Art's Charts

September 2015

Art's Charts

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Ten Stocks Holding up Well over the last Two Months

by Arthur Hill

The medium-term and short-term trends for the major index ETFs are down, but there are some stocks holding up well over the last two months and I am highlighting ten today... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Cash Outperforms - Bond ETFs Struggle with Breakouts - Oil Firms Somewhat - Gold Hits Resistance

by Arthur Hill

Cash Outperforms Defensive Sectors Correlations rise when the major stock indices are in downtrends. In addition, the deeper and sharper the decline, the higher the positive correlation among stocks. This means there are few places to hide when the stock market turns down... Read More 

Art's Charts

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MT Breadth Stays Bearish - Follow Through to ST Signals -- Housing and Internet Look Vulnerable -- Video

by Arthur Hill

Bigger Trend and Breadth Remain Bearish Programming note: I will add a video to this commentary by 10AM ET. Also note that I will not be doing a webinar on Tuesday, but will post a commentary. There is no change in the medium-term trends and indicators for the major index ETFs... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts Worth Watching -- AMZN, AAPL, FB, NFLX, PANW, TASR, TSLA, UA, XOM and more

by Arthur Hill

The next charts show mostly stocks in uptrends with recent breakouts. For example, AMZN broke out on September 8th and this breakout is holding. The ability to hold a breakout in a weak market shows both absolute and relative strength... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Volatility-Adjusted Channels - QQQ-SPY-IWM Firm in Gap Zone - XLK-XLY Hold Support - Economic Data Net Positive

by Arthur Hill

Using Volatility-Adjusted Channels Note that I will be making a second post today with some individual stock charts (AMZN, AAPL, FB, NFLX, PANW, TASR, TSLA, UA, XOM and more)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Bearish Momentum Signals - Short S&P 500 ETF Signal -- Analyzing Short QQQ ETF - Stock Alternatives Strengthen

by Arthur Hill

Medium-term (MT), the major index ETFs are in downtrends after the August support breaks. In addition, the PPO (20,120,1) and PPO (10,60,1) are in negative territory to confirm these downtrends. Short-term (ST), the major index ETFs are mixed... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Wedges Under Threat -- Momentum Signals Trigger -- Banks Lead Lower - Webinar Recording

by Arthur Hill

With the Fed noise behind us, for the most part at least, we can now focus on some untainted price action to define trends in the stock market. I view this week as important because there is less noise and chartists should watch for a decisive move - one way of the other... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Wedges versus Noise -- Flags and Pennants in Energy

by Arthur Hill

Wedges are Still Rising - Despite the Noise The stock market has certainly seen its fair share of noise in September. This noise includes the usual chatter from the talking heads and the Fed, as well as some volatile price action... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Battle of the Wedges - Stocks Versus Bonds

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and the 7-10 YR T-Bond ETF (IEF) are going their separate ways as opposing wedges takes shape and IEF outperforms SPY (bonds outperform stocks). First, note that I am using close-only price charts to filter out some of the noise few weeks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Weighing of the Evidence -- Triangle Evolves into Wedge -- ST Breadth Overbought -- Gold, Silver, Euro and Yen

by Arthur Hill

Medium-term Evidence Remains Bearish Video will be posted around 11AM ET. The bulk of the medium-term evidence remains bearish for the stock market as a whole. I noted that a bullish breadth thrust occurred on Thursday... Read More 

Art's Charts

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RSI Hits Moment of Truth, Retail Perks Up and Bond Market Front Runs the Fed

by Arthur Hill

Large-Techs and Mid-caps Lead in September The September bounce is shaping up rather nicely with the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P MidCap 400 leading the major indices. The PerfChart below shows the month-to-date performance for eight stock indices... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Gaps and Wedges Do Battle with August Support Breaks

by Arthur Hill

The major index ETFs remain in medium-term downtrends and short-term uptrends. Well, the short-term uptrend in SPY is up for debate because a triangle is taking shape. Nevertheless, SPY, QQQ and IWM gapped up last Tuesday and these gaps held for five days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Breadth Indicator Overview, All 9 Sectors in Downtrends, Oil Hits Resistance, Gold and Silver Dull, Copper Leads Base Metals Bounce

by Arthur Hill

There is clearly a bearish headwind working against stocks right now. The major stock indices are in downtrends after their August support breaks, the key breadth indicators are bearish and all nine sectors are in downtrends... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Bullish Breadth Thrust Falls Short -- Wedges Evolve as August Breaks Hold -- 5 Large-Caps to Watch

by Arthur Hill

Bullish Breadth Thrust Falls Short Stocks surged on Wednesday's open, but quickly gave up these gains and declined into the close. Selling pressure was quite broad as AD Percent for the S&P 500 exceeded -80%. Small-caps held up better as S&P 600 AD Percent finished at -56%... Read More 

Art's Charts

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A Bullish Breadth Thrust in the Making - Index and Sector Breadth Overview

by Arthur Hill

Breadth was exceptionally strong the last two weeks and the broad market indices are on the verge of a bullish breadth thrust. Despite a couple big down days last week, AD Percent for the major index ETFs put in four strong readings in the last nine trading days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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August Break Downs Rule Medium-Term, but Bullish Pennants Shake Up the Short-Term - Webinar Recording

by Arthur Hill

Click here for the recording QQQ Shows Relative Strength as Pennant Takes Shape There are two narratives at work in the stock market and these are reflected on the charts for QQQ, SPY and IWM... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Oversold Bounces Fall Short, Reviewing Bottoms in 2014, 2011 and 2010, Big Three Sectors Remain Bearish, Defensive Sectors Offer Little Relief, Housing and Biotech Hold Up

by Arthur Hill

Oversold Bounces Fall Short The overall trend remains down for the major index ETFs (QQQ, SPY and IWM). Trading turned volatile with the mid August breakdowns, but the breakdowns remain and these are the dominant feature on most stock-related charts... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Trading VIX Extremes, Big Techs Hold Up Well, QQQ Rebounds, Housing Holds, XRT Finishes Strong, Semis Surge and 11 Stocks to Watch

by Arthur Hill

What do VIX Extremes Tell Us? Even though it can be difficult to trade based on extremes, note that the volatility indices are at extremes that suggest plenty of fear and this could foreshadow a bounce... Read More 

Art's Charts

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5 Airline Stocks with Strong SCTRs and 6 Charts worth Watching

by Arthur Hill

This is just a quick and dirty note regarding today's strength in airline stocks. The table below shows eight airline stocks, the Airline ETF (JETS) and the DJ US Airline Index ($DJUSAR)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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QQQ Fails at Support Break, Defensive Sectors Less Weak, Housing Holds, Retail and Banking Break and Biotechs Weigh

by Arthur Hill

Stock futures are sharply lower on Tuesday morning and this means the oversold bounce is failing below the support break for the major index ETFs, sector ETFs and most industry group ETFs. Stocks became very oversold in mid August and then rebounded with sharp rallies last week... Read More