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11/13 MWL Recap: "Current State of Industry Groups" with Tom - Technical Scanning

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Bulletin #2: SPX Adds Short-Term Trend Model SELL Signal

by Erin Swenlin

The OEX added a ST Trend Model SELL signal yesterday, and today the SPX will join with its own ST Trend Model SELL signal. These signals are generated on 5/20-EMA crossovers. When it is a positive crossover, it is a BUY signal. When it is a negative crossover, the signal can be either a SELL or Neutral. To determine which bearish signal to use, note the placement of the crossover. If it  Read More

Natural Gas Lights Up

by Bruce Fraser

U. S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) made an important 'Spring' low at the end of 2017. A Change-of-Character (CHoCH) emerged in the trading behavior of UNG in the new year. On the weekly chart UNG had been in a one year downtrend that concluded with a Spring and a Test. Much of the trading in UNG after the Test was lackluster and hovered around the Support line. But each succeeding low was higher and  Read More

Oil Hits The Big Number

by Greg Schnell

Oil has fallen the last few days and really taken a significant move lower. After at least two weeks of falling, oil was down 6.3% at the close today. After topping October 3rd intraday, and falling for more than a month in almost a straight cascade, today saw massive volume to punctuate a bad day. It seems very hard to bet against the huge down pressure, but this might be the time to  Read More

Double the Gain of the Morningstar Bucket Portfolio - part 3

by Brian Livingston

Adding one simple change raises the Bucket Portfolio's annualized rate of return by an enormous 3½ percentage points. Over a 45-year investing career, that would result in an ending value more than four times larger than the static, unchanging Lazy Portfolio version. The only difference is a Momentum Rule, which can be applied to other portfolios even more effectively than the Bucket model  Read More

When Emotions Take Over

by David Keller

I recently returned from a 10-day trip to Kuala Lumpur and Singapore.  This was my first time in Malaysia, where I spoke at the IFTA Annual Conference along with my fellow stockcharts.com commentators Julius de Kempenaer and Martin Pring. After the conference, when I was checking out of the hotel in Kuala Lumpur, I was already thinking  Read More

Semiconductors Are In A Bear Market, Follow This Trading Range

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, November 12, 2018 Welcome back bears.  Welcome back volatility.  It was another day of steep losses on Wall Street, underscoring the likely end to what the bulls were hoping was a sustainable rally back to recent highs.  There was a major test last week for the bears as the Volatility Index ($VIX) had crept to within 16 (intraday low was 16.09).  For  Read More

Stock-in-Focus: Despite Some Consolidation, This Banking Stock is Likely to Make Decisive Moves

by Milan Vaishnav

Over the last four to five weeks, the NIFTY Bank Index ($BANKNIFTY) has not only out-performed the Public Sector Bank Index among the banking space, but it has also seen sharp improvement in relative momentum against the Broader Market Index $CNX500. Many of the Nifty Bank Index components are interestingly poised. A particularly attention-grabbing one is Axis Bank (AXISBANK.IN), which is  Read More

Using RRG to find some good and some not so good names inside the DJ Industrials index.

by Julius de Kempenaer

The relative rotation graph above shows the rotation of the 30 DJ Industrials stocks. Watching the interaction on the canvas, a few rotations catch the eye. Inside the lagging quadrant IBM, HD, and DWDP are clearly moving deeper into negative territory. On the opposite side inside the leading quadrant, we find MCD, WBA, PG, and WMT at strong RG headings moving higher on both  Read More

DP Bulletin: OEX First to Log Short-Term SELL Signal

by Erin Swenlin

The whipsaw Short-Term Trend Model BUY signal generating on the OEX Friday below its 50-EMA was the culprit for today's ST Trend Model SELL signal. Remember that ST Trend Model signals are generated by 5/20-EMA crossovers in relation to the 50-EMA. A positive crossover is always a BUY signal. However, if a negative 5/20-EMA crossover occurs, there are two signals that can be generated  Read More

11/12 MWL Recap: Monday Setups - Earnings Spotlight - DecisionPoint Report

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

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TECH STOCKS CONTINUE TO LEAD MARKET LOWER -- TECHNOLOGY SPDR SLIPS FURTHER BELOW ITS 200-DAY AVERAGE

by John Murphy

TECHNOLOGY SPDR FALLS FURTHER BELOW ITS 200-DAY AVERAGE Technology stocks continue to lead the stock market lower today. The Technology Sector SPDR (XLK) fell back below its 200-day average on Friday, and is falling further below it today (Chart 1). To get an idea of how much the techs have fallen out of favor, the XLK/SPX relative strength ratio  Read More

Are Copper Prices Signaling S&P 500 Bear Market Like In Prior Years?

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, November 9, 2018 There was a return of strength in defensive sectors on Friday as consumer staples (XLP, +0.58%), utilities (XLU, +0.15%) and real estate (XLRE, +0.12%) were the only sectors to finish the session in positive territory.  There was also significant relative weakness in the more aggressive NASDAQ and Russell 2000, which retreated 1.65% and 1.82%  Read More

Goldman Continues to Struggle

by Arthur Hill

Goldman Sachs is the premier investment bank and a key component of the Financials SPDR (XLF), as well as the Broker-Dealer iShares (IAI). The stock has struggled since March and lagged the market for over six months now. While the S&P 500 moved to a new high in September, Goldman remained below its 40-week moving average and did not come close to its March high. As with this image of their  Read More

Crude Oil Falls Into The $50's 2018-11-09

by Greg Schnell

In a positive week for the markets, the unease has not lifted in my mind. First of all, a little perspective on what was leading. On Friday, the sector performance was skewed to safety. The defensive sectors align on the right hand side of this performance chart. Over the past week, the defensives were up the most, and the growth charts were not up as much. While almost every sector  Read More

Why The Disney (DIS) Ride Might Be Just Getting Started

by Greg Schnell

It is always hard to bet against the mouse house. The world enjoys the magic of Disney everywhere. With the plan for Disney to deliver its own over the top service, all eyes are on Disney to see if that can work. If any one company has the content to do it, it is probably Disney. Let's look at the chart, because Disney made fresh new all time highs when dividends are included on Friday. so This  Read More

DP Weekly Wrap: Break or Fake?

by Carl Swenlin

Last week SPY was below the cyclical bull market rising trend line. This week there was a post-election pop on Wednesday that caused SPY to recapture that rising trend line. Will that breakout hold, or is it a fakeout? There are two features on the daily chart that say to me that the latter is the case. First, the OBV line has formed a negative divergence, and, second, the VIX has topped at the  Read More

11/9 MWL Recap: What's Hot, What's Not with Mary Ellen McGonagle - Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

Weekly Outlook: Important for NIFTY to Move Past the 10600-10750 Zones; May Remain Turbulent At Higher Levels

by Milan Vaishnav

In our  previous Weekly note, we forecasted that the markets would not make any major headway in the truncated week due to the holiday festivities. As expected, the NIFTY spent the week in a narrow range and  Read More

The Intellectual Void

by Greg Morris

I'm always trying to come up with new ideas for articles and don't mind if I cross the line a little bit even if it offends a few – I just don't want to offend everyone; certainly not all at once.  This one is going to do just that – I think.  My articles are rarely about current market action and more focused on the many lessons I have paid dearly for over the last 45 years.  I  Read More

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ENERGY STOCKS FOLLOW CRUDE OIL LOWER -- RISING DOLLAR IS PUSHING COMMODITY PRICES LOWER

by John Murphy

CRUDE OIL ENTERS BEAR MARKET Commodities as a group have been under a lot of selling pressure for several months. But the weakest part of that group over the past month has been energy. Chart 1 shows the price of WTIC Light Crude Oil (through yesterday) falling to the lowest level in eight months. [WTIC is trading lower again today and is threatening to drop below  Read More

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Several Indicators Point To A Test Of The October Lows

by Martin Pring

Indexes Reach Resistance and Retrace 61.8% of the Decline Hourly Charts Offer the First Domino Short-Term Breadth is Overstretched NASDAQ Sports a Series of Declining Peaks and Troughs Indexes Reach Resistance and Retrace 61.8% of the Decline The market has been on a tear for the last couple of weeks, responding to a deeply oversold short-term condition and an extreme in pessimism. Some of the  Read More

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - When Trends Lose Consistency

by Arthur Hill

Performance Overview. When Uptrends Lose Consistency. Only One Breadth Thrust. Not A Lot of Strong Uptrends. Majority of Stocks below 200-day EMA. S&P 500 Hits Moment-of-truth. On-Trend versus NOT On-Trend. Breakdowns Followed by Sharp Rebounds. This Week in Art's Charts. Notes from the Art's Charts ChartList. Getting Selective The stock market rebounded with the  Read More

S&P 500 Hesitates At Next Key Price Resistance

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, November 8, 2018 Well, another Fed day has come and gone.  The FOMC ended its two day meeting and left rates unchanged, as expected.  It promised, however, further gradual increases.  If you recall, the spike in the 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) to 3.25%, a 7 year high, accompanied the October dive in equity prices.  Many market pundits were  Read More

11/8 MWL Recap: Everything StockCharts with Grayson Roze - SCTR Report - Turning Point

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

Very Bullish Sector Rotation Underscores Dow's 500 Point Gain

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, November 7, 2018 The Dow Jones  surged 545 points, or 2.13%, yesterday and that index of conglomerates was a laggard.  NASDAQ stocks exploded nearly 200 points higher, or 2.64%, to extend what's been a very impressive rally after October's massacre.  I look for several signals to suggest a correction is over (or at least has  Read More

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Healthcare Sector Stands Out - Plus HealthCare Providers, Medical Devices, a New High Scan and Nine Stocks

by Arthur Hill

Healthcare Sector Shows Leadership. Big Moves in %Above 50-day EMA. Healthcare Providers and Medical Devices Break Out. HealthCare Providers Lead New High List. Nine Healthcare Stocks to Watch. Strong Breadth within Healthcare The chart below shows the %Above 200-day EMA indicator for nine of the sector SPDRs. Note that we are still working on breadth indicators for  Read More

Double the Gain of the Morningstar Bucket Portfolio - part 2

by Brian Livingston

Morningstar's 'Bucket Portfolio' is typical of so-called Lazy Portfolios - static investing strategies that never change the percentages allocated to a set of index funds. Fortunately, with one easy fix, we can add an amazing 3½ percentage points to the annualized return of Morningstar's portfolio. The answer demonstrates a basic use of the 'momentum factor' - a rule that economists have proven  Read More

It takes two to tango for TTWO

by Julius de Kempenaer

While browsing through some Relative Rotation Graphs, looking for DITC candidates, my eye fell on TTWO inside the Communications Services sector. XLC itself is inside the weakening quadrant vs SPY but very close to the benchmark, meaning that the performance of the sector is very close to that of SPY. TTWO against XLC, on the other hand, is showing a nice rotation (on the daily RRG) over the  Read More

11/7 MWL Recap: "Muscular Manifesto" with Brian Livingston

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Alert: Momentum Shift - New PMO BUY Signals on DP Scoreboards

by Erin Swenlin

Lots of new BUY signals are appearing on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards in the short-term timeframe. This is good news for bulls, but I don't think they can breathe easy just yet. This rally reminds me of the last big rally we had in October that was not fueled by heavy volume. That rally failed. Today volume on the SPX was just under average. I would expect a day that finally released pent up  Read More

Some utility stocks worth paying attention to

by Julius de Kempenaer

The relative rotation graph above shows a selection of stocks in the utilities sector. I have created this zoomed in version for better visibility. The fully populated RRG can be found  Read More

The $TSX Bounces Nicely, Now What? 2018-11-06 CT

by Greg Schnell

The $TSX has bounced six hundred points off of the lows. This week marks an important place on the charts. While we don't know the future, lots of previous examples suggest these current levels are zones of interest. First of all, the big downslide started as the US Dollar pushed up. Notice in late September the US Dollar popped up above this 100 period moving average. The $TSX  Read More

DP Bulletin: Dow and SPX Log New BUY Signals

by Erin Swenlin

The Dow and SPX both triggered PMO BUY signals after the close yesterday. In addition, the Dow printed a ST Trend Model BUY signal. I will be writing a more comprehensive blog this evening on these signal changes that occurred on the close yesterday. I just wanted to give everyone the heads up before tonight. I would also like to note that after the close today, the NDX and OEX should also  Read More

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THE DOW LEADS NOVEMBER REBOUND -- THE S&P 500 IS BACK ABOVE ITS 200-DAY LINE

by John Murphy

THE DOW LEADS STOCK UPTURN Major stock indexes are building on their November gains on the day after the midterm elections. The Dow is leading on the upside. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials already trading above chart resistance at 25,800 and trying to clear its 50-day average. Chart 2 shows the S&P 500 gapping above its 200-day line which  Read More

Railroads Provide Us Market Clues And Right Now They're Bullish

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, November 6, 2018 All eleven sectors rose on Tuesday with materials (XLB, +1.64%) leading as the U.S. Dollar Index ($USD) closed at its lowest level in nearly two weeks.  All of our major indices had similar gains, from 0.55% to 0.68%, as U.S. voters headed to the polling booths.  Mylan (MYL, +16.02%), Symantec (SYMC, +12.50%) and Mosaic (MOS, +10.71%) were  Read More

This Big Pharma Stock is Closing in on a New High

by Arthur Hill

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) started the year on the wrong foot with a double digit decline the first six months. After hitting a 52-week low in late May, the stock turned around and advanced some 20% the next four months. Even though the stock remains below the January high, the big trend is up and this is the path of least resistance. The chart below shows JNJ above the rising 50-day EMA and  Read More

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Monitoring the Bounce in the Major Index ETFs, key Sectors, Tech-related ETFs and a Dozen Stocks

by Arthur Hill

Short-term Bounce Extends. XLY and XLF Lead Rebound. SKYY and SOXX Lead Tech-related ETFs. Gold Holds Breakout. Crude Hits Moment-of-Truth. Bonds Continue to March South. Stocks to Watch: DIS, VZ, CSCO, MSFT, MA, V and JNJ. Short-term Bounce Extends Stocks were deeply oversold in late October and there were several up gaps on October 31st. The gaps and subsequent bounces  Read More

Mosaic $MOS Is Pushing More Outperformance

by Greg Schnell

Mosaic shot to a fresh new high today, continuing the uptrend. While the broader market has been trying to bounce, we can see this stock has been on the move for a while. This beautiful uptrend was hardly interrupted by the recent broad market slide. Today the stock rocketed 10% to resume the push to new highs.  The SCTR has been trending higher over the last year. While the stock was  Read More

11/6 MWL Recap: Trend and Condition Workshop - Sector Rotation

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More