This week's edition of The ChartWatchers Newsletter has arrived, featuring exclusive market analysis and technical commentary.
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August 30, 2025

Hello, Fellow ChartWatchers!

Just when it looked like August would end on a high note, stocks ran out of steam in the last leg. The major indexes closed lower on Friday, but the monthly performance wasn’t bad at all.

Monthly wrap:

  • S&P 500 ($SPX): +1.91% (fourth straight monthly gain)
  • Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ): +1.58% (fifth consecutive winning month)
  • Dow Industrials ($INDU): +3.20% (fourth straight)

From a seasonal angle, August usually underwhelms. Over the last 20 years, the S&P 500's average August return is about +0.20%, so this year’s +1.91% cleared the average by a mile.

Here's the big picture: The uptrend in the major indexes is still in play.

Friday’s selloff could be some pre-Labor Day profit-taking, or a sign of a little rotation. On your StockCharts Dashboard’s Sector Summary, six of the 11 S&P sectors finished in the green. Health Care and Consumer Staples led, while Consumer Discretionary and Technology lagged.

Earlier in the week, small-cap stocks gained traction as the market priced in a potential September Fed rate cut. That gave a lift to bank stocks, homebuilders, industrials, and other rate-sensitive groups. Will investors keep trimming Tech and add to those other asset groups? This is something to watch as we head into September, another seasonally weak month.

Our articles and videos dig into where the money’s moving. Explore small caps, big banks, consumer names, precious metals, and Bitcoin. Plus, know what to watch if mega-cap tech stocks reclaim the driver’s seat. And the nice thing is you’ve got an extra day to browse it all.

Enjoy the long weekend.

Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

Director of Content, StockCharts.com
THIS WEEK'S ARTICLES
Market Analysis, ETFs, Equities
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Uptrends Expand; Tech Consolidates, Cybersecurity Breaks Out; A Classic Trading Setup; Big Banks Lead

by Arthur Hill

Market breadth is strengthening as more stocks move into long-term uptrends. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day moving average hit 70%. small and mid-caps are driving this expansion, signaling broad market strength. ...

Read More
Members Only, Market Analysis, Indicators, ETFs
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MEMBERS ONLY

Is It Time to Think Small in a Big Way?

by Martin Pring

The NYSE/S&P ratio has been in a downtrend for seventeen years, but is a reversal finally underway? What does the picture look like for small-caps going forward? ...

Read More
Market Analysis, ETFs
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Mapping the Road Ahead: Four Scenarios for the Nasdaq 100

by David Keller

While August and September are traditionally a weak period for stocks, the Nasdaq 100 has continued to drive higher. We lay out four potential scenarios for the QQQ over the next six weeks, from the very bullish to the super bearish. ...

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Sectors, ETFs, Trading Strategies
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Discretionary vs. Staples: Why ETFs are Flashing a Bullish Signal for 2025

by Mike Zaccardi

Consumer Discretionary ETFs are outperforming Staples across large-cap, small-cap, and global markets. See why XLY, RSPD, PSCD, and RXI signal a bullish risk-on trend in 2025. ...

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Sectors, ETFs, Tools
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The Best Five Sectors This Week, #33

by Julius de Kempenaer

Weekly update on US sector rotation using Relative Rotation Graphs ...

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Commodities, Market Analysis, Tools
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Gold and Silver Shine While Stocks Slip: How to Position Your Portfolio

by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

Gold and silver are breaking out while stocks cool. See SLV/GLD levels, September seasonality, and how a possible Fed rate cut could affect a retirement-focused portfolio. ...

Read More
Equities, Trading Strategies
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Best Practices For Spotting a Winning Stock Within a Top Industry Group

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

Every investor dreams of finding that next big stock before it takes off. The good news is that there’s a proven system that helps take a lot of the guesswork out of it. The system I’m talking about? None other than William O’Neil’s methodology, developed after ...

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Market Analysis, ETFs, Equities
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Stocks Look Stalled: These Charts Point to Where the Market Could Head Next

by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

From NVIDIA earnings to small-cap momentum, here's what could drive the market's next move. Here are the charts that tell the story. ...

Read More
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