Art's Charts

September 2022

Art's Charts

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Understanding Bear Markets and Setting Expectations

by Arthur Hill

Technical analysts often scoff at the notion that a 20% decline marks a bear market. However, a look back shows that further losses are certainly possible after a 20% decline... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Correlations Rise as Bear Extends its Grip

by Arthur Hill

Despite the bear market environment, a handful of stock-based ETFs were showing leadership with bullish Trend Composite signals. Representatives from dirty energy (XLE), clean energy (TAN) and utilities (XLU) were covered over the last few weeks and this article is a follow-up... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Coming Up Aces in Clean Energy

by Arthur Hill

The broad market environment remains bearish, but one group stood out in early August and continues to stand out. The Solar Energy ETF (TAN) was featured on August 1st as the Trend Composite turned bullish and clean energy was featured as an emerging theme on August 5th... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Energy-based ETFs Hold Up Despite Weakness in Stocks and Oil

by Arthur Hill

It has been a rough four weeks for stocks and oil, but the energy-related ETFs held up relatively well and remain in uptrends. The PerfChart below shows performance for SPY, oil, the DB Energy ETF (DBE) and five energy-related ETFs since August 16th, which is when SPY peaked... Read More 

Art's Charts

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So Called Defensive ETFs are Not Immune

by Arthur Hill

The short-term trends for the big three are down (SPY, QQQ, IWM) and we are in a bear market. Over the last two weeks, the short-term trend (down) aligned with the long-term trend (down). This is a powerful combination that can lead to rising correlation among stocks... Read More