Mish's Market Minute

January 2024

Mish's Market Minute

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Post Tech Earnings & FOMC -- Give Retail Investors Credit

by Mish Schneider

Although Microsoft and Alphabet, Inc. reported better-than-expected earnings after hours, and then with follow-up during the trading session, sellers came out to lock in gains or perhaps go short. After all, tech has done much of the market's heavy lifting to date... Read More 

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Higher Gold Price Coming, But Investors Must Be Patient

by Mish Schneider

For today, I am reprinting an interview I did for Kitco News with Neils Christensen, written by Neils... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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A Word and A Chart About and On Alibaba

by Mish Schneider

Alibaba.com is one of the world's largest wholesale marketplaces. To be honest, I had never gone to their website until today, even though we bought shares in BABA 2 weeks ago. So, in case you are like me and have not checked them out, they sell a lot of consumer items in bulk... Read More 

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Inflation Fell to the Fed's Target -- Or is That a Moving Target?

by Mish Schneider

On Friday, the market woke up to great news. Mission accomplished on inflation. Yahoo Finance reported: "The Fed's preferred inflation measure — a 'core' Personal Consumption Expenditures index that excludes volatile food and energy prices — clocked in at 2... Read More 

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Remember Those 3 Signs of Inflation to Watch?

by Mish Schneider

As a follow-up to a daily I wrote earlier in January called "Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away", yesterday's January 23rd daily was all about one of the three indicators that can get us prepared for more inflation. On January 5th, sugar was still trading under 22 cents... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Time for Sweet Talk: Sugar Futures

by Mish Schneider

The biggest mover so far in one month's time is sugar futures, up over 16%... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Economic Modern Family Has Divisive Weekly Charts

by Mish Schneider

Over the weekend, I covered the daily charts on the Economic Modern Family, featuring the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Retail (XRT). Both are lagging the benchmark and in the middle of their January trend calendar ranges... Read More 

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Economic Modern Family's Engine Idles While Growth Goes Fast and Furious

by Mish Schneider

Let's get right to it. The charts and our tools are telling. To start, I always look at moving averages and phases. Then I look at Real Motion and momentum to see if there is a divergence to price... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Trend Trade: January 6-Month Calendar Range Reset!

by Mish Schneider

We are super excited to announce that today starts the official January 6-month calendar range! As you can see in the chart for Apple, the small red and green horizontal lines have appeared on one of our favorite platforms at StockCharts.com... Read More 

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Are Key Commodities Decoupling from Equities?

by Mish Schneider

After a long weekend, the market action on January 16th held some surprises. The Bullish Trends, or gainers, were the dollar and -- here is the surprise for some -- many different commodities... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Drilling Down Into Gold and Silver

by Mish Schneider

With the news on geopolitical escalation, soft versus hard landing, disinflation versus reinflation, growth versus value, and credit default versus available disposable income, gold and silver are even more interesting now... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Markets: Recap of This Week's Market Dailies

by Mish Schneider

I began the week focused on bank earnings, which we will wake up to tomorrow. In that Daily, I wrote, "one can assume that bank stocks, which already started off the year extremely well, have potential to shine. "However, we know that assumptions can be tricky... Read More 

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Markets: Week 1, Week 2 -- What's Next in Week 3?

by Mish Schneider

Looking at the Economic Modern Family (weekly charts), all of them, to date, peaked in December. The Russell 2000, Regional Banks, Transportation and Retail, as far as index and sectors go, backed off the most from their peaks... Read More 

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Commodities Trade Analysis: Aluminum

by Mish Schneider

As a main aluminum producer, Alcoa (AA) announced cost-cutting measures, along with plans to curtail production at one Western Australian Refinery. But that is just one facility, and the company plans to continue to operate its port facilities located alongside the refinery... Read More 

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Bank Earnings Up -- Time to Look at Regional Banks ETF

by Mish Schneider

Starting with the Jeffries Group on January 9th, by Friday, we will see Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C), as well as a few other banks, all report earnings... Read More 

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Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away

by Mish Schneider

On inflation I like this quote- "Goods deflation likely transitory as downward pressure on goods demand and input costs are fading. 1H24 global core inflation likely to settle near 3%, which won't resolve the immaculate disinflation debate... Read More 

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January: NASDAQ Has the Best Odds of Gains, BUT...

by Mish Schneider

"January provides us with a wealth of information that gets our year off to a good start, financially and emotionally... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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The Science and Art of Stock Market Predictions

by Mish Schneider

Over the holiday, I thought a lot about predictions and how they are formed. The dictionary meaning of prediction is a statement about a future event or data... Read More