The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 69 Followers: 13 Votes: 26 Years Member: 12 Last Update: 1 August 2014, 5:05 Categories: General Market Commentary

(8/1 -- 0445 EDT) -- June 2015 CME futures are now down to 1896. [link below]
DAX 9000 is the level to watch in Europe -- presently at 9230 (under MA(200) for the first time in a while).

(7/31 -- 1921 EDT) -- Ominous end of month on strong volume -- more downside tomorrow or a bottom is in?
VIX at 17 is a market bottom? [top lines in many charts -- close-up VIX charts at bottom p. 4]

(1259 EDT) -- Oversold SLOITC's [middle p. 4] and positive divergences in some breadth lines. [bottom p. 1]
(0555 EDT) -- SPY 195 and MA(50) are very important support here IMO. [near bottom p. 1]
(0517 EDT) -- All CME S&P E-mini futures take a uniform dive down (Sept 2014 contract to Sept 2015) -- range is 1949 to 1936.

(7/30) -- MA(20) is now resistance?
(7/29) -- TICKQ plummets. [bottom 2 charts @ p. 1] -- Dow 17,000 or bust?
(7/27) -- TICKQ and NAUD negative divergences -- NAUD and NYHL cumulative rolling over?
(7/26) --Summer Doldrums low volume end-of-month window dressing to support price above MA(20)?
(7/17) -- SPX low of 1956 is a bottom at support, even after breach of MA(20)? -- futures strong in spite of Ukraine.
(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6] -- Summer melt-up here we come?
(4/23) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Santa Rally to SPX 2100 has started?
(3/21) -- NYSE Main Engine Bullish Percent still strong. [p. 6]
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [1st chart -- posted 8/30/2001]

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$$$$$ -- $DAX - Daily Solid Line (thin), 1024

A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.51 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

A10.85 -- A1.15 -- $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 780

A10.87.3 -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 780

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