The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 72 Followers: 13 Votes: 34 Years Member: 13 Last Update: 20 September 2014, 6:02 Categories: General Market Commentary

(9/20 -- 0551 EDT) -- Options Week top is in? -- SPX 2010 -- DAX 9799 -- CME futures 2000. [link below]
Or is the Santa Rally ready to take off for the Seven-Year Itch triple top at SPX 2100?

(9/18) -- Options Week breakout is for real, or a classic head-fake bull trap?
(9/17) -- Options Week stall-out at DAX 9700 and SPX 2000?
(9/16) -- E-mini futures stuck below 2000? [link below]
(9/15) -- Seven-year Itch Triple Top imminent? [SPX monthly @ middle p. 1]
(9/14) -- Has DAX topped out? [first chart] -- See DAX line in SPY daily chart also. [top p. 2]
(9/7) -- DAX at 9744, a 'make it or break it' time, relative to previous highs -- E-mini futures stalling at 2000?
(9/3) -- Top-ish feel?
(9/1) -- Full Steam Ahead -- monthly chart is bullish IMO -- strong August candlestick.
(8/24) -- DAX blasts up through 9400.
(8/17) -- 'Seven Year Itch' Santa Rally to SPX 2100 is back ON?
(8/9) -- DAX at 9000 and SPY MA(322) is The Canary in the Coal Mine.

(8/1) -- CME S&P E-mini futures take a uniform dive down.

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500.html

(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6] -- Summer melt-up here we come?
(4/23) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Santa Rally to SPX 2100 has started?
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [1st chart -- posted 8/30/2001]


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Less

$$$ -- A10.87.2 -- $DAX - Daily Solid Line (thin), 1024

$$$$$ -- A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Strong August Candle

A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(8/28/14) -- See Buffett quote below on Hair Triggers, and watch DAX open in the morning.

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html


(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.51 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

A10.85 -- A1.15 -- $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 780

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