US markets - Timing Model

Leslie Gray Author is a PRO memberHas Had Over 25 Followers Rank: 48 Followers: 17 Votes: 1 Years Member: 4 Last Update: 27 June 2016, 15:37 Categories: Market Timing
Sentiment Analysis

06/24 - Red. THAT was a surprise. Model was yellow at close yesterday, but I did not expect a turn to red

06/20 - Green on close. Strong move. Brett concerns lessening

06/12 - Red. Likely Brexit concerns for a bit... Could bounce, but needs some more relief from overbought. Also season for 'summer correction' is here...

06/02 - Updated. Sorry, been away. Back to Green, buy VERY overbought, and at resistance.

(Green on 05/18 (EOD). Briefly Red on 05/31. Back green on 06/02 (EOD))

05/15 - Still Red.

05/06 - Still Red at EOD. Internals are weakening further. Bouncing a bit off the lower Bollinger band, but the model is still predicting more 'down'

04/28 - Red. Nasty day. Could bounce a bit, but pretty sharp drop for it to be over - all after 2PM

04/27 - cash on open. (Green after the Fed spoke, but back to cash overnight. )

04/26. Cash on close - awaiting the Fed. Cash is prudent. Model is 'cash', but the hourly predicts a break 'up'

04/21 - Daily Red on close. Hourly is red since noon today. Dominated by 'reversal indicators'.

04/20 - Daily still green - hourly cash on close. Overbought (still). Look for a 2% correction, probably to the mid-bollinger band line (206), but not a total collapse (just yet)

04/20 - I am reminded that I haven't updated the charts lately. Sorry. I will try to keep current. Feel free to e-mail me if you think I am a behind (as some of you did today). Model turned back green on the 12th. Still Green. Reversal Indicators still flashing caution, tho. I am monitoring the hourly charts to catch a move to Red - I'll note hourly signals on the IWM chart Ad below. Also, if I get a turn on the hourly, I will update the notes here. I am at my desk for a bit....

04/06 - Red on open

03/30 Earlier comments from 03/21 still relevant. Look for some choppy sideways action for a while. Still green, BUT reversal indicators are flashing caution.

03/29. Back to Green as Yellin started speaking

03/28 Red on close. Likely just a '


A - SPY - With Model signals

Gray 50%

Aa - $SPX - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ab - $RUT - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ab - IWM - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Ad - IWM - hourly

Move when 3/4 of the lower indicators change sign

Cash when 2/4 change, and ULT and RSI both drop from high

Ba - $NDX - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Buy on ULT cross of 50. Confirm with decreasing MACD cross
Cash on ULT extreme (70/30) or RSI extreme (70/30)
Sell on MACD cross

Bb - QQQ - Daily Candlesticks, 700

Bc - $NAHGH-$NALOW - Daily Histogram, 700

Be $NYA - Daily Candlesticks, 700

$NYLOW peaks good for identifying washout lows. Go to cash on these events

Bea - $NYHGH-$NYLOW - Daily Histogram, 700

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