Market timing - SPX - ETFs - GOLD- easy trading

Timo Yla-soininmaki Has Had Over 25 Followers Rank: 45 Followers: 30 Votes: 43 Years Member: 7 Last Update: 20 July 2015, 3:40 Categories: Market Timing
Gold / Gold Stocks
Swing Trading

Welcome. Signals below relate to S&P500, but they can be used for many other stocks, ETFs and indexes around the world. Almost everything follow S&P500, only difference is that they may move up and down with the different magnitude. I use Tradestation charting software for the first two daily SPX charts.

June 18. I have been thinking that maybe the stock market will never go down again. Because there is too much money around and the governments are more than eager to keep on sending money to their stock markets. This constant inflow of money will keep the markets going up and up. Also governments are not run by the politicians but by the big money; big banks, hedge-funds, huge international businesses etc. and they simply don't want this party to end. They demand that governments keep on printing money and supporting the markets. Also politicians and all the people in higher levels of society have stock portfolios and they don't want to see them crash. So they make sure that this will not happen.
I lied when i said that I think market will never go down again.. they will go down in 2 months, 2 years or 20 years. And when they do go down, they will go all the way down. Buy gold.
June 27. Topping..
July 4. Gold is looking very weak.. SPX additional sell signals.
July 17. Still topping slowly but surely :)

Less

0 Daily Trading Signals

Short-term signals. Dotted lines are secondary trades.

1 $SPX - Daily Trading Signals

Long-term signals. Dotted lines are secondary trades.

2 $SPX - Weekly Medium Term

Trade when the price crosses 15 MA EOW. Use other indicators for confirmation and for secondary trades. Some indicators are more reliable and important than the otheres. Also look for and use divergences, support and resitance lines for trading decisions.

Some may wait for all indicators to happen; some may jump the gun earlier. As each indicator happens it's a good sign that the direction will continue.

3 $S&P - Monthly long term

Also use divergencies, support and resitance lines for trading. It looks to me that if S&P is over 20 SMA we are in Bull market and if it's below it; we are in Bear market.
When 12 and 20 SMAs start to slope, that means that the trend is changing... that's all you need to know.
I added PMO. It looks like it could be a good indicator for this set up.
Blue circles show that I jumped the gun and suffered unnecessary whipsaw. Well, live and learn.. or actually trade and learn.
Red circles show some of the indicators starting to break down EOM. Time to be careful.

The results of this system from April 1991 on SPX; long and short:
1. Buy April 91 @ 442
2. Sell November 00 @ 1,429 (269%) (top was 1,553)
3. Buy June 03 @ 963 (48%)
4. Sell January 08 @ 1,467 (52%) (top was 1,576)
5. Buy September 09 @ 1,019 (44%)
6. Sell September 11 @ 1,219 (20%)
7. Buy December 11 @ 1,246 (-2%) (total so far: 431%)
8. Open...Sell ?

Profitable and pretty safe investing can be this simple. Usually we tend to make it too complicated with too many indicators, reading too many analyst etc.

4 Gold - Weekly

- Gold is a buy at any price especially as an insurance.
- When mining stocks (HUI) leads; that's always a good sign. See: $Gold/$HUI indicators above.

5 Gold - Monthly

This long term monthy trading system has worked pretty well since 1996. Trade when the price crosses 15 MA EOM. Most other indicators should also confirm it. End of the year 2000 no sell signal because MACD and some other indicators didn't confirm.
8/23 EMA crossover confirms the trend.

8 $MSWORLD - Weekly

EFA is a tradable ETF, which follow MSWORLD pretty nicely.

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