The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 73 Followers: 13 Votes: 30 Years Member: 13 Last Update: 20 October 2014, 14:54 Categories: General Market Commentary

(10/20 -- 0531 EDT) -- MA(200) and SPX 1900 resistance. [bottom p. 1]

(10/16) -- End of Options Week -- the quality of the bounce off MA(322) will be the tell here IMO.
SPX MA(200) at 1900 is just above. [p. 2]

(10/16 -- 0709 EDT) -- Options breach of SPX 1800 futures [link below] and DAX 8400 becomes a blood-letting.

(10/14) -- DAX breach of EMA(409) is a game-changer, or a bottom? [end of list]

(10/13) -- Three Black Crows -- ominous break of 1900 support -- what Head and Shoulders . . . ? [p. 1]

(10/12) - Futures stabilizing, but still below SPX 1900 in all time frames. [link below]
Options Week is coming up -- will SPX 1900 support hold for the right shoulder to form?

(10/10) -- SPX 1900 H&S support holds in violent move down -- DAX closes below 8800 -- recent action looks gruesome.
(10/7) -- Breach of MA(100) is an ROW bottom, or signs of more downside to come to SPX 1900 H&S?
(10/6) -- Negative divergences in breadth lines in SPY 60-minute chart. [p. 2]
Ominous Real Options Week rejection at MA(20) and MA(50).
(9/1) -- Full Steam Ahead -- monthly chart is bullish IMO -- strong August candlestick.
(8/1) -- CME S&P E-mini futures take a uniform dive down.

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500.html

(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29/14) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6 and p. 7] -- Summer melt-up here we come?
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [p. 1 -- posted 8/30/2001]
(6/11/12) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top at SPX 2100?


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A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(8/28/14) -- See Buffett quote below on Hair Triggers, and watch DAX open in the morning.

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html


(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.58 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.59 -- $SPX - Weekly 2014 -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

A10.85 -- A1.15 -- $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 780

A10.87.3 -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 780

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