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Dancing with the Trend

Why Technical Analysis?

by Greg Morris

Technical analysis offers an unbiased truth about the markets.  I am writing this article because I have a large number of new readers.  I addressed this subject a few years ago. If one is going to follow and utilize a particular discipline, hopefully they have done a thorough investigation as to the benefits and pitfalls of that discipline.  I'll share a short story from the  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Illumina Rises above the Biotech Crowd

by Arthur Hill

It has been a rough three months for many biotechs and the Biotech iShares (IBB), but Illumina (ILMN) rose above the crowd with a big gain and three month high. The long-term chart also looks bullish. The table below shows the Biotech iShares and the top ten stocks (sans Celgene) ranked by the 3-month Rate-of-Change. I left out Celgene because it is being acquired by Bristol Meyers (BMY).  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Home Construction Breaks Out As S&P 500 Consolidates

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, June 14, 2019 The big news on Friday was Broadcom's (AVGO, -5.57%) quarterly results and outlook, neither of which were particularly good.  AVGO fell short of its revenue estimate and offered a very broad warning regarding upcoming revenues in the semiconductor industry ($DJUSSC, -2.43%).  The DJUSSC lost its rising 20 day EMA, a bearish development, and now  Read More

The Canadian Technician

The World Waits - US Market Review

by Greg Schnell

The market has been moving sideways all week. With Semiconductors rolling over this week and the energy complex failing to get a bid, it seemed the market was not ready to break higher. Copper was flat on the week, Lumber soared and Natural Gas tried to bounce off three-year lows. Steel, Lithium and Rare Earth Metals  were up slightly on the week, but one look at the charts  Read More

RRG Charts

(Technical) Market Analysis And Portfolio Construction Are Two Completely Different Animals In The Same Zoo.

by Julius de Kempenaer

First of all, let me say that I really appreciate any feedback and comments I get on any of my articles, either via DISQUS below each blog post, via email or in SCAN. I do read all of them and I try to answer most of them, I think my response rate is above 90%. So if I have missed yours, just ping me again. Just being polite is one reason to answer, even if the answer is "sorry I cannot  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: No Runaway Surge Expected; Markets May Continue Exhibiting Negative Bias

by Milan Vaishnav

In yet another wide-ranging week, the NIFTY oscillated in a 400-point range, ending the week with a modest cut. In our previous weekly note, we had raised concerns about the NIFTY failing to confirm the attempted breakout. In line with the our analysis, the index did not show any intention to break above the critical resistance levels. After moving in a broad range, the  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/14 MWL: What's Hot, What's Not - Watch Your Stop - What Would You Do?

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

DecisionPoint

DP WEEKLY WRAP: Market Quiet Ahead of Fed; Gold Has Long-Term "Smile"

by Carl Swenlin

Sometimes I can be a little slow on the uptake, and the monthly gold chart is the latest example. This week it dawned on me that gold is in its seventh year of forming a bullish saucer, which would be the reverse equivalent of a bearish rounded top. After activating the Crystal Ball feature of SharpCharts, I am seeing the possibility of breakout and pullback, which would put a handle on the  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/13 MWL: John Murphy Talks Gold - Talking Technically - Momentum Sleepers

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

ChartWatchers

Speeding Up the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

by Erin Swenlin

Viewers of MarketWatchers LIVE know how much I rely on my scans to find all those interesting symbols I review. In a ChartWatchers article last month, I shared my new favorite scan (Bullish EMA | Midrange SCTR), where I adjusted my time-tested  Read More

ChartWatchers

I've Never Seen An Earnings Signal This Bullish

by John Hopkins

At EarningsBeats.com, we track the best U.S. companies in a "Strong Earnings ChartList." In order for a company to be included in our ChartList, they must do 3 things: (1) Beat quarterly revenue estimates (2) Beat quarterly EPS estimates (3) Look solid technically If a company doesn't meet those 3 requirements, we ignore them. Plenty of energy and materials stocks have met  Read More

ChartWatchers

Monthly Sector Rankings Show Defensive Leadership

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, June 14th at 1:20pm ET. Chart 1 is taken from the Sector Summary page for the past month. And it shows that investors are still gravitating toward defensive issues. Four of the top sectors are utilities  Read More

ChartWatchers

Are Small-caps Really the Canaries in the Coal Mine?

by Arthur Hill

Many a pundit considers small-caps as the canaries in the coal mine and this implies that relative weakness in small-caps is negative for the broader market. As Missanei of Game of Thrones might say: It is known. Known, yes, but is it actually true?   In the interest of full disclosure, I bought into the argument that small-caps were the canaries in the coal mine and relative weakness was  Read More

The Traders Journal

Climb a Mountain, Beat The Market: What The Mountaineers "Essential 10 Checklist" Can Teach You About Investing

by Gatis Roze

The mountaineers "Essential 10 Checklist" is seared into the memory of every serious hiker and climber. Why? Because it may literally determine life or death. Similarly, every investor's financial life or death is determined by what I am calling the "Investors Essential 10 Checklist". Both checklists are comprehensive. Both checklists suggest that forgetting any one of the ten can kill you  Read More

ChartWatchers

Lumber Stocks Try To Bounce

by Greg Schnell

Commodities have been smothered for years. I think the best way to play them is to enter near the bottom - with tight stops - and subsequently ride out the runs. When they top out, step aside as they pull back. We can use indicators to help us find setups. There is no guarantee that we'll have found the final low, but, remember, our stops can also be tight.  This week  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

MONTHLY SECTOR RANKINGS SHOW DEFENSIVE LEADERSHIP THAT INCLUDES UTILITIES, HEALTH CARE, REAL ESTATE, AND CONSUMER STAPLES -- GOLD MINERS LED MATERIALS HIGHER -- HOMEBUILDERS ARE LEADING CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SECTOR HIGHER TODAY

by John Murphy

MONTHLY PERFORMANCE SHOWS DEFENSIVE LEADERSHIPChart 1 is taken from the Sector Summary page for the past month. And it shows that investors are still gravitating toward defensive issues. Four of the top sectors are utilities, health care, real estate, and consumer staples  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Weyerhauser $WY Cuts Up A Nice Pattern

by Greg Schnell

Weyerhauser (WY) is a forestry stock with a nice pattern setup. As a commodity stock, we want to buy near the lows. While this week's move was aggressive, it is happening industry-wide; through mill closures to slow supply, the stocks are starting to respond. The Full Stochastic is firing off a signal on this 5.25% dividend payer. I like the higher low on the PPO momentum  Read More

Members Only

Art's Charts

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - The Long and Rocky Road

by Arthur Hill

The Long and Rocky Road. S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Bias. Index Breadth Table Improves. MDY and IWM Break Out of Wedges. Sector Breadth Table Gets Four New Signals. Healthcare Perking Up. Big Six Sectors Trigger Breakouts. Utes, REITs and Staples Remain Strong. Art's Charts ChartList Update.   It has been a difficult market on most timeframes since October 2018, which is when the  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Transports Vs. Utilities Ratio Supports The Bearish Argument

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, June 13, 2019 A nice rally to end the session lifted all of our major indices into the close.  The Russell 2000 led on a relative basis, gaining 1.05%.  The NASDAQ, S&P 500 and Dow Jones climbed 0.57%, 0.41%, and 0.39%, respectively.  Walt Disney (DIS, +4.44%) provided individual stock leadership as it was easily the best performing Dow Jones  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Big Drop In Crude Oil Prices Crush Energy Shares.....Again

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, June 12, 2019 We ended Wednesday with bifurcated action as the small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT, +0.05%) was able to eke out a tiny gain.  The other major indices, however, were not so fortunate with the NASDAQ ($COMPQ, -0.38%) falling a bit more than the S&P 500 ($SPX, -0.20%) and Dow Jones ($INDU, -0.17%).  Sectors were mixed as well, with the obvious  Read More

Members Only

Art's Charts

SPY Holds 50-day - Biotech ETFs Set Up - Chinese ETFs Diverge - ChartList Update

by Arthur Hill

Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates. SPY Holds Wedge Breakout and 50-day. Biotech ETFs Firm in Reversal Zones. Chinese ETFs Diverge. Art's Charts ChartList. On Trend on SCCTV and Youtube. Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates Let's break down the S&P 500 by starting with the bigger trend. It is important to begin with the bigger trend because this is the dominant force  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Real Estate Is Getting Back In Shape!

by Julius de Kempenaer

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows the sector Real Estate (XLRE) inside the weakening quadrant, but that sector moving upward (almost vertically) on the JdK RS-Momentum scale. This type of rotation usually indicates that a second (or third, etc.) leg of a relative uptrend is about to get underway. Inspection of the unadjusted * price  Read More

Muscular Investing

The Coward's Portfolio Is More Profitable with One Rule Added, But...

by Brian Livingston

You can boost the gains of the so-called Coward's Portfolio (aka the Smart Money Portfolio) by adding one easy tweak, but watch out - there's a catch. • The strategy is not really for scaredy-cats but for people who don't like surprises in their investments. A single extra step makes a big improvement in the portfolio's returns, although you have to live with a serious trade-off.  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP Alert Mid-Week: SPX IT Trend Model BUY Signal

by Erin Swenlin

Today's Scoreboard shows a few changes, but I'm afraid these new BUY signals are arriving late. The NDX finally caught up with short-term BUY signals, and today we saw the SPX click a new IT Trend Model BUY signal when the 20-EMA crossed above the 50-EMA. The DecisionPoint Alert presents a mid-week assessment of the trend and condition of the stock market (S&P 500),  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/12 MWL: Tim Ord of "The Ord Oracle" on Gold - Sector Spotlight on Healthcare

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

The Canadian Technician

Commodity Stocks Try To Bounce - Canadian Market Review

by Greg Schnell

After the Canadian market drifted lower through the month of May, the first few days of June have seen a bounce. As the G20 finance people meet in Japan, with promises for more QE and Fed chairman Jay Powell offering up potential rate cuts as the market sits within a few percent of the all time highs, the markets have tried to avoid pricing in the ramifications from slower trade  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/11 MWL: Relative Strength Workshop - Breadth - Tops and Bottoms

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Big Reversal May Mark Short-Term Top

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, June 11, 2019 It wasn't a big down day, but it certainly felt like it.  It started off so promising.  Right out of the gate, the NASDAQ surged more than 1% in the opening minutes.  However, by day's end, it closed in negative territory and printed a rather ominous big red candle.  I might not think too much about it ordinarily, but the reversal  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Ford Shines within a Rather Dull Auto Group

by Arthur Hill

It has been a tough three months for most auto stocks with the Global Auto ETF (CARZ) falling around 1.22%. In contrast, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is up 4.21% since March 11th. Within the group, Ford (F) Daimler-Chrysler (DDAIF) and Toyota (TM) show gains during this period, while the other six show losses. Note that Tesla is by far the biggest loser with a 25% decline. Ford is the clear  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

eBay Is Worth Revisiting $EBAY

by Greg Schnell

eBay (EBAY) had a nice run from mid-2016 to January 2018, but trended down all of 2018. Since then, though, eBay has wiped out most of that drop and now sits at a pivotal $38. The chart below tells the story better. The SCTR shows eBay outperforming most other stocks, which is a good start. I particularly like the breakout in relative strength and the full stochastic  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Mergers And Averting Mexico Tariffs Bolsters Stocks

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, June 10, 2019 U.S. equities were buoyed by resolution to the 5% Mexico trade tariff announced recently by President Trump to encourage Mexico to slow the pace of illegal immigrants entering the U.S.  That tariff was set to take effect yesterday, but never materialized.  In addition, there were two mega-mergers that sparked buying interest as well  Read More

Wyckoff Power Charting

Gold v. Dollar

by Bruce Fraser

Gold and the Dollar are natural adversaries. They both represent a store of value. When the Dollar is strong, in comparison to other currencies, gold tends to underperform. Recently the Dollar has been a dominant currency, largely as a result of the strong domestic economy and higher interest rates. There has been a subtle change in the price relationship between Gold and the Dollar that could  Read More

Muscular Investing

Make Your Lazy Portfolio More Muscular

by Brian Livingston

An investing fad called 'Lazy Portfolios' took hold in the 1990s. Just allocate fixed percentages of your money to every asset out there, it said. • Diversification is good, but these strategies seriously lag the S&P 500. And they're risky, crashing almost as badly as the index. Fortunately, adding one easy step is all it takes to improve your gains and lower your losses. Figure  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP Bulletin: New ST Buy Signals Galore on Scoreboards

by Erin Swenlin

On Friday, $INDU logged both a Short-Term Trend Model BUY Signal and a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signal. Today, the SPX and OEX joined the party. The NDX is extraordinarily close to those same BUY signals and should switch tomorrow. Notice that, on price, today's high pierced the resistance at the May top. However, we did see a close near the open for the day, which is generally  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

6/10 MWL: Monday Setups - Earnings Spotlight - Anatomy of a Trade - Agree or Disagree

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Mind the Gap in JP Morgan

by Arthur Hill

Stocks moved sharply higher last week with several bouncing off broken resistance levels with gap reversals. JP Morgan is one such stock and last week's gap becomes the first area to watch going forward. The chart shows JPM breaking out in mid April with a surge to the 116 area. The stock then fell back to the breakout zone around 106 and found support here. This is a classic tenet of technical  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

3 Monday Setups To Start The Week

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, June 7, 2019 U.S. indices capped off a very solid week with more gains on Friday.  The more aggressive NASDAQ trounced the other key indices, climbing 1.66%.  The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 added 1.05%, 1.02%, and 0.72%, respectively.  9 of 11 sectors participated to the upside with three key groups - technology (XLK, +1.86%)  Read More

Dancing with the Trend

What We Know That Isn't So - part 2

by Greg Morris

Investment-Related "Believable" Misinformation Makes Successful Investing Hard Work This article is a continuation of the previous article.  You should read the preliminary information provided in that article first. Diversification protects against losses. ..  Read More

Members Only

Martin Pring's Market Roundup

Seven Reasons For Being Bullish

by Martin Pring

Financial Velocity Indicator Poised to Go Bullish Oversold NASDAQ Volume in a Position to Support a Rally Rapid Expansion of Net New Highs is Bullish Global Breadth Turning? When Stock Exchanges Break to the Upside, That's Usually Bullish for Stocks Financial Velocity Indicator Poised to Go Bullish One of my favorite indicators for identifying major buying opportunities is calculated by  Read More

The Canadian Technician

A Bullish Signal That Has Not Shown Up In A Year!

by Greg Schnell

I have been very pessimistic of late, as the combination of declining breadth, a bond market firing off signals, and commodities plummeting all adds up to an ugly situation. At the end of May, a significant number of indices worldwide all closed below the 20-month moving average. That definitely shows weakness. More importantly, a lot of them moved below in May. Above: $SPX  Read More