 conventional, liquid, highly SCTR rated ETFs, 16 Score +8.

James wrote:
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Less

0000 - Current ETF Bullish & Bearish List - Scores as of 17Apr14

As a general rule, the ETFs that I chart are ETFs whose performance is 'better than average' (Stock Charts Technical Rank > 70)
and whose Average Daily Volume exceeds 300,000.

Table of Contents:
0000 - 0099 General Market Direction (Page 1)
1000 - 1999 Highly Ranked ETFs, superior performance over time (Page 4)
2000 - 2999 International ETFs (Page 12)
3000 - 3999 Leveraged ETFs (Page 15)
4000 - 4999 For Your Information - Performance Comparison & Bullish Percent & General Interest. (Page 19)
5000 - 5999 Day Trade - Intraday Charts. (Page 23)
6000 - 6999 Short Term Daily (Page 31)
7000 - 7999 Medium Term Weekly (Page 32)
8000 - 8999 Long Term Monthly (Page 33)
9000 - 9999 Metal ETFs (Bonds and Others) (Page 34)

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0001 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day - Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Yr Day

From Bob: 'While I have traded for years using the discipline of charts,
your site has added greater precision and greater relevance to my trading process..
I am really indebted to you and very much appreciate the free service you provide.'

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0002 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look - Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 2 Mo Day - Close Look

Brent wrote:
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0003 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Large Cap Index ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day
07Apr14 - Lesson learned - wait for established Trend (ADX > 25) before placing order to Buy

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0004 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 6 Mo Day - Support Zones
11Apr14 - The General Trend of the last 6 months looks flat to down.

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0005 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -10 Day 1 Hr -Intraday- Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Intraday Chart - An intraday look (under the hood) for the last 10 Days
07Apr14 @ 2:05 - 10 relentless hours of falling prices!

Mike wrote:
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0006 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 18 Mo Week Med Term Bear: Strengthening - 17Apr14

What is the Medium Term (Weekly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index?

James wrote:
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It is your site and commentary that has taken me to a different level of understanding how to trade. Your organizational skills and selection of indicators have really help me understand how to time the market.'

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0007 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 6 Yrs Mo - Long Term Bull: Topping - 17Apr14

What is the Long Term (Monthly) Trend of the S&P 500 Index
11Apr14 - Stochastic RSI has dropped to Oversold which is Bearish.

From a reader:
'Great job -you charts help me a lot.
thank you'

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0008 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) 2 Yr Day - Trend Lines - Room Within the Lines -17Apr14

Chart of the S&P 500 (the market) compared to the 2 Year Daily Raff Regression Trend Lines drawn to the March 2014 peak...

From a reader: 'I love your work . Your charts help me a lot to understand the market direction. I like the
comments on the charts. Thank you'

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0009 - S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) -50 & 100 Day MA- Becoming Bullish - 17Apr14

S&P 500 Large Caps ($SPX) - 50 & 100 Day Moving Average

From Elma:
'I like your charts and have just started following you... Great charts. I had been trying to do mean reversion trading, but I think it is more important that I first learn to follow the trend.'

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