DecisionPoint

November 2014

DecisionPoint

DP Weekly Update: Stocks Flat; Big Drop for Crude - November 28, 2014

by Erin Swenlin

The market closed slightly lower but it remained within the narrow range of the previous four trading days... Read More 

DecisionPoint

"Model Behavior" - Focus on the DecisionPoint Price Momentum Model (PMM)

by Carl Swenlin

The purpose of a trading model is to define certain conditions that, when met, alert us to consider making a decision to buy or sell. We assume that a large majority of technical analysts use trading models of some kind to assist in their trading decisions... Read More 

DecisionPoint

DP Weekly Update: Rally Cools Quickly - November 21, 2014

by Erin Swenlin

Note: The DP Weekly Update will now be published every Friday so we can analyze the final weekly charts. Price surged on the open likely helped by China lowering its interest rates for the first time in two years. After that it was all downhill... Read More 

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What Does a DecisionPoint Trend Model "Neutral" Signal Mean?

by Erin Swenlin

It was rightly brought to my attention that I haven't really explained what DecisionPoint Trend Model signals imply, especially the "Neutral" signal... Read More 

DecisionPoint

DP Weekly Update: Indicators Turn Back Down - November 19, 2014

by Erin Swenlin

NOTE: The DP Weekly Update will be moving to Fridays. That way you'll get a review of the weekly charts as well as the regular commentary. After breaking out yesterday, price broke down. The breakdown actually began at the end of yesterday where we noted that it could be problem... Read More 

DecisionPoint

Bond Timer of the Year?

by Erin Swenlin

I don't like to toot my own horn, but Chip suggested I do today! Most of you are not aware that the DecisionPoint Trend Model signals have been tracked for many years by Timer Digest, a professional publication for market timers... Read More 

DecisionPoint

Advance-Decline Lines Still Confirming Market Highs

by Carl Swenlin

We see plenty of indicators that tell us that there is a possibility for a correction, but not all indicators are sending that message. One in particular is the Advance-Decline Line (A-D Line)... Read More 

DecisionPoint

DP Weekly Update: Small Price Top

by Erin Swenlin

Price continues to consolidate. The market seems to be disinterested in a breakdown. The purpose of the DecisionPoint Daily Update is to quickly review the day's action, internal condition, and Trend Model status of the broad market (S&P 500), the nine SPDR Sectors, the U.S... Read More 

DecisionPoint

LT Double Bottom on the Nikkei

by Carl Swenlin

We've been hearing how Japan's latest foray into money printing has been such a great help for their stock market, but it is always best to see if the chart matches the story. After rising strongly off the late-2012 low, the Nikkei moved sideways for over two years... Read More 

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Intermediate-Term Indicators Overbought Again

by Erin Swenlin

As I wrote my DP Daily Update today, I noticed that our intermediate-term indicators have joined our short-term indicators in very overbought territory... Read More 

DecisionPoint

DP Weekly Update: More All-Time Highs - November 5, 2014

by Erin Swenlin

The market was up all day making new all-time highs, but still spent the majority of the day moving sideways... Read More 

DecisionPoint

Crude Oil (USO) Reaches Important Support

by Carl Swenlin

Crude oil has dropped below $80.00 and is currently trading at about $76.50. We use the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (USO) as a surrogate for crude because it incorporates the cost of trading the futures contracts, and provides a simple vehicle for trading crude... Read More