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7/17 MWL Recap - Trading Chart Patterns 2.0 (Bearish Patterns) - Correlation

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

Materials Sector Picks Up Momentum

by Erin Swenlin

Today, both the Materials SPDR (XLB) and the equal-weight Materials ETF (RTM) posted new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signals. With talk of a trade war, many investors believe that the Materials sector could provide a decent hedge. I don't know if that is true, but I do know that the charts of these two Materials ETFs are looking promising. Looking at the daily chart, you can see that  Read More

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STOCK INDEXES ARE STILL CLIMBING -- NASDAQ HITS NEW RECORD

by John Murphy

MAJOR STOCK INDEXES ARE STILL CLIMBING All three of the major U.S. stock indexes are building on last week's gains. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials moving further above 25K and nearing a test of its June high. The Dow is being led higher by Johnson & Johnson, DowDuPont, United Technologies, Microsoft, and Coca Cola. Chart 2 shows the  Read More

Why Gold Can Trade A Lot Lower

by Greg Schnell

With all the discussion of trade wars, recently the Chinese Yuan and the Japanese Yen have been falling. If a product is made in another country and the currency of that country drops, that makes the product less expensive to import for other countries. This is one method of dealing with trade imbalance. The total value of imported goods will drop bringing the trade imbalance closer in  Read More

Netflix Slammed After Missing Revenue And Subscriber Estimates

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, July 16, 2018 The Dow Jones saw buying late in Monday's session, pushing this index of giants into positive territory.  Leadership was clear.  Large money center banks performed well and JP MorganChase (JPM) was easily the best perfoming Dow Jones stock, gaining nearly 4%.  On the S&P 500, banks dominated as well with 5 of the top 8 performing  Read More

7/16 MWL Recap - Monday Set-Ups - Earnings Spotlight - DecisionPoint Report

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

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Healthcare Leads as Industrials and Finance Attempt Bounces

by Arthur Hill

SPY Extends Laborious Uptrend. Back in the Saddle. QQQ Maintains Leadership with New High. Healthcare Takes the Lead in July. Industrial Sector Pulls Ahead of Finance. Aerospace & Defense ETF Turns Up within Range. Mind the Gap in the Broker-Dealer iShares The major index ETFs were in long-term uptrends and short-term oversold at the end of June (see  Read More

Newest Dow Jones Component Leads Market Higher

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, July 13, 2018 The Dow Jones moved back above 25000 and the S&P 500 cleared 2800 for the first time since February 2nd on the backs of two unlikely heroes.  Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), the newest member of the Dow Jones,  and Walt Disney (DIS) gained 2.02% and 1.62%, respectively, to power the Dow Jones higher.  The latter made a significant  Read More

Building a Rules-Based Trend Following Model - 12

by Greg Morris

I'm going to return to discuss the final part of my Weight of the Evidence.  As a reminder this is a collection of price and breadth measures designed to tell me if the Nasdaq Composite is in an uptrend or not. You might want to review some of the past articles in this series as I'm going to try to not repeat unless necessary for clarity. The model uses a basket of technical measures to  Read More

NKE poised for a further rally and outperformance vs $INDU

by Julius de Kempenaer

Watching the Relative Rotation Graph of the 30 Dow stocks, there are a few observations that can be made. To begin with, there is a high concentration of stock inside the leading quadrant, including some mega-cap names like AAPL and MSFT and in the improving quadrant. The bottom half of the RRG holds only 8 stocks. Three in weakening and 5 inside lagging. It suggests that the current  Read More

Tactical Dilemma

by Bruce Fraser

While some major indexes have pushed to new high ground recently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) has remained a notable laggard. This creates a tactical dilemma for Wyckoffians. Is the weaker Dow Jones Industrial Average offering a 'tell' by lagging the broad market? or is the industrial (thirty) stock index being left behind by more dynamic indexes that are launching into fresh new  Read More

Manitowoc (MTW) Tries To Change Trend

by Greg Schnell

Manitowoc is trying to break the downward trend. There are a few bullish signals on the chart. The Full Stochastic is moving above 50. The PPO is kicking off a buy signal this week. There is a little four month trend across the highs on the chart that could quickly be broken with a sudden surge. Late July 2017 was a fabulous surge to get on board for a 40% move.  If you are missing clues  Read More

Commodities Get Smoked 2018-07-13 Video

by Greg Schnell

Commodities took it on the chin again this week, but the market messages could not be more confusing. While commodities fell hard, all the commodity countries made higher highs and higher lows on the week. The only commodity above the 10 WMA is oil. Copper fell again for the fifth week in a row. Gold and Silver stocks fell hard as the Yen broke its trend line. Let's get into the charts. Here is  Read More

7/13 MWL Recap - Inside the Lines - Watch List - Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

DP Weekly Wrap: Bonds Long-Term BUY Signal

by Carl Swenlin

On Friday the Long-Term Trend Model (LTTM) for long bonds (TLT) generated a long-term BUY signal. How that happens is that the 50EMA crosses up through the 200EMA, an event more commonly known as the "Golden Cross," because big money is sure to follow (just kidding). When we say long-term, we mean months to years, but in the broader picture TLT appears to be moving sideways -- the LTTM SELL  Read More

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STOCKS ARE HAVING A POSITIVE WEEK -- THE DOW IS TRYING TO CLOSE OVER 25K

by John Murphy

S&P 500 IS CHALLENGING MARCH HIGH Stocks are ending the week on a positive note. The Nasdaq hit a new record high yesterday. Today's rally is being led by the Dow and S&P 500. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials trying to end above 25000 for the first time in a month. Wednesday's pullback bounced off support at its 50-day average (blue line). The  Read More

Internet, Software Break Out To Lead NASDAQ To All-Time High

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, July 12, 2018 Those looking for a bear market to develop were dealt a serious blow on Thursday as the NASDAQ forged to yet another all-time high.  The Russell 2000 was on the verge of doing so earlier this week as it reached an intraday all-time high.but small caps couldn't sustain the strength into the close.  The NASDAQ held it into the close, actually  Read More

NDX Snags a PMO BUY Signal - NDX ST Indicators Still Very Overbought

by Erin Swenlin

The NDX killed it today with a 1.69% move higher and logging a new all-time high. The other major Scoreboard indexes managed good numbers, but none above 1% or logging all-time highs. At issue with all of the Scoreboard indexes are extremely overbought short-term indicators. These conditions need to be relieved and this rally pop did nothing to help that cause. The good news is that overbought  Read More

Paypal (PYPL) Breaks Out After Consolidating For 6 Months

by Greg Schnell

Paypal (PYPL) has been consolidating for 6 months. and this week it is breaking out fresh new highs along with Visa And Mastercard. These are very supportive consolidation patterns. Anyone who bought the stock in the last 6 months is now in a profit position and less likely to be a seller. The SCTR shows Paypal outperforming 89% of the stocks. The full stochastic is holding above 80 which is  Read More

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Bond Yields Showing Some Vulnerability

by Martin Pring

A look at the primary and secular trends Interesting momentum study points to lower bond yields Bond Net New Highs set to pounce in either direction Slight softening in confidence hints at lower yields In the June and July editions of my Market Roundup webinars I pointed out the possibility that bond yields were likely to experience some extended ranging action or an actual decline. Since then  Read More

7/12 MWL Recap - Grayson Roze - Under the Radar - Anatomy of a Trade

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

Trade Headlines Spook Traders, But Weak Energy Sector Remains Bullish

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, July 11, 2018 Utilities (XLU, +0.90%) moved higher in an otherwise down day, highlighted by the latest trade headlines in which the U.S. announced another $200 billion in Chinese imports to be subject to a 10% tariff.  While the initial reaction was obviously negative, the major U.S. indices did hold up well after the opening bell, most likely due to a  Read More

7/11 MWL Recap - "Summer Rally?" by Tushar Chande - SCTR Report

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

DP Alert: Dow Squeaks a PMO BUY Signal - ST Indicators Very Overbought

by Erin Swenlin

I mentioned in yesterday's blog that I was expecting the PMO BUY signals to come in on the Dow and NDX. Well, NDX missed the positive crossover by less than a tenth of a point, but I suspect it'll come in tomorrow barring a particularly bad day of selling. The Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STOs) remain extremely overbought, but appear to be topping. I'm expecting some sideways consolidation or  Read More

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DROP IN CHINESE MARKET STARTED WITH JUNE 15 TARIFFS -- SINCE THEN CHINESE STOCKS AND CURRENCY HAVE FALLEN TOGETHER

by John Murphy

MOST COMMODITIES ARE IN THE RED Commodity prices have been falling sharply over the last month. And Chart 1 shows where most of the selling has taken place. The black line shows the Invesco Commodity Tracking Fund (DBC) still 4% higher since the start of the year. That's almost entirely due to the fact that energy prices have climbed 16% this year (blue line). The  Read More

REGN reversing its downtrend?

by Julius de Kempenaer

On the Relative Rotation Graph that shows all members of the Health Care sector (XLV) against the XLV benchmark, REGN stands out in a positive way. On the weekly RRG, the stock is positioned inside the improving quadrant, close to leading and moving at a strong RRG-Heading while the week-to-week distances on the tail are increasing. When we bring REGN back to a regular chart there are a few  Read More

Stocks Reach Key Resistance, Could Be Poised For Selling

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, July 10, 2018 The good news from yesterday is that the Russell 2000 hit an intraday all-time high at 1708.56, edging out intraday highs from June 20th and 21st.  The bad news?  Sellers took over from there.  The record took place in the opening minutes on Tuesday, then the reversal took place.  Here's a 10 day, 10 minute chart that shows the  Read More

TransOcean Floats To New Highs $RIG

by Greg Schnell

TransOcean (RIG) is starting to hit higher highs and higher lows. This weeks high continues the trend. The SCTR shows the stock being a top performing Mid Cap for the last three months. The full stochastic shows the price staying near the high end of its range. The green line shows the closing price relative to history. Clearly the momentum is up and the stock looks set to continue. With lots  Read More

DP Scoreboards Turning Green, But Beware Short-Term Weakness

by Erin Swenlin

We've had a few signal changes arrive the past few trading days that you should be aware of. While these new green arrows look promising, the DecisionPoint Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STOs) suggest we may experience some short-term weakness before pushing past overhead resistance at June price tops. The NDX and Dow pulled back quite a bit and therefore are the slowest to  Read More

7/10 MWL Recap - 2018 Midyear Review - Bottom Feeders

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

Rising Dollar Will Provide Further Leadership In Small Caps

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, July 9, 2018 In the famous words of Yogi Berra, it was "deja vu all over again" as financials (XLF, +2.29%) and industrials (XLI, +1.86%) returned to the top of the sector leaderboard.  Life insurance ($DJUSIL, +2.78%) and banks ($DJUSBK, +2.67%), major historical beneficiaries of rising interest rates, soared.  Was it a case of simply being oversold and  Read More

7/9 MWL Recap - Monday Setups - Earnings Spotlight - DecisionPoint Report

by Erin Swenlin

  Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the  Read More

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FINANCIALS LEAD THE MARKET HIGHER -- FINANCIAL SPDR BOUNCES OFF CHART SUPPORT

by John Murphy

FINANCIALS ARE THE DAY'S STRONGEST SECTOR My June 30 message suggested that the market needed more help from financial stocks and industrials if it was going to gain ground during the second half of the year. It's getting help from both today. Let's start with the financials. Chart 1 shows the Financial SPDR (XLF) bouncing off the lower support line drawn under its  Read More

NOK/JPY, a FOREX pair trade from RRG

by Julius de Kempenaer

Relative Rotation Graphs are not only used to look at sector-rotation or help with asset allocation decisions but can also help you to pinpoint potential forex trades. Most currency traders are short-term orientated so the RRG above is a daily chart showing the rotation of the Norwegian Krone and the Japanese Yen vs the US dollar. You can easily re-create this chart by selecting the  Read More

Does The US Dollar Complete The Rollover? 2018-07-06 Video

by Greg Schnell

This week's Commodities Countdown video is jam packed with changes. Does the US Dollar complete the rollover? Do the bonds break through resistance on the price and momentum charts? The next few weeks are really important for the bond markets based on my work. Most of the Commodities moved under or are still under the 10 week moving average. The 800 pound gorilla exception to that is oil  Read More

A Big Name Clothing & Accessories Company Provides Excellent Reward To Risk Opportunity

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, July 6, 2018 It was a solid close to the week on Friday, especially on the tech-laden NASDAQ where that index rose 101 points, or 1.34%.  Biotechnology stocks ($DJUSBT, +3.74%) surged on news of positive trial results for Biogen's (BIIB, +19.63%) Alzheimer's drug.  Most biotechs rose in sympathy.  The Dow Jones also gained, but its advance was much less  Read More

Fear and Greed

by Greg Morris

I cannot tell you the number of times an investor has asked, "Considering the difficulties of the past few months, do you still believe in your investment process?"  These questions always concerned me because I never once considered not believing in my process for managing money just because of short-term whipsaws and volatility.  I have written often, maybe too often, that the  Read More

It's hard to believe but some markets are (starting to) outperform(ing) the US...

by Julius de Kempenaer

This is an extended version of the recent RRG article in Chartwatchers "Checking out the land down under on a Relative Rotation Graph". Even if your investment portfolio is tied to a specific country or region it makes sense to keep an eye on developments  Read More

Alibaba Keeps Trying To Hold The Breakout (BABA)

by Greg Schnell

Alibaba has been consolidating for about 9 months after a huge climb in 2017. Friday marked a fresh surge out of a small base around the 200 day moving average. The relative strength has been flat since August of last year. This is shown in the purple area chart. This means that the stock is performing in line with the $SPX, rather than outperforming the index like it was on the left side of  Read More

Wyckoff Intraday Workshop

by Bruce Fraser

During my most recent guest appearance on MarketWatchers LIVE (7/5/18) I introduced a case study of intraday trading with the Wyckoff Method. Intraday trading is not every traders cup of tea, but even if you are not a short term trader there are benefits to studying the intraday charts. Integration of intraday Vertical Bar and Point and Figure chart methods are equally effective in this  Read More