Art's Charts

June 2010

Art's Charts

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SPY becomes oversold near May lows

by Arthur Hill

At this point the medium-term trends (daily charts) are clearly in bear mode (downtrends). However, the major index ETFs are short-term oversold after sharp declines. In addition, many are trading near potential support from their May lows. "Potential" is the key word here... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY forms triangle within downtrend

by Arthur Hill

The demise of the consumer discretionary remains the most important event of the last few weeks. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) was holding up fine in May, but came down hard in June and is the weakest of the eight sectors this month... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY forms spinning top near key retracement

by Arthur Hill

After a four day decline, SPY formed a big spinning top to establish a potential support zone around 107-108. These candlesticks have small bodies and long upper/lower shadows. The small bodies reflect little change from open to close... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary flips back to negative

by Arthur Hill

There have been three changes in the last three weeks. The summary turned negative on 11-June, positive on 18-June and negative again on 24-June. Interpretation of these indicators is somewhat subjective... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY extends short-term downtrend

by Arthur Hill

The daily chart is looking rather ugly. It all started with Monday's reversal day near the 50% retracement. Selling pressure continued on Tuesday with a move below the resistance breakout... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY consolidates below support break

by Arthur Hill

On the daily chart, SPY failed to hold the breakout at 110.5 and remains below support from broken resistance. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger decline? Ideally, a pullback should be a little tamer... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY breaks support ahead of FOMC

by Arthur Hill

Stocks took it on the chin Tuesday with big losses in the major index ETFs. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and S&P 400 MidCap ETF (MDY) led the way lower with losses greater than 2%... Read More 

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A wild day in the market

by Arthur Hill

It was a pretty crazy day on Wall Street - and in the rest of the markets. Stocks surged in early trading on news that China would allow the Yuan to strengthen for the first time since July 2005. Obviously, China is not in any hurry to let its currency rise... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY holds its breakout

by Arthur Hill

Stocks held their ground on Friday and most major indices ended with small gains, very small gains. Sectors were mixed with three down, five up and one unchanged (tech)... Read More 

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Indicator Summary flips positive

by Arthur Hill

After one week in negative territory, the indicator summary flipped back into positive territory on Friday, 18-June... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks eke out another gain

by Arthur Hill

Stocks traded mixed most of the day, but a late rally pushed the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow into positive territory for the close. The final gain was small though. In addition, the Russell 2000 and S&P 600 SmallCap Index both finished with small losses... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Market turns mixed after big advance

by Arthur Hill

After a big advance the prior six days, trading turned mixed as the market consolidated its gains. Over the last seven days, IWM is up 7.74%, MDY is up 7.2%, QQQQ is up 6.13%, SPY is up 5.01% and DIA is up 4.88%... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Breakouts and resistance challenges

by Arthur Hill

Stocks surged on Tuesday with the major index ETFs gaining over 2%. The gains were rather uniform with a range from 2.27% in the S&P 100 to 2.82% in the Nasdaq 100... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Selling pressure at resistance

by Arthur Hill

Trading turned mixed as the Dow and S&P 500 tested important resistance levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished with small gains, but the Dow and Nasdaq 100 finished with small losses... Read More 

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SPY surges off support

by Arthur Hill

The surge over the last two days did not occur on the strongest breadth or volume, but support from the February low held and the bigger uptrend remains in place. As long as the bigger trend is up, the odds favor the bulls as SPY surges off support... Read More 

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Indicator Summary turns negative

by Arthur Hill

Small-caps broke down this week and the Bullish Percent Index indicator turned bearish. These two were enough to turn the indicator summary negative for the first time since March 5th. Techs were also hit hard this week, but the $COMPQ:$NYA ratio remains in an uptrend... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY gaps and closes strong

by Arthur Hill

Stocks surged with a broad rally that lifted most boats. All major indices were up 3% or so. The Russell 2000 (+3.48%) slightly outperformed the S&P 500 (+2.95%). The Russell 2000 should have been up 5% on a day like today (damper number 1)... Read More 

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Stocks give back their gains

by Arthur Hill

Stocks surged in early trading with SPY moving above 108 in the morning, but gave back these gains, and more, with an afternoon plunge. There it is again: another late round of selling pressure... Read More 

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A lopsided bounce

by Arthur Hill

The stock market rebounded on Tuesday, but the bounce was rather lopsided as techs lagged significantly. The S&P 500 and the Dow gained over 1%, but the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 finished slightly negative... Read More 

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Oversold and near the Feb low

by Arthur Hill

It was another day of heavy selling pressure, but not as heavy as Friday. The AD Lines and AD Volume Lines for the Nasdaq and NYSE all moved to new lows for the move. Even with these new lows, selling pressure is less than it was in May... Read More 

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SPY fails at resistance

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were hit hard on Friday with the major indices losing 3-5%. The Dow held up the best with a 3.15% loss, while the Russell 2000 fared the worst with a 5% loss. Stocks started with a sharp gap down and continued lower throughout the day... Read More 

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Indicator Summary remains positive

by Arthur Hill

There is no real change in the indicator summary. The market remains split with some bearish indicators and some bullish indications. This is normal after a severe correction that tests the viability of the long-term bull market (March 2009 to present)... Read More 

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Techs and small-caps lead

by Arthur Hill

Even though the Dow gained just .06% and the S&P 500 was up .46%, the Nasdaq gained .96% and the Russell 2000 was up 1.05%. Techs and small-caps doubled the gains seen in the large-cap dominated S&P 500... Read More 

Art's Charts

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A pretty impressive rally

by Arthur Hill

After declining on Friday and Tuesday, stocks rallied throughout the day on Wednesday. This is especially impressive when we consider that European stocks were down sharply and the Euro was getting hit on Wednesday morning... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY breaks wedge support

by Arthur Hill

Weakness in Asia and Europe led to a weak open on Wall Street, but stocks managed to firm in the first hour and tech stocks led a morning rebound. These gains were holding in the early afternoon, but selling pressure in the final hour pushed stocks sharply lower... Read More 

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Getting cold feet already

by Arthur Hill

Last week's reversal and breakout at 110 were positive, but the five week trend remains down. Participants got cold feet on Friday as SPY moved back below 110 by the close. Nevertheless the ETF is holding the majority of last Thursday's gains. A move below 106... Read More