Top Advisors Corner

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At the Edge of Chaos: The Stock Market is Betting that the Fed will Fold

by Joe Duarte

The stock market is already pricing in a Federal Reserve reversal of its quest toward higher rates. And while a Fed pause would be bullish for stocks, it's way too early to make big bets... Read More 

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Focus on Companies That Beat Earnings Expectations

by John Hopkins

When the market is in turmoil, you need to look for any advantage you can get to help you make successful trades. This includes zeroing in on those companies that beat both top- and bottom-line expectations and also guide higher... Read More 

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Gasoline Consumption Rebounding, But Still Down

by Tom McClellan

When we were all locked down for COVID in April 2020, total gasoline consumption in the U.S. fell to a low rate that month of 228 million gallons per day. That is the lowest single month reading in the EIA's dataset, which dates all the way back to 1983... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle May 24, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Sold 5/24/22 at 3941.65= gain 1.033%; Long SPX on 5/20/22 at 3901.36. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: The Stock Market's Decline May End Just as Suddenly as it Started

by Joe Duarte

When the current bear market is over, I expect we will see a whole new set of opportunities to make money. But, for now, patience and vigilance remain the key to success. Knowledge is Power You know you're in a bear market when China cuts a major interest rate and the U.S... Read More 

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Lumber's Pullback is a Message for Real Estate

by Tom McClellan

Lumber futures prices peaked at $1,670 per 1,000 board feet back on May 7, 2021. This is relevant because lumber prices tend to lead a lot of housing-related data series by about a year. This week's chart looks at the Case-Shiller U.S... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Are Job Cuts Gathering Steam? The Next Step in Fed-Induced MELA Meltdown

by Joe Duarte

I am watching the action in both the stock and bond markets, as both are signaling that a potential change in trend may be in the offering. The Federal Reserve, the U.S... Read More 

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Investors Intelligence Data at Bearish Extreme

by Tom McClellan

When prices go down, people turn more bearish. It is a natural human phenomenon, and it is still working during the current price decline... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: The Fed is Pushing the U.S. into a Recession, But Bear Markets Don't Last Forever

by Joe Duarte

Trader indecision and confusion is making this market nearly impossible to trade. The result is that fewer and fewer players will likely participate and illiquidity will increase, further increasing volatility... Read More 

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The Bad Things That QT3 Will Bring

by Tom McClellan

The Federal Reserve announced on May 4, 2022 that it would start to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) beginning on June 1, 2022. Their plan is to sell off $30 billion of Treasuries and $17... Read More 

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Higher Expectations

by Mike Zaccardi

After a brutal April of stock and bond losses, I glanced at the May asset-class return outlook from Vanguard Group. Many investors and pro-money managers scoff at such forecasts., for good reason – they are notoriously off in their estimates for the years ahead... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle May 3, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 3/25/22 at 4543.06. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Tales from the Road – It Sure Feels Like a Bear Market

by Joe Duarte

Stocks are very oversold at the moment, which means that some sort of bounce is plausible. Still, this market is starting to become a very dangerous place... Read More