Mish's Market Minute

September 2020

Mish's Market Minute

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Time to Keep an Eye on Homebuilders

by Mish Schneider

It's time to start watching the homebuilding sector. We can look at this using the symbol XHB, which is an ETF based off the SPY... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Risk vs. Reward and The Never-Ending Battle

by Mish Schneider

Today's large gap up in the indices can pose some great morning questions. The biggest one being, should I buy the gap, or should I wait to see where things go? You don't want to chase the market, but you don't want to miss out either... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Market Indices Phased and Confused

by Forrest Crist-Ruiz, Mish Schneider

Coming into the weekend, we have more time to look over our charts, gather our thoughts and take a step back to grasp the larger picture. So, let's get right to it! From bullish to caution. This is the current phase the major indices have recently switched to... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Navigating Through the Market's Choppy Waters

by Forrest Crist-Ruiz, Mish Schneider

Today the QQQs, SPY, and DIA, closed near the September 21st lows which we noted as possible support. While we rallied intraday, we also sold off, giving back most of the days upward progress... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Junk Bonds Looking More Like Junk

by Forrest Crist-Ruiz, Mish Schneider

Let's start with the 4 major indices, the SPY, QQQ, DIA and IWM. They all sold off today, breaking yesterday's lows. Besides IWM, they are still not below their recent low from September 21st... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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How Long Will the Market Hold its Breath For?

by Forrest Crist-Ruiz, Mish Schneider

Yesterday, Mish talked about watching junk bonds (JNK) to see if the Fed would continue supporting high risk companies. Today, JNK had an inside day. This comes after a large red day where JNK gapped lower, breaking its 104.27-106 range... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Measured Moves in the Market

by Mish Schneider

Coming into Monday, we wrote targets on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100. Based on the measured move from the all-time high and the ensuing gap lower (or topping pattern), we shared with you all that the SPY target was 322 and QQQs target was 260... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Time for the Newer Biotech Companies to Wake Up?

by Mish Schneider

With companies like Pfizer (PFE) giving possible hope for an end-of-year vaccine and a recent gap up in IBB (the Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF), now could be a good time to keep an eye on newer issues in this sector. Large amounts of buying came into IBB on Friday... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Keeping Your Mind on the Right Side of the Market

by Mish Schneider

Yesterday, we were watching the VXX to gauge fear in the market. Today, it gapped higher and then continued to sell off while the indices gapped lower and began to rise... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Market Loves/Hates Fed Days

by Mish Schneider

Last night we wondered, is the market correction was over? After all, both SPY and QQQs traded into resistance. For SPY, that number is 342; for the QQQs, it's 282. The DIA had to hold 28,000. Today, SPY tried to clear 342, but wound up closing red and under 340... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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A Rally to Resistance

by Mish Schneider

Is the market correction over? Although a 10-15% correction is normal, the bigger question is whether the bounce we just saw from recent lows is a sell (rather than buy) opportunity. Both SPY and QQQs are trading into resistance... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Mergers and Pfizer (PFE) Give the Market Hope

by Mish Schneider

On Friday the 11th, the QQQs (Nasdaq) and IWM (Russell 2000) both closed under the 50-DMA. They were not followed by their friends the DIA (DowJones) and the SPY (S&P 500)... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Dominant Energy Supplier is Still Coal

by Mish Schneider

Partly inspired by our recent trip throughout the West, and also partly inspired by our long position in Teck Resources Limit (TECK), which gained over 11% on Friday while the SPY closed basically flat, coal is the topic for the weekend... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Taking a Temperature Check on the Modern Family

by Mish Schneider

WIth the SPY, QQQ, DIA, and IWM closing down on the day, now it's a good time to check the health of the Modern Family to give us a bigger picture of the market. Above, you can see the weekly charts for Modern Family (IWM, IYT, XRT, KRE, IBB, SMH), all keys to the larger picture... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Market Bears' Whitewater Raft Now Dry-Docked

by Mish Schneider

The 50-DMA did its job! After a perfect touchdown in the NASDAQ QQQs to the 50-DMA at 270, today the NASDAQ gained 2.92%. All the issues for the tech drop -- Softbank, overbought conditions, lack of a stimulus deal, China tensions, vaccine delays, etc... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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A Potential Break in the 50-DMA and Where to Look Next

by Mish Schneider

Last Friday, we noted how major symbols (QQQ, IWM, JNK, SMH) bounced off the 50-DMA. Now, with the market still undecided, we can build a plan on what to look for if we break under the 50-DMA. Let's take a look at the QQQs and the SPYs on a daily chart below... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Did the 50-Day Moving Average Stop the Bleed?

by Mish Schneider

After 2 major sell-off days, the market bounced late Friday off the 50-day moving average. Coincidence? First, why do we care about the 50-day moving average? The most common inputs for the Moving Average used by traders and market analysts are the 50-, 100- and the 200-DMAs... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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A Rotation into Financials, But is KRE Biting?

by Mish Schneider

As mentioned yesterday, the Big Banks ETF (XLF) and Regional Banks ETF (KRE) are two of the weaker sectors. However, today we saw some money rotate into those sectors, with XLF rising over 1% and KRE rising marginally at .4%. Goldman Sachs (GS) cleared a key moving average... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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How Did the 3 Major Market Themes for August Do?

by Mish Schneider

First off, a huge thank you to Geoff Bysshe for covering for me so I could have a vacation for 3 weeks! Before I left, I wrote about 3 major themes to watch continue to emerge - or completely reverse... Read More 

Mish's Market Minute

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Best August Since 1986. Now What?

by Geoff Bysshe

This article was originally written on August 31st, 2020. Today, the SPY ended its best August performance since 1986 with a market message that is well worth paying attention as soon as tomorrow and well into September... Read More