The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 69 Followers: 13 Votes: 25 Years Member: 12 Last Update: 25 July 2014, 3:38 Categories: General Market Commentary

(7/25 -- 0637 EDT) -- Show us the volume -- head fake to new highs for end-of-month?

(7/24) -- Narrow Bollinger Band width -- big move coming? [middle p. 1]
(7/23) -- Overbought SLOITC's aligned. [pp. 3-4]
(7/22) -- Clear resistance level in SPY daily chart. [bottom p. 1]
NAUD cumulative is at a cross-roads IMO. [bottom 2 charts on p. 1]
(7/17) -- Party on . . . ? -- SPX low of 1956 is a bottom at support, even after breach of MA(20)? -- futures strong in spite of Ukraine mess.
(7/13) -- Options Week -- MA(20) support to hold? -- NAUD and VIX lead intra-day. [bottom p. 1 and top p. 2]
(7/11) -- VIX low anticipates SPY top? [bottom p. 4]
(7/10) -- Support at SPX 1950 and daily MA(20).
(7/8) -- Further NAUD weakness is a bottom?
(7/7) -- NAUD warning shot across the bow.
(7/2) -- Santa Rally to continue? [middle p. 1]
(6/22) -- Rising wedge to SPX 2100? -- logjam at BB(322) and BB(100) resistance.
(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6] -- Summer melt-up here we come?
(4/23) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Santa Rally to SPX 2100 has started?
(3/21) -- NYSE Main Engine Bullish Percent still strong. [p. 6]
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [1st chart -- posted 8/30/2001]


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A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html


(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.51 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

A10.85 -- A1.15 -- $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 780

A10.87.3 -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 780

A10.88 -- B157.94 -- SPY - 60-minute FEB 2014

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