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Leslie Gray Rank: 44 Followers: 21 Votes: 0 Years Member: 1 Last Update: 16 May 2013, 19:10 Categories: Market Timing
Sentiment Analysis
ETFs

02/24 - Short. May bounce a bit for a month, but short at ~1525 is good for now. Nice Long run, though
01/01 - Long. Actually flipped long at the close on 12/30, but I was skiing.....
12/26 - short on close. No resolution of fiscal cliff until after Jan 3, when Boener gets reelected speaker. Also, resolution priced in already, as is the Santa rally
12/19 - cash on the close
12/17 - Long on the open (I update charts 2 and 3 more often than this written discussion)
12/13 - cash. (1 hour chart, 10 min chart = short, short).
12/12 - Cash. reversal candlestick on several indices. Another dark cloud/ bearish engulfing candlestick on RUT. Classic 'sell the news'?
12/11 - Long
12/03 - Cash.
11/19 - Model turned long on Monday. Sorry for the delay in updating
11/16 - Short. Astonishingly steady drop. Amazingly low volatility, given the decrease in the market. Wierd
11/14 - still Short. Looking for a capitulation signal
11/7 - Short
11/5 - cash. Model is neutral.
11/2 - still short. Dark cloud or bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on most indices. Tomorrow could be an 'up', but longer term, not good
10/22 - Short. Looks nasty
10/16 - Long at close
10/16 - Cash. Model went to cash over the weekend.
10/11 - still Short.
09/24 - Short.
09/23 - Cash. Correction due. TRAN looks very prescient.
09/16 - Long. Very overbought. I expect a correction to relieve this overbought condition, but overall, money is moving to risk from safety. Put options when a topping pattern develops....
09/10 - Long. Strong broad market move switched model. Somewhat overbought. Expect a bit of bouncing. Still very large risks to down side, so some protection is nice. I expect a move up to Thurs Fed, then some disappointment.
09/06 - OK that was clearly wrong, as was evident before the market opened today. (Don't take a position without having signal agreement from the hourly - chart 2). This remains a news-driven market. More analysis later.
09/05 - late. Model is actually short, not cash. Sor