The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Author is a PRO member Rank: 76 Followers: 12 Votes: 12 Years Member: 13 Last Update: 19 May 2015, 17:17 Categories: General Market Commentary

(5/19) -- DAX enters a new uptrend? [New first chart and DAX line in SPY chart @ middle p. 2]

(5/13) -- MA(100) support to be challenged soon?
Log jam at moving averages continues.
(5/1) -- MA(50) support holding.
(4/28) -- DAX 2015 uptrend busted for good?
SPY MA(20) and MA(50) support to hold?
(4/27) -- TICK is looking hesitant here.
Recovery from heart surgery has slowed things down, but the heart is good.
(4/8) -- Ditto -- action at the moving averages.
(3/30) -- End-of-month and first quarter. The action is still clogged up at moving averages.
(3/16) -- Range-bound at MA(20), MA(50) just above MA(100).
(3/1) -- Out of the hospital after open-heart surgery.
(February) -- [In the hospital].
(2/18) -- June 2012 target of SPX 2100 reached. [middle p. 1]
(2/15) -- NYSE seismometer ready to move to new highs? [middle p. 7]
DAX 11,000 on the radar. [middle p. 2 and p. 14]
(2/4) -- DAX move above 10,000 has been breathtaking! [p. 14]
(1/4/15) -- CME e-Mini futures:

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500.html

(11/27) -- Is this rate of rise sustainable? [bottom p. 11 to p. 12]
(10/25) -- Top forming? -- Monthly candlestick long tails are a heads up, similar to 2000 and 2007 tops IMO. [bottom p. 13 to p. 14]
(9/1) -- Strong August candlestick -- Santa rally here we come?
(5/31) -- Low VIX similar to the mid-1990's and mid-2000's IMO. [p. 7]
(5/29/14) -- Main Engine BPNYA still strong. [bottom 1/2 p. 6 and p. 7]
(11/24/13) -- SPX going exponential? -- Does this rate of rise look sustainable? [end of list]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [p. 1 -- posted 8/30/2001]
(6/11/12) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top at SPX 2100?


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Less

$$$ ZZ8.32 -- A1.02 -- A1.07 -- DAX 10,000 - Daily Solid Line (thin), 1024

A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE

(8/28/14) -- See Buffett quote below on Hair Triggers, and watch DAX open in the morning.

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established:

http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html


(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.

(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:

'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd, they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key. We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd?

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism, then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time. The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

A10.33 -- $SPX - Monthly 1998 to 2013 -- Is this a top?

A10.35 -- $SPX - Monthly Candlesticks, 1024 (w/Buttons)

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.57 -- $SPX - Weekly -- 1600 or higher top?

A10.58 -- $SPX - Weekly -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

A10.59 -- $SPX - Weekly 2014 -- Santa Rally to be limited by BB(322)?

(11/20 -- 1007 EST) -- Shortened time period. Will update annotations later.

A10.81 -- BB(20) shortfall -- SPY - Daily Candlesticks, 1280

A10.83 -- B157.95 -- SPY - Daily Doji cluster TBD 2 JULY 2013

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