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The first two pages contain charts that measure perceptions of the overall markets. The main equity indexes (S&P500/ Dow Industrials/ Nasdaq) and key measures of bond markets, the TED Spread, Gold, Currencies, and special ratio charts in the special 'Ace way' that makes things clear and simple to see.
The 10 major Sector SPDR ETFs are tracked with Ace's favorite trend indicators and oscillators! If one understands the trends and cycles of these charts, then they will have a very good grasp of the major rotations of the smart money traders. These charts show up on Page 19 of my Chart List and their symbols begin with the letter 'X'.
The second new feature is a hand-picked selection of the IBD 50 stocks. I use many of my favored indicators on these DAILY charts, including the dynamic 13. 50, 100 and 200 MA lines. (IBD usually shows WEEKLY charts-- you can see DAILY here!) I show the proper bases on these charts as base theory is critical in the IBD 50 stock selection and CANSLIM systems. Of course, IBD 50 and CANSLIM are successful trading systems developed by Investor's Business Daily. These charts start on Page 10. I am not associated or affiliated with the IBD in any way and my charts are strictly my interpretations, Please visit their website to learn more at www.investors.com .
Finally, I have added a section known as 'the Internet of Things.' These are the 13 wonders identified by many investors as the key stocks leading the internet revolution as we enter the middle years of the 21st century. Now, track these stocks with me beginning on Page 12.
* IBD 50 and SPDR Select are trade-mark names; I claim no association with the vendors of these products. My chart interpretations are strictly one person's opinion of publicly traded stocks.
IBD 50 is a proprietary ranking system by Investor%27s Business Daily. My charts are my personal representations of publicly traded stocks. My list of IBD 50 stocks may not be current and my chart views may differ in opinion of the IBD rankings. Go to www.investors.com to see the official and current list.
This is my 30 Minutes $VIX chart. Gaps happen quite often, and very often, those gaps get filled within 1 to 4 trading days. Actually, many gaps get filled on the same day or the next. So, the next time you see an open gap on this chart, you can almost guess the direction of the next major move in $VIX.
July 3, 2018: With the large increase in volatility in 2018, many traders at the 'Ace Talking Stocks Forum' are trading the Vix products once again. I am adding the 5 minutes/ 3 day view of TVIX and UVXY to the top of my Public Chartlist to accomodate their requests to see these charts on an intra-day basis.
July 8, 2018: QQQ did find support at the 50 day and began to rally by late in the holiday week. Can it continue as big money traders return to their trading desks?
July 3, 2018: QQQ lost the support of its long up-trend line on June 25th. There is also concern that the price fell into the lower Keltner Channel, but the rising 50 day line is serving as support for the time being. My concern is that the 50 day, though supportive, could fail to hold longer term with a weak MACD graph. Also, notice the 13 EMA line is containing the top side as the line drives closer to the 50 MA. As the price gets 'caught in the pocket' of the 13-50 approaching down-cross, this could drive QQQ downward. Keep a close eye on this pocket area in the days to come.
March 2018: QQQ shows an outside reversal candle on March 13th's all-time high day...and then the price fell out of an Island Top a few days later...these are bearish signs for QQQ and can present serious resistance to any future rallies. Buy the dips buyers may want to be more cautious with this set up?
UPDATE: March 11/18- A positive turn for the market Bulls! A wedge line breakout is a positive for HYG and equity investors-- at least for the near term.
UPDATE: March 3, 2018- HYG is clearly in a correction! The 200 day line now serves as resistance where before, it provided long time support. The down-trend channel is clearly defined. JNK is in a similar pattern. HYG and JNK can serve as 'harbingers of things to come' for the US stock markets in general. Stock investors should be moving toward cash or shorting the market as rallies in stocks are more likely to get sold.
UPDATE: November 9, 2017 - HYG hit an outright SELL signal today a few days after ACE and his followers exited with profits off the early XXX exit signal. A selloff in HYG can be like a canary in a coal mine, because the US Stock indexes will often follow the HYG in direction. So, watch US stock markets with caution now.
UPDATE 7/3/18: TLT broke through the 200 day resistance a few sessions ago. All bets on higher interest rates on the long bonds are off the table in the current 'risk off' period. With the price basing in a gap island above the 200 day line, bond shorts should remain cautious until a clearer picture develops.
UPDATE: 3/3/2018- The critical line in the sand for TLT is the $117.70 price give or take about 15 cents either side of that line. This is a critical over/under mark which has been tested several times recently as I have pointed out at my website forum (www.acestocktrader.com). As long as TLT can remain above this price point, the US equities market seems to do okay. But below that mark, and all trouble breaks loose! There are two key trend lines which intersect in the $117.70 area and help to define it in algorithmic formulas. A clear break below that point shows little support (outside of Fibonacci retracements) until about $113.80, potentially leading to a bond market (and stock market) rout should that occur. Bulls may not know it, but equity and bond markets are precariously close to a major correction.
Update: 3/3/2018- The $USD chart hit the 50 day resistance line this past week and was pushed back there, as would be expected with the 50 day in decline. Now, it appears that $USD will be moving down again to re-test the recent double bottom set in February. Gold could advance in early March if this plays out as outlined here.
Update: 1/13/18- As I expected, the US $ index has hit a new 52 week low. I don't see any immediate technical support coming in. Gold price touches nearly $1,340 on 1/17/18.
Update on 11/23/17: It seems not many people are paying attention, but the Dollar's long term outlook changed when the 200 day line turned downward.
07/03/18: The price dip below the 13 EMA line and the Keltner center line on June 29th ended the rally out of the cup base that began on May 20th. Traders should have booked their profits no later than June 29th. Now a clear down-trend is established with prices in the lower Keltner Channel and overhead resistance tested by the 50 MA line. I suspect that the set-up is more bearish for commodities than many investors may think, but granted, the situation can still be corrected.
Weekly chart for West Texas Intermediate Oil
UPDATE: on 4/12/16 Break-through of down-trend wedge line is bullish for both oil and stocks. See daily chart for more precise positions, resistance and support lines.
UPDATE on 3/28/2016: The Weekly Chart shows WTI trying to break up through a steep down-trend line (blue-dashed), but so far, the strong resistance of that down-trend line is holding. OIL is at a crossroads--depending on how it breaks, will likely determine the direction of equities and commodities in the next few weeks. One can see that if WTI should break higher, that the next key resistance area would be $48. See the daily chart for more precise day-to-day projections.
UPDATE on 7/29/16: I just concluded a quite successful short trade on USO as the WTI OIl chart reaches my intermediate target at the 200 day line. Will wait for the bounce to play on out on oil, before looking to short USO again. Mike
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