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Crude Oil Surge Sends Energy Shares Higher

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, April 22, 2019 I'm sure you've noticed it at the pump lately.  Gas prices are rising.  Yesterday, crude oil prices ($WTIC, +2.31%) jumped to their highest level of 2019 and closed above $65 per barrel for the first time since breaking below key price support in early-November 2018.  It's been one of many themes of 2019, and if you're a fan of  Read More

A Revolutionary New Way to Invest in Real Estate

by Brian Livingston

Index funds have made real-estate investment trusts (REITs) accessible to investors for years. Now there's something new in physical real estate. • As the population ages, more and more people will be looking for housing developments that offer a little extra in the way of support. One project is having an open house of such a development next month. There are certain to be many more  Read More

"Hooks" And One Sided Rotations On Relative Rotation Graphs

by Julius de Kempenaer

Last Thursday, 18 April, was the third Thursday, my regular scheduled guest appearance on Market Watchers Live. Because Tom Bowley was enjoying a well deserved day off it was just me and Erin on duty. It wasn't my first time co-hosting but every time I fill in for either Erin or Tom it makes me realize what a great job they do every day. As I was filling in for Tom I'd like to make a big  Read More

4/22 MWL: Monday Setups - John Hopkins EarningsBeats.com - Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

4/18 MWL: Guest Co-Host Julius de Kempenaer - Breaking it Down with RRG - Sector Rotation

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on  StockCharts TV; you can also find the latest  Read More

Volatility and The World's Greatest Investor

by Greg Morris

I've written before about the cost of volatility, both financially and emotionally, and in light of the volatility we saw in 2018, now is a good time to revisit that issue (while it is not an issue).  In 2018, after many sizable down moves, then prices bounced up and then the spin from the investment world was that everything was okay. But let's look at the real world for a moment.   Read More

Ciena Hits Potential Reversal Zone

by Arthur Hill

The ideal scenario for traders is to buy after a pullback for a good reward-to-risk ratio. When the long-term trend is up, I look for indications of support and signs that an upturn is in the making. The chart for Ciena sports a classic setup with a confluence of indicators pointing to support and signs of an upturn. First and foremost, Ciena (CIEN) is in a long-term uptrend. The stock hit  Read More

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Small-caps Lag, but Large-caps Keep Market Bullish - ChartList Update

by Arthur Hill

Small-caps Continue to Lag. S&P 500 Nears All Time High. IWM Tests Breakout Zone. Index Breadth Table Update. Industrials and Finance Come to Life. Art's Charts ChartList Update. Back in the Saddle After a vacation and market hiatus, today's commentary will review the broader market and some recent happenings in the sectors. I also updated the  Read More

An Analysis Of Financials And Why We're Going Higher

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, April 18, 2019 Railroads ($DJUSRR, +2.37%) were led higher by Union Pacific's (UNP, +4.36%) strong quarterly earnings report and outlook.  The DJUSRR has been a leader among industrials (XLI, +1.15%) for more than three years and that trend is easily continuing in 2019 as the group has broken out on both an absolute and relative basis: It's much easier to  Read More

Health Care Crisis

by Bruce Fraser

The Health Care Sector (XLV) took a tumble this past week. In 2018 XLV was among the best leadership sectors of the stock market. Rotation is expected between sectors, industry groups and stocks throughout the business cycle. Were there technical clues that warned of the seemingly sudden weakness in the Health Care Sector?                   Read More

Weekly Outlook - Financials Surge, Commodities Don't

by Greg Schnell

As we kick off the week, we must begin by noting that railroads are the hottest wheels around. They were rolling! CSX, CNI, UNP, NSC and KSU all hit new highs this month, while CP is just moments away. The fact that the industry group is just starting to surge above resistance suggests there are more gains coming into the space. So, with good things rolling in for the transports, it  Read More

Intel Hits New Highs $INTC

by Greg Schnell

Intel (INTC) is one of the companies currently engaged in the 5G race. While all the attention was focused on the massive move in Qualcomm this week, Intel also quietly broke out to fresh new highs. This followed the company's announcement it would not be making smartphone 5G modems, but would focus on the network side of 5G.  Read More

Week Ahead: Odds Stacked Against A Sustainable Breakout; 11760 Still Remains Important To Watch

by Milan Vaishnav

The past week was quite eventful for the Indian equity markets. The short 3-day working week saw the benchmark index NIFTY50 marking a fresh high and attempting a breakout. Along with that, it also saw the NIFTY not confirming this breakout, slipping below the all-important 11760 mark once again. This week was also the third week in a row where the markets did not make any major  Read More

Insurance Companies Are Popping To New Highs

by Greg Schnell

Across the broad spectrum of insurance companies, the life insurance industry group has a group of names huddled at or around 52-week highs. With nice strong dividends, these stocks look set to surge. A good example to look at is Manulife Financial (MFC). MFC currently has its highest SCTR ranking in over a year, while its PPO, which shows momentum, has moved into positive  Read More

Five 5G Technology Stocks to Ponder

by Erin Swenlin

5G is the next generation of mobile broadband and will eventually replace (or augment) your 4G LTE connection. With 5G, we should see exponentially faster download and upload speeds. All eyes are now turning toward the companies that will help launch the advent of this exciting technology. I picked out five stocks that looked interesting in this new space. Corning  Read More

How to Approach Investing Like Pro Sports and Make the Playoffs! - ChartPack Update #23 (Q1, 2019)

by Gatis Roze

Pick the pro league of your choice. You can have the most expensive talent on one team, but without the right organization, routines and strategy, you won't make the playoffs.(Presently, for example. you might consider the NBA's Los Angeles Lakers with one LeBron James and friends). Something similar happens with investors. Being the smartest, most educated high IQ individual in the arena does  Read More

Profiting from Companies that Beat Earnings Expectations

by John Hopkins

Earnings season is off and running and already some companies that beat expectations could set up as high reward-to-risk trades. JP Morgan (JPM) is a perfect example of a company that reported stronger than expected numbers; you can see below the positive response from the market below. In the week since JPM reported its numbers, the stock has risen by 8.7% and has moved closer to testing  Read More

Railroad Stocks Lead the Transports and Industrial Sector Higher

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, April 19th at 10:21am ET. Two stock groups did better than the rest of the market this week. Transportation stocks had another strong week. As did the Industrial Sector SPDR (XLI) which was  Read More

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RAILROAD STOCKS LEAD THE TRANSPORTS AND INDUSTRIAL SECTOR HIGHER -- WIDENING SPREAD BETWEEN 10-YEAR TREASURY AND GERMAN YIELD FAVORS THE DOLLAR

by John Murphy

RAILROAD STOCKS HAVE BECOME MARKET LEADERS Two stock groups did better than the rest of the market this week. Transportation stocks had another strong week. As did the Industrial Sector SPDR (XLI) which was the week's strongest sector. Both have one group to thank for their strong performance. And that's railroads which are included in both groups  Read More

Avoid Behavioral Biases and Make More Profits

by Brian Livingston

Our built-in behaviors, which are unconscious, make us choose investments that will lag. The key is to do what we can to defeat these tendencies. • The more research we do, the more we convince ourselves of our rightness, and therefore the more overconfident (and wrong) we become. Fortunately, there are easy ways we can let the market - rather than our opinions - tell us what to buy and sell  Read More

DP WEEKLY WRAP: New All-Time Highs, or Not?

by Carl Swenlin

As we can see on the chart below, none of the major market indexes have exceeded their previous all-time highs. So why are we having this discussion? The point is that price history for traditional market indexes is not adjusted for dividends, so they do not reflect a true total return. It is the same as using stock data that hasn't been adjusted for dividends -- you don't get an accurate  Read More

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BANKS, ENERGY, AND SMALL CAPS TEST 200-DAY LINES -- DOLLAR HITS TWO-YEAR HIGH AS EURO WEAKENS

by John Murphy

BANKS, ENERGY, AND SMALL CAPS STRUGGLE WITH THEIR 200-DAY LINES Three stock groups are still struggling to clear their 200-day lines. Chart 1 shows the KBW Bank Index sitting just below its red line. Lower bond yields today may be holding it back. But the Financial Sector SPDR (XLF) has already cleared its red line, as have most groups in the XLF  Read More

Clothing Stocks Gearing Up For Q2

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, April 17, 2019 We saw mixed trading on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 falling 0.23% to end the session at 2900, still roughly 1.5% beneath the all-time high set in 2018.  Technology (XLK, +0.56%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.50) led the action, but the continuing fall in healthcare (XLV, -2.88%) was the bigger story.  The XLV is now down 6.53%  Read More

Financials Made It Into The Leading Quadrant, Now What?

by Julius de Kempenaer

At yesterday's close, the Financials sector (XLF) crossed over into the leading quadrant on the daily Relative Rotation Graph. The tail of the sector started to curl upward inside the lagging quadrant roughly two weeks ago, before then proceeding to travel higher on both the Jdk RS-Ratio and Jdk RS-Momentum scales. The sector traveled from lagging into improving and has now entered the  Read More

4/17 MWL: Tom McClellan "Gobs of Breadth" - Inside the Lines

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

DP Alert: Buying Exhaustion Alongside a Broadening Pattern - XLV IT Neutral Signal

by Erin Swenlin

At this point in the week, the SPX is down about 0.23%. I suspect there will be more downside to endure going into the last half of the week. We don't talk about broadening patterns too much, but, in the very short-term, those are what I'm seeing on the SPX and they typically resolve downward. The VIX is now suggesting a buying exhaustion lining up as well. The good news is that the defensive  Read More

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Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence

by Arthur Hill

This article will provide links and symbols for some of the charts used in the On Trend episode focusing on breadth indicators (Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence). Episode details are shown below and you can watch a recording on our Youtube channel. The idea behind these indicators is to develop an analysis process to define bull and bear  Read More

Respect That 2940 Top On The S&P 500

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 16, 2019 It was just another day of boring gains.  But that's what happens during bull market advances.  The Volatility Index ($VIX, -1.14%) drifts lower and stock prices edge higher.  Remember when the VIX topped out with a close above 36 on December 24th?  It seems like forever ago as the VIX closed yesterday at 12.18.  I've written on  Read More

Are We Looking At A Wedge In The Making?

by Julius de Kempenaer

When acting in an environment of uncertainty (of which financial markets are a prime example) it is a good habit to double-check any findings. Think of it as an extra pair of eyes to confirm or deny what you (think you) are seeing. In this process, please keep an open mind and try not to get (too) married to your own ideas/views. Markets have no mercy. Fellow  Read More

Gold Loses Its Shine - IT Trend Model Neutral Signal - IT PMO SELL Signal Nearing

by Erin Swenlin

Today, DecisionPoint reported a new Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral signal on Gold to Timer Digest. The signal was triggered when the 20-EMA crossed below the 50-EMA. It wasn't a SELL signal, as the 20/50-EMA crossover occurred above the 200-EMA. Don't let the "neutral" moniker fool you, though; Gold is looking quite bearish  Read More

JB Hunt Stalls In The Intersection $JBHT

by Greg Schnell

JB Hunt (JBHT) announced results that were not as positive as expectations and the stock dropped in response. The timing of the news happened to stall the stock right at the 40-week moving average. While the global economy has been rallying on since the late December lows, a lot of the attention has been focused on the continued growth in freight. JB Hunt is trucking into its 4th  Read More

4/16 MWL: "My Favorite Scans" with Erin Swenlin - Under the Radar

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

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Gold Starts To Break Down - But Is It For Real?

by Martin Pring

The Long-Term Picture Looks Positive Gold's Tuesday Downside Breakout Could Be the Spoiler Platinum is Trying to Break Out Against Gold - Why That's Important for the Economy The Long-Term Picture Looks Positive Over the last 6 years, it appears that the gold price has been trying to form a massive base. If completed, it could form a platform capable of  Read More

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ASSET MANAGERS LEAD FINANCIALS HIGHER -- LED BY BLACKROCK, INVESCO, AND T ROWE PRICE

by John Murphy

ASSET MANAGERS LEAD FINANCIALS HIGHER Financials are the day's strongest sector. Chart 1 shows the Financial Sector SPDR (XLF) trading today at the highest level since last October. The solid gray line is a relative strength ratio of the XLF divided by the S&P 500; and it's been jumping over the last month. Asset mangers are leading the XLF higher today. Chart 2  Read More

The Best Strategy Becomes the Worst, and the Worst the Best

by Brian Livingston

Investing strategies have short-term momentum (the past 3 to 12 months predict the next month) but long-term reversion (the past 3 years deceive you). • Institutions that hire outside money managers routinely fire any analyst who underperforms a benchmark for 3 years. Some fire analysts after just 1 or 2 years. You'll be shocked to see how much you could earn if you did exactly the opposite  Read More

Rotation To Defense Isn't A Bad Thing

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, April 15, 2019 Defensive groups took their turn leading the stock market, but on a down day that is generally to be expected.  Consumer staples (XLP, +0.59%) and healthcare (XLV, +0.40%) were the two leading groups, while financials (XLF, -0.63%) backed off from its Friday strength.  More banks ($DJUSBK, -0.90%) reported their quarterly results, but  Read More

Graphite India - Showing Good Potential Among Non-Index Stocks

by Milan Vaishnav

Graphite India Limited - GRAPHITE.IN GRAPHITE looks to be confirming its bottom in the 395-415 zone. After marking a low near 395, the stock has formed a base in the 395-415 zone; having experienced a sideways move over past couple of weeks, a breakout appears likely. The RSI, which is a leading indicator, has already marked a fresh high with a bullish divergence. It can be seen  Read More

4/15 MWL: Monday Setups - Earnings Spotlight - DecisionPoint Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on  StockCharts TV; you can also find the latest  Read More

Banks And Brokers Weekly Roundup

by Greg Schnell

JPM kicked into high gear Friday with some great numbers. It continues to be the best chart in the US bank space. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley also had nice moves. We'll see if they hold up as they release their earnings today. Morgan Stanley is the same way. However, Wells Fargo saw a lack of love. The important thing to watch this week is the follow-through. Can the KBE and KRE  Read More

RISK

by Greg Morris

Dictionary.com says:  Risk is the exposure to the chance of injury or loss; a hazard or dangerous chance.  American Heritage Dictionary says: Risk is the possibility of suffering harm or loss; danger.  These are just two of the many entries and these were just for the noun.  Risk in the world of investments and finance is more succinct.  Risk is the uncertainty of  Read More