The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 73 Followers: 14 Votes: 20 Years Member: 13 Last Update: 26 November 2014, 12:45 Categories: General Market Commentary

(11/26 -- 0715 EST) -- AAPL weekly gravestone to start a market top? [new 1st chart]
Watch the SPX/SPY intra-day action at the top of p. 2.

(11/24) -- Daily BB(100) upper limit in play. [bottom 1/2 of p. 1]
(11/23) -- Santa Rally back on?
(11/20) -- Daily BB(100) to limit upside? [bottom p. 1]
(11/18) -- Options Week Santa Rally vs. roll-over TBD.
(11/17) -- SPY 60-minute stalled but ready to move IMO. [top p. 2]
(11/16) -- Options Week -- follow VIX.
(11/12) -- Megaphone top? VIX will lead the way.
(11/11) -- DAX is at a log jam of moving averages -- a top is in? [p. 13]
(10/27) -- Sleigh bells jingling in the distance? -- Santa Rally may be primed and ready to go at MA(50).
(10/25) -- Top forming? -- Monthly candlestick long tails are a heads up, similar to 2000 and 2007 tops IMO. [bottom p. 13 to p. 14]
(10/16) -- The quality of the bounce off SPX MA(322) will be the tell here.
(9/1) -- Strong August candlestick -- Santa rally here we come?
(8/1) -- CME S&P E-mini futures take a uniform dive down.

(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29/14) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6 and p. 7]
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [p. 1 -- posted 8/30/2001]
(6/11/12) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top at SPX 2100?

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A1.03 -- Z996.89 -- AAPL - Weekly Candlesticks, 1024

A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(8/28/14) -- See Buffett quote below on Hair Triggers, and watch DAX open in the morning.

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.58 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.59 -- $SPX - Weekly 2014 -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

(11/20 -- 1007 EST) -- Shortened time period. Will update annotations later.

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

A10.85 -- A1.15 -- $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 780

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