The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Rank: 81 Followers: 11 Votes: 17 Years Member: 14 Last Update: 9 February 2016, 6:13 Categories: General Market Commentary

(2/9 -- 0603 EST) -- BB(409) to provide support again, or look out below? [top p. 1]

(2/4) -- SPX weekly close within range of 1880 to 1925?

(2/3) -- Tall hammer doji is a bottom?
Do-or-die time for Bollinger Band support.
Will SPX find a bottom here, or is the bottom of about to drop out?

(1/27) -- SPX 1925 and MA(20) resistance.
(1/25) -- Giant multiple head-and-shoulders in process back down to SPX 800 in Earth Year 002,023? [middle p. 1]
(1/24) -- BB(409) to offer a crucial bounce here?
(1/21) -- Bottom is in at SPX 1880 support, with next move up to 2000 +/- ?
(1/15) -- Oil to $10 would have what effect on the markets? [WTIC chart @ bottom p. 5 with link to MarketWatch article.]
(1/6) -- Shanghai meltdown to drag SPX down to 1300 level? 'The Big Short' of some kind in play? WTIC?
(1/3/16) -- SPY 200 World of Pain back in play.

(12/27/15) -- The Top Is In? -- Looking pretty top-ish right now in my opinion -- the NYSE 800-pound gorilla canary does not look healthy also IMO. [3rd chart on p. 3]
(12/17) -- NYSE 800-pound canary in the coal mine EMA(409) FUBAR? [p. 3]
(11/4) -- SPX 2100 top forming again?
(10/5) -- Santa Rally to SPX 2000 starts today? -- or maybe to SPY 210, the zone of the summer highs?
(8/31) -- SPX 1880 H&S to be tested once again? -- SPX closes the month at 1972, a crucial level -- support or Look Out Below?
(2/18/15) -- June 2012 target of SPX 2100 reached. [middle p. 1]

(10/25/14) -- Top forming? -- Monthly candlestick long tails are a heads up, similar to 2000 and 2007 tops IMO. [pp. 1-2]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [p. 1 -- posted 8/30/2001]
(6/11/12) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top at SPX 2100?


***** DISCLAIMER *****

These charts and notes are only for educational and entertainment.
Do not rely on them to make investment decisions -- perform your own due diligence.
See the SCC Terms of Use via the links below.

Less

$ -- A10.87.46 -- SPY - Daily 2016

$ -- B150 -- $SPX - Daily 322/409 1995-2016

$$ -- A10.87.5 -- B157.94 -- SPY - 60-minute Sept 2015

$$$ -- A10.87.45 -- SPY - Daily Aug. 2015

$$$$ -- A10.47 -- $SPX - Weekly 2014/2016

$$$$$ -- A10.42 -- ZZ9.7 -- A1.01.7 -- $SPX - Monthly 2015 top

$$$$$$$ -- A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(6/14/15) -- [List under reconstruction.]

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established -- http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html
(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.
(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd,
they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key.
We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd . . .

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism,
then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time.
The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly Election Years

A10.41 -- ZZ9.1 -- A1.01.1 -- $SPX - Monthly -- Seven Year Itch overview small

***** 25 October, Earth Year 002,014 *****

Is a top forming?

In June 2012 it was asked whether a 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top could form in 2014 -- has this process started?
The 2000 and 2007 tops gave us warning signs IMO, with several candlesticks with long lower shadows -- 'long-tailed' here.
Whether called Dragon-fly, Hammer, Hanging Man, etc., it is the long lower 'tail' which is the warning sign to these eyes.

[see monthly charts on p. 1 and the close-up charts below]

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