Top Advisors Corner

October 2022

Top Advisors Corner

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At the Edge of Chaos: The Fed Will Raise Rates—But By How Much? And How Will the Market Respond?

by Joe Duarte

The stock market is probably pricing in a "pivot" of some sort from the Fed. This is a risky bet, especially in a poor liquidity environment. And if you're having a déjà vu flash, it's because this rally looks a lot like the summer rally... Read More 

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The VIX Shows There's More Room to the Upside

by John Hopkins

Friday was a very telling day. Four major tech stocks -- AMZN, GOOGL, META and MSFT-- got whacked after reporting earnings during the week, which would lead you to think the NASDAQ would get crushed... Read More 

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Timing the Start of a Recession

by Tom McClellan

We have all heard that an economic recession is imminent, because, after all, the Fed is tightening aggressively, and we have an inverted yield curve... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle October 26, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 10/10/22 at 3612.39; sold 12/13/22 at 3669.91 = gain 1.59%. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. The top window is the SPY with its Bollinger Bands... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Any Positive Surprise Could Launch a Huge Stock Market Rally

by Joe Duarte

Markets love to make fools of us all. And this market is so oversold that any positive surprise could launch a huge rally as pervasive bearishness, an olive branch from the Fed and, perhaps, a short-term improvement in liquidity may have arrived... Read More 

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Coppock Curve Still Working On a Major Bottom Signal

by Tom McClellan

I want to introduce you to a really old indicator created a few decades ago, but which still has relevance today. This week's chart shows an indicator that technical analysts for years have referred to as the "Coppock Curve". Developed years ago by the late E.S.C... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle October 18, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 10/10/22 at 3612.39; sold 12/13/22 at 3669.91 = gain 1.59%. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. The above chart is the "National Association of Active Investment Managers", a.k.a... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Liquidity is Drying Up; Cash is Looking Good. Supply and Demand Equilibrium Favors Homebuilders

by Joe Duarte

The Fed isn't likely to stop raising rates anytime soon, which means cash is starting to become a viable competitor to the increasingly volatile trading in stocks and bonds. Moreover, liquidity is now reaching very dangerous levels... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle October 11, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 10/10/22 at 3612.39. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: October Surprise - Liquidity Evaporates, Buyers Disappear, Short Sellers Surge, Bullish Setup in Energy

by Joe Duarte

The Fed is about to get its wish, as the stock market is showing the ominous signs that lead to significant losses. Hint: short sellers are increasing, and buyers are walking away... Read More 

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COT Report Data Work Backwards in Bitcoin

by Tom McClellan

The data that the CFTC publishes in its weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) Report tell us about the positioning of the different types of traders that they track. That can provide useful sentiment indications for a variety of futures markets, if interpreted correctly... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Elvis Has Left the Building. Selling is About to Pick Up Some Speed.

by Joe Duarte

It looks as if the proverbial "Elvis has left the building" moment has finally arrived on Wall Street... Read More