US markets - Timing Model

Leslie Gray Author is a PRO memberHas Had Over 25 Followers Rank: 53 Followers: 17 Votes: 0 Years Member: 5 Last Update: 5 December 2016, 15:11 Categories: Market Timing
Sentiment Analysis

11/30. Red on close

11/15 Cash on close!! VERY overbought.

11/4 - Green on close, but in cash for the vote thru Tues. (Back in green on Wed).

10/25 Red on close

10/18 - green on close

10/04 - Red on Oct 4th. Again, sorry for late update

09/21 Green on close. Fed was nice to markets. Vol should calm down again

09/19. Cash on close. Fed over-ride of model

09/17 Green on close friday

09/09 - Red on open on Friday.

09/02 Green on close Friday

08/16 - Red

08/09 - Yellow at EOD

08/04 - Green at EOD. Still high risk. Likely back red by Tuesday....

07/28 - Red at EOD. Could take a bit of time to drop, as 'tops are broad', but my signal has switched.

07/13 - I have been away, but clearly the site has changed the ability to make annotations. (I found the link to line types - but it is below the bottom of my browser.) Amazing poor QC for an update to a formerly very nice site. (Turns out if you select annotate from the 'change chart settings' page, you can find the Flash version, and also the QC problem that shows up when you select 'annotate' from the 'Edit this Chart' doesn't occur)

07/13 - model went green on 7/29. Back to 'cash' at the close today. Very overbought, and reversal indicators are lighting up.

06/24 - Red. THAT was a surprise. Model was yellow at close yesterday, but I did not expect a turn to red

06/20 - Green on close. Strong move. Brett concerns lessening

06/12 - Red. Likely Brexit concerns for a bit... Could bounce, but needs some more relief from overbought. Also season for 'summer correction' is here...

06/02 - Updated. Sorry, been away. Back to Green, buy VERY overbought, and at resistance.

(Green on 05/18 (EOD). Briefly Red on 05/31. Back green on 06/02 (EOD))

05/15 - Still Red.

05/06 - Still Red at EOD. Internals are weakening further. Bouncing a bit off the lower Bollinger band, but the model is still predicting more 'down'

04/28 - Red. Nasty day. Could bounce a bit, but pretty sharp drop for it to be over


A - SPY - With Model signals

Gray 50%

Aa - $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ab - $RUT - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ab - IWM - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ad - IWM - hourly

Move when 3/4 of the lower indicators change sign

Cash when 2/4 change, and ULT and RSI both drop from high

Ba - $NDX - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Buy on ULT cross of 50. Confirm with decreasing MACD cross
Cash on ULT extreme (70/30) or RSI extreme (70/30)
Sell on MACD cross

Bb - QQQ - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Bc - $NAHGH-$NALOW - Daily Histogram, 700

Be $NYA - Daily Candlesticks, 700

$NYLOW peaks good for identifying washout lows. Go to cash on these events

Bea - $NYHGH-$NYLOW - Daily Histogram, 700

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