The monthly chart below shows the S&P 500 holding its 12-month moving average throughout long-term moves over the last 9 years. A decisive close above or below this 12-month moving average has been indicative of a long-term trend change, which occurred last month. Also notice that MACD(5,35,5) moved below its signal line and into negative territory.
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About the author:
Arthur Hill, CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London.
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