Art's Charts

December 2012

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Favors the Bulls, but the VXN Trends Higher

by Arthur Hill

The bulk of the evidence remains bullish, but I am concerned that the major index ETFs may be forming lower highs. With the decline over the last six days, SPY and DIA peaked below their September highs and lower highs could be forming... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Forms Falling Flag as TLT Hits Broken Support

by Arthur Hill

Ladies and gentlemen, the fiscal cliff is a farce built up by the media and the politicians. It is not a cliff, but rather a slope that can be remedied in January, February or even March. Of course, the longer the slope extends, the worse for the economy and the stock market... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Retail SPDR Leads Lower after Island Reversal

by Arthur Hill

The Retail SPDR (XRT) reversed near resistance with a gap up, stall and gap down. This sequence is also known as an island reversal. In addition to the reversal at resistance, notice that XRT shows relative weakness as the price relative moved below its mid December low... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY and QQQ Hold Uptrends as TLT Gets Oversold Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Programming note: I will be taking off December 27th and 31st. Art's charts and the Market Message will be updated on Wednesday and Friday this week, and Wednesday (Jan-2) next week... Read More 

Art's Charts

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NYSE AD Line and AD Volume Line Hit New Highs

by Arthur Hill

Things were looking up until the fiscal cliff hit a roadblock. Stock futures are pointing to a sharply lower open and it could be a bumpy ride until yearend. The indicator summary remains bullish overall with new highs in the NYSE AD Line and AD Volume Line leading the charge... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY to Test Short-Term Support after Fiscal Cliff Deal Sours

by Arthur Hill

Programming note: I will be taking off December 24, 27 and 31. Art's charts and the Market Message will be updated on Wednesday and Friday next week... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AAP, AZO, BCR, CB, HAS, LUB, ROL, XOM

by Arthur Hill

AAP Consolidates after Gap Down. HAS Falls Five Straight Days. Plus AZO, BCR, CB, LUB, ROL, XOM This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Stall as Treasuries Get Oversold Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Stocks edged lower during the day and then took a hit in the final hour. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) fell .74% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) declined .43% on the day. The losses were modest and the market was ripe for some profit taking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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QQQ Breaks Consolidation Resistance - TLT Hits Support

by Arthur Hill

The market brushed off the fiscal cliff BS as the Santa bulls got into high gear on Tuesday. All of the major index ETFs advanced over 1% with the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) leading the way (+1.52%). Small-caps were also strong with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) up 1... Read More 

Art's Charts

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XLK Bounces off Support - TLT Fails at Broken Support

by Arthur Hill

The Santa Claus rally continued on Monday with the major index ETFs scoring nice gains. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the way with a 1.33% rise. All sectors were up with the consumer discretionary, technology, finance and utilities sectors leading the way... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: BP, CHS, CQP, COH, FITB, USB

by Arthur Hill

BP Forms Triangle Consolidation, CHS Bounces off Support. Plus CQP, COH, FITB, USB This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Hits Support Zone - USO Attempts a Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Trading could get real tricky (volatile) has we head into the fiscal-cliff endgame and holiday season. First, the markets will become extra sensitive to the news flow out of Washington over the next two weeks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Remains Bullish

by Arthur Hill

Stocks extended their uptrends on Monday-Tuesday, but fell back after the Fed meeting and declined on Thursday. Even though a post-Fed decline may seem negative, it could be just a little buy-the-rumor and sell-the-news at work... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Pulls Back to Breakout - USO Firms at Support

by Arthur Hill

Stocks retreated after the Fed announcement. Of course, the fiscal cliff deadlock got the blame. Never mind that the S&P 500 was up some 6% from its mid November lows and ripe for a pullback or consolidation... Read More 

Art's Charts

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TLT Breaks Support as GLD Forms Bear Flag

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were all over the place on Wednesday. The major index ETFs opened strong, pulled back in the late morning, surged after the Fed announcement and pulled back again in the final hour... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AMT, CCL, DHI, M, STLD

by Arthur Hill

AMT Breaks out to a 52-week High. CCL Forms Ascending Triangle within Uptrend. Plus DHI, M, STLD This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Holds Flag Breakout as USO Waffles Near Support

by Arthur Hill

The bulls kept up the pressure on Tuesday with the technology sector leading the charge. The Semiconductor SPDR (XSD) led tech stocks with a 2.71% surge. There was also strength in the Airline ETF (FAA), which advanced 2% and hit a new 52-week high (intraday)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Edges Above Flag Resistance - GLD Surges

by Arthur Hill

Stocks edged higher in mixed trading. The major index ETFs ended the day with small gains, but the sectors were split... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ATVI, BMY, BSX, CHRW, CRM, MDR, VIP

by Arthur Hill

ATVI Forms Bull Flag at Resistance. CHRW Consolidates with Triangle. Plus BMY, BSX, CRM, MDR, VIP This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Extends Flag Pattern - TLT Tests Support Zone

by Arthur Hill

Stocks remain dazed and confused. After falling sharply the first two weeks of November, stocks bottomed in mid November and surged the next two weeks. These gains wiped out the early November losses and made it as if November never really happened... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Turns Positive with Two Upgrades

by Arthur Hill

Stocks held their gains with consolidations this week and two upgrades pushed the indicator summary back into positive territory. Nasdaq and NYSE Net New Highs turned bullish again. Nasdaq Net New Highs are not as strong as NYSE Net New Highs though... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Maintains Flag Formation - UUP Surges to Resistance

by Arthur Hill

Stocks will simply not give up the bid or the hope of a fiscal cliff solution. The major index ETFs became short-term oversold last week and pretty much consolidated this week. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) held up the best with flat consolidations... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Stalls with Flat Flag - USO Fails at Resistance

by Arthur Hill

Stocks continued to drift on Wednesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) advanced .66% as the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) plunged 1.11%. Apple led the way lower for QQQ. Note that the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) was up ... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AMTD, BTU, CERN, JOY, LSI, SYMC

by Arthur Hill

AMTD Forms a High and Tight Pennant. CERN Consolidates after Massive Gap. Plus BTU, JOY, LSI, SYMC This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Intermarket Picture Shows Confusion

by Arthur Hill

After a sharp advance the prior two weeks, stocks became short-term overbought and stalled the last two days. Resistance levels from prior consolidations and key retracements were also evident on the daily charts... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Forms Bearish Engulfing as USO Fails at Resistance

by Arthur Hill

It was drop and pop last Wednesday as stocks opened weak and then rallied. Monday was different as stocks opened strong and then sold off. The S&P 500 was up just over 1/2% in early trading, but fell after the ISM Manufacturing Index was reported. ISM fell to 49... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ARO, DE, HON, MMM, MS, X

by Arthur Hill

ARO Forms Ascending Triangle. DE Holds Gap within Short-Term Downtrend. Plus HON, MMM, MS, X This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Stalls at Fibonacci Retracement - GLD Breaks Down

by Arthur Hill

Despite all this talk on the fiscal cliff, it seems that the Euro is more important to the stock market right now. On the 60-minute chart, the indicator window shows the Euro Currency Trust (FXE) bottoming on 13-Nov and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) bottoming on 16-Nov... Read More