Exceptional Bear- All-Time Top Bear Market Performance - Swing Trading Volatility

Eduardo Mirahyes Has Had Over 25 Followers Rank: 48 Followers: 29 Votes: 46 Years Member: 1 Last Update: 19 August 2017, 1:48 Categories: Elliott Wave Analysis
Market Timing
ETFs

Aug 18, 2017A False Breakdown in SVXY, concurrent with a false Breakout in UVXY Buy at extended hours to beat the crowd, by the NYSE opening the reversal will likely be obvious..all the action in Volatility bodes well for an exciting and prosperous 2017

Aug 13, 2017 Unless you have a high aptitude for pattern recognition, you are ill-equipped to recognize genius....these are the true charts, far superior than any of higher ranking, every night votes cast by other members are stolen by hacking, these votes represent mostly my own. if you are willing and able to follow the arrows over time only an idiot can fail to see the accuracy that confirms expertise...no fluff, just mastery

Aug 4, 2017 Charts reordered. the Monthly Charts on page 1; the Weekly and Daily on pages 2 and 3...the long NatGas Chart was added

July 11, 2017 The Charts below explained with Buy/Sell limits https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/swing-trading-bear-market-top-eduardo-mirahyes&title=Swing%20Trading%20the%20Bear%20Market%20Top

July 9, 2017 A sneak preview at the optimal Bear Market Asset Allocation, as ETFs for one week only, the same charts and trading signals our clients receive

July 1, 2017 Dollar beginning a long BEAR market Wave C, while the Volatility index is beginning a long Bull Move inversely related to the S&P

June 11, 2017 'Silver & Gold inversely related to equities, with a lag'. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/silver-gold-inversely-related-equities-lag-eduardo-mirahyes

May 15, 2017- My articles and chart are all updated on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mirahyes

Mar 30, 2017- Please refer to Mark Crumblin's list for the updated charts - LIVE for the time being http://stockcharts.com/public/1685468

Mar 4, 2017- Crashes Bookend Major Bear Markets, the first was the Dot-com Bubble Bust in March 2000, the second likely March 2017

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$ SPX 30-min 2

Aug 17 This 30-min S&P Chart depicts two lower degree fractals of the larger Bear Market pattern seen in the Monthly chart since 2000, when the Bear Market began. (view the entire history in the 5th chart below) The pink (v) wave transcends magnitude to wave iii of the larger Diag II. This fractal forecasts the Crash, with a plunge of at least 32x the magnitude seen here on the monthly Chart below, these are my original discoveries, they are not borrowed from any other charts, as one of my better clients observed, others change their counts after I post mine. This is the true count, and I have an 11 year history with Stockcharts, not one...a hacking scam in 2015 feigned my being BANNED from stockcharts for complaining of the stolen votes through hacking. Likewise my ranking never rises above 48, previously never rose above 30. In 2015, I earned Timer Digest's Timer of the Year for the identical signals as provided here...in 2014 I came in second by 1/10 of 1% , again due to sadistic hacking. I have advanced and refined RN Elliott's legacy trademarked New-Wave Elliott. To see my discoveries in detail, copy & paste this address on your browser: http://www.exceptional-bear.com/174.html

$ SVXY 2-hr

Aug 18 Below you see wave 4 of the Diag II in UVXY is complex, a-b-c, which requires an a-b reversal, before dropping to the dotted green line. The better trade is to short UVXY to take advantage of this gift swing trade. For those who cannot short, add to the your SVXY position limit 40.5. Enter these to execute during extended hours beginning at 8AM EST for the best execution, before the crowd recognizes the reversal. Most Traders are projecting a linear continuation of yesterday?s volatility Spike, while the next move is an about face, where the b wave should go slightly higher in UVXY, and slightly lower in SVXY. You will need to reference the charts to understand what I mean.. By the 9:30 opening of the NYSE, the reversal will be obvious to everyone and the opportunity to buy on the cheap will be gone. To short, there must be an uptick insured by b of the reversal. That means initially the market will go the opposite way, in the a wave, before reversing into purple b. Since Prechter discarded the a-b which I hope is evident to all of you, most continue to follow his projections without questioning the guru, as I did for a long time until the evidence became overwhelming. This why we slightly exceeded yesterday?s close to limit short UVXY, and yesterdays close in buy SVXY slightly below the close. Prechter?s genius is as a brilliant orator and self-promoter, When I did the Advanced Tutorial, 27 years ago, I left two of his speeches thinking he was the most brilliant man I had ever met, so much for first impressions? when it comes to pattern recognition, his aptitude falls far short of mine. I had to lose a lot of money to learn that lesson. 1/2 pos SVXY limit 41.5

$ UVXY - 2-hr

Aug 18 Sell short pos UVXY limit 41.5; cover short limit 29.4

$ VIX - Volatility Index on the Move to signal the SPIKE in Volatility as equities CRASH

Aug 17 The $VIX, volatility index, which moves inversely to the S&P, was up 56% just a week ago, it has retraced most of the upside, leaving a paltry 14% gain. Most likely the remaining 14%, highlighted by the yellow wick in the last candle, will be given back, before the subsequent spike. That is just one example of why Bear Markets must be swing traded, if you are to hold on to your gains. When panic strikes, most investors resort to buying puts to offset portfolio losses... as the S&P Crashes, Wave 5 in the $VIX will Spike through the Roof. The current pattern is identical, but far more severe, than the lead-off from the 2007 low in the aqua inset Unlike wasting assets, the volatility ETFs are far preferable, since they have no time limit, so if you are wrong on the timing, you can always make a comeback on the next move.

$1 S&P 500 Monthly since 1982 - Bullish until 2000, Bearish until valuations drop at least 62%

Led by the S&P, the next move in global equities is a black-hole plunge. Rather than protect long portfolios with Puts, why not liquidate them entirely? The Fed's stimulatory hand is played-out, & the impending Crash will strike with such force that the Silver Bullet from the past will no longer suffice to resuscitate the market. Since the market forecasts the economy more accurately than any economist, this time it?s we, who must bite the Silver Bullet. Genuine Bull Markets reflect economic expansion by sub-dividing into 5-waves; Bear Market Rallies, like the Roaring Twenties, and Bernake's megalomaniac Put are illusory, 3-wave upsides within larger Bear Markets. Only a 5-wave Crash is final. Artificial stimulus is an illicit drug, for which the Fed is the Global Pusher . Rather than more ?hair of the dog?, addicted economies can only heal via cold turkey abstinence. In return for numbing the pain of economic contraction, we have prevented healing the addiction, to dramatically aggravating the economy's ability to heal. By distorting economic incentives to divert capital away from the most worthy ventures, stimulus has exacerbated excess to perpetuate illusory Bubbles. The price of stimulus is a far more austere & enduring Depression, required to wring-out the excess via a rapid, downward GDP spiral to back-out stimulus in its entirety. Once the dollar collapse gains momentum to become universally recognized, the massive exodus out of the Dollar-denominated assets will force interest rates to skyrocket, to balloon the national debt out of control. As documented by Rogoff and Reinhart documented, This Time is NEVER different - eight centuries of financial Folly -a US default of its foreign debt is inevitable. Just as the 1929 withdrawal of US gold reserves from Germany intensified bitter depression, a debased dollar will kill the US ability to borrow on international markets, to topple the American Empire

$1 The Euro priced in Dollars - the B-wave rally will likely exceed the 2008 top of $1.6/Euro.

Like Gold, the Euro is inversely related to US equities. The start of the B-wave, Bear Market Rally in the Euro converges with the same for GOLD....the Euro is backed by far more gold than the US Dollar. QE in the European Union is 2 years old, relatively new compared with US Monetary Easing since 1998 under Greenspan ... in the intermediate term, stimulus appears to do the trick for those with a short time horizon, such as politicians...The Euro is the optimal safe haven for low-risk capital. Yet despite the low risk characteristics, the returns will beat just about any equity position. You don't really believe Ben Bernanke reversed the Bear Market, do you?

$1 USD - Monthly Bear Market since 2001, Completed the B-Wave, Bear Market Rally in 2016 to plunge i

Page 1 has the Big Picture Monthly Charts, pages 2 & 3 show close-ups in Weekly and Daily candles. The Dollar has peaked long-term in Wave B. This Bear Market Rally is OVER!, Like All Bear Markets and corrections, it sub-divides into 3 waves, labelled A-B-C in bold blue. The B-wave is ALWAYS a 3-wave Bear Market Rally sandwiched in between two plunges in A & C. Labeled (a)-(b)-(c) in light blue, highlights Wave B's the 3-wave structure to confirm this is a TERMINAL move. As you can see the Market is a fractal. The upside correction to the Dollar is likewise an a-b-c bounce of a minor wave ii. In other words upside corrections are inverse fractals of the larger trend. After the a-wave of an a-b-c dead cat bounce, the b wave could drop a bit lower,....We Swing Trade these masterfully...this is an opportune time to take a trial subscription with a 30-day 100% money back guarantee. With the current market conditions this is a low-risk high return phase for Bears, and time to drop your bullish habits to preserve purchasing power & lifestyle. So if the Dollar has been debased, this time, cash & T-Bonds will be big losers. Instead of holding dollars, why not just buy Euros with your Cash. In 2008, the Euro peaked at $1.60/Euro.... with nowhere else to go, the Euro is again the only logical Dollar Safe Haven. Unlike the US, the Euro manipulation is relatively recent. Initially all stimulus appears to work. Just look at how high the Greenback and the S&P have climbed with stimulus. However, from here on out, unlevered dollar-denominated assets are for losers. Only the right asset classes, augmented by leverage, will overwhelm the dollar?s purchasing power erosion. Now's the time to bail-out of over-valued, dollar-denominated assets to buy the Euro scraping bottom. Exceptional Bear provides expertly timed trading signals for the Euro, long and short. The overdue dead cat bounce is the opportunity to sell T-bonds & either buy Euro Cash as an ETF, or

$1b SILVER - Monthly a nascent Bull Market

the nascent B-wave, Bear Market Rally in Silver will likely exceed the 2011 high , making for a buoyant 3-5 year RALLY in Silver, as equities crater.

$1c Natural Gas - Monthly

The long chart of Natural Gas since 1990 shows the long Bull Market in Natural Gas prefaced by a 9 year bullish, Diag II, (green) the most bullish of all price patterns in a colossal beginning. Cycle Wave III should top at least 61.8% higher than Cycle Wave I, in the area of 22. The third wave stair-steps up in magnitude to arrive at Cycle Degree at the Tip, after Primary wave 4. Currently Cycle wave 2 will likely retrace the area of 1.5-2. The next long upside is wave 3, in the meantime, best remain short via the inverse or short Gas. Note how Cycle Wave II is clearly an A-B-C structure typical of all corrections. Bear markets are corrections at higher magnitudes, requiring at least a weekly chart to see the entirety on one page. Next a transition from bearish to bullish shown in purple under time in years on the x-axis - this 3-wave structure is an essential characteristic of the Wave Principle discovered by RN Elliott, Robert Prechter naively discarded it at the beginning of his career and incorrigibly refused to recant in arrogance. Elliott called this the A-B Base prior to a Bull run, however it occurs when reversing bullish to bearish, proportional to the degree of magnitude.

$1d WTIC - Crude Oil Monthly

The Big Picture Monthly Crude Oil since 1997. is beginning Cycle Wave III Bull Market. Primary wave 2 could trough in an irregular bottom in the area of 22. The Crude Bull Market Topped Cycle Wave I in 2008, as stocks and the Dollar went into free-fall. Still inversely related to equities, Wave III should break through the roof, as equities go into free-fall. This time, we can expect a similarly lagging Rally in crude oil. Before OIL can take off, it must first stop-out many Buy & Hold fools. The likely low is in the range of $27. Once the dumb money gets stopped out, there are no sellers on the way up, fueling a Spike... For now, we hold INVERSE, or short Crude Oil, as the better option, going our way.

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