Timo Yla-Soininmaki Rank: 55 Followers: 20 Votes: 31 Years Member: 5 Last Update: 23 April 2014, 0:34 Categories: ETFs
Gold / Gold Stocks
Swing Trading

June 13 Short
November 18 hit my stop and go long.
February 17 Gold and GDX weekly buy signals.
April 23... Even with the drops, no worries... yet, but do look at SPX weekly copper divergences. But this is not the top yet. Up we go some more.


1 $SPX - Daily Trading Signals

2 $SPX - Weekly Medium Term

Trade when the price crosses 15 MA EOW. Use other indicators for confirmation and for secondary trades. Some indicators are more reliable and important than the otheres. Also look for and use divergences, support and resitance lines for trading decisions.

Some may wait for all indicators to happen; some may jump the gun earlier. As each indicator happens it's a good sign that the direction will continue.

3 $S&P - Monthly long term

Also use divergencies, support and resitance lines for trading. It looks to me that if S&P is over 20 SMA we are in Bull market and if it's below it; we are in Bear market.
When 12 and 20 SMAs start to slope, that means that the trend is changing... that's all you need to know.

The results of this system from April 1991 on SPX; long and short:
1. Buy April 91 @ 442
2. Sell November 00 @ 1,429 (269%) (top was 1,553)
3. Buy June 03 @ 963 (48%)
4. Sell January 08 @ 1,467 (52%) (top was 1,576)
5. Buy September 09 @ 1,019 (44%)
6. Sell September 11 @ 1,219 (20%)
7. Buy December 11 @ 1,246 (-2%) (total so far: 431%)
8. Open...Sell ?

Profitable and pretty safe investing can be this simple. Usually we tend to make it too complicated with too many indicators, reading too many analyst etc.

4 Gold - Weekly

- Gold is a buy at any price especially as an insurance.
- When mining stocks (HUI) leads; that's always a good sign. See: $Gold/$HUI indicators above.

5 Gold - Monthly

This long term monthy trading system has worked pretty well since 1996. Trade when the price crosses 15 MA EOM. Most other indicators should also confirm it. End of the year 2000 no sell signal because MACD and some other indicators didn't confirm.

6.1 GDX - Weekly

7 GDX Monthy

Gold stocks tend to follow the general market. At least GDX has done so for the past 6 years... or as long as GDX has been around.

Newmont mining stock has also followed SPX pretty closely since 2003, but it did go the opposite direction to SPX from 1997 to 2003 period.

Trade when price crosses 15 MA. Use other indicators and support and resitance lines for confirmation.

8 $MSWORLD - Weekly

EFA is a tradable ETF, which follow MSWORLD pretty nicely.

xxx MSCI World (ex USA) $MSWORLD

This is my 'End of the world' chart. If this chart pattern turns out to be a true head and shoulders pattern then that means that MSCI will bottom somewhere below 700 between 2014 and 2015 at the earliest. In terms of SPX this means that the bottom would be below 600!

By the time this crash is over; markets could have lost most of their value. After the crash would be the the next buying opportunity of a life time.... if you have any money left.

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