The Traders Journal

Table of Contents

Flopping in Sports Can Make One Millions / Flopping in Investing Can Cost You Millions

As an investor, there is only one day a year that you are unable to do anything about the stock market’s behavior, and that is yesterday.  Any other day, your action or inaction will determine your bottom line.  As a trader, the two things I must do each day is focus on doing and focus on being.

Flopping has no place in the investment arena, but you see it as often there as on the basketball court.  For those of you who are not big sports fans, a “flop” in basketball, for example, is when a player intentionally falls down in a grandstanding manner after little or no physical contact by an opposing player in hopes of drawing a referee’s attention, thereby securing a personal foul against the opponent.  It’s unsportsmanlike, but widely practiced and even perfected by a number of professional players in multiple sports, not just basketball.  

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ChartPack Quarterly Updates & Insights 200 New Enhancements (Version 8.25)

The last three months since Wiley published our book, Tensile Trading, has given us a unique opportunity to talk with many investors.  In doing so, we’ve been able to discuss with them the big picture challenges of managing one’s assets, as well as hear unique testimonials extolling the organizational value of the ChartPack.  

The most common refrains we hear from investors is that until now they had struggled without a clear and simple process.  As they’ve explained, our book has not just given them an organizational structure but it has allowed them to incorporate their own investment needs and inclinations into a personalized methodology.   One investor told us that the book really “plugged the holes in my money management ship.”  

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Investorship, like Citizenship, Must Have Parameters

Friends don’t let friends drink and drive.”  We have all been exposed to this public service advertisement since it was first broadcast in 1983.  This simple slogan has been embedded in our collective consciousness, and research has proven that its impact has saved thousands of lives. It really works.

If you read my blogs regularly, I’d wager that you are probably the most sophisticated investor in your friend group.  With that comes a similar responsibility to look out for your friends.  This is in part what motivated me to begin teaching investors over twenty years ago.  Perhaps a comparable handle might be to say “Friends don’t let friends invest wildly or blindly” – use whatever synonym you feel is appropriate.  I’d even go so far as saying that perhaps potential investors should be treated like immigrants and your role being that of a customs official.

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The Single Most Important Lesson I've Learned Trading the Markets for 25 Years

My Thesaurus lists the same two words – enhance and augment – as synonyms for both words “improve” and “more”.  The mantra of today’s global society could indeed be “improve and more” with all the corresponding complexity that it brings with it.

I merely have to look in my garage at a new BMW that is so improved with more gadgets (I use the word with tongue-in-cheek) that one must make multiple appointments with a   “BMW Genius” (their label, not mine) since the salesman clearly could not give us an adequate explanation of the car’s infinite features.  Improved and more?  Unfortunately, most investors bring those same expectations to their money management endeavors where investing is most definitely not one-size-fits-all decision making.  Investing geniuses don’t offer appointments.

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You Bought It...But Here's How You Increase Your Probabilities of Making Profits!

I think of this weekly blog as a sort of view from the kitchen.  Mine is not some candy-coated representation of a non-existent financial Valhalla being peddled by someone who is trying to sell his black box with the holy grail formula.

 

This is a weekly experience where I invite you into my trading kitchen and let you look over my shoulder as I blend a lot of essential ingredients into what becomes a tasty profitable investment dish.  Is it simple?  Heck, no!  That’s the point.  I make it clear that it takes a lot of study, practice and work.  If you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen.  Find a money manager to take over your assets and learn to live with his or her results.  If that’s the road you chose, I hope I helped you make the right decision. 

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A Through Z of Investing: The Essentials

Fair warning: everyone has some comments to offer when you write an investment book.  And they do.  

For 25 years now, I’ve operated under the caveat:  “if it ain’t broken, don’t try to fix it.”  As a former entrepreneur, my customers reviewed my performance daily.  As an athlete, the stopwatch rated and ranked me.  As a trader, the markets always critique the choices I make.   Feedback like this is nothing new, and I’m used to it. 

It’s the source of the feedback that’s always mattered to me.  In other words, the accolades from close friends and family is what I strive for.  The applause from the multitudes is not. 

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The Four Crucial Beliefs Necessary to Achieve Stock Market Mastery

Galloping through the markets without recognizing the impact of your essential beliefs is an investing tragedy of Shakespearean proportions.  If this describes your style, money management will be like trying to nail Jello to the wall. 

We use to joke that my high school buddy, Brian Maxwell, was a force of nature – so much so that the weather would follow him wherever he went.  In truth, it was his beliefs that fueled his behavior. Brian was a world-class marathon runner. When he created PowerBar, he believed beyond the shadow of a doubt that its formulation would allow him to break through the inevitable 21-mile wall that all runners hit in a marathon race.  His absolute belief in his PowerBar formulation allowed him to aggressively run to 21 miles knowing he would blast through “the wall”.  The faith he had in his methodology facilitated his near-evangelical zeal as he pedaled PowerBars out of his van at numerous race events.  His beliefs resulted in the building of a 300-person company that he eventually sold to Nestle for $375 million.

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Precisely How I Bought the 4 'FANG' Stocks Before Their Run-Up

Put your hands up if you can remember the big money we made in the ‘Nifty Fifty’ – those stocks from the ‘60s and ‘70s.   Or what about the Four Horsemen from 1999 to 2001?  The famous FANG stocks of 2015 – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google – had many of the same similarities.  More on that in a minute.

Tensile Trading is a methodology that teaches you how to metabolize your investments and digest your profits.  Let me explain.  It’s been my experience that new investors rush to lean their financial ladders immediately against the growth stocks’ wall.  They don’t appreciate that this ladder tends to get you to the wrong place fast.  They are often disappointed when I suggest that their financial ladders be leaned against the asset protection wall first.  Their personal narrative seems to get in the way.  They have a vision of big gains to quickly grow their assets.  

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7 Reasons Why Investing/Trading is the Best Pastime in the World

Trading the stock market is not the blood sport that many in the press portray it to be.  That sentiment is just part and parcel of Wall Street’s sophisticated disinformation machine which preaches a familiar old sermon to individual investors.  The market pitch goes something like this:  “the market is too complex and you individual investors do not have the tools (or the smarts) to effectively manage your own money…so give us your money to manage for you” (so we can collect enormous fees).  I think not, Mr. Market – I beg to differ.

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Stalking the "Best of Breed" Equities

The same investment analysis seldom yields consistent conclusions over a period of time.  As much as investors would like to believe they are predictably consistent in their analysis, I’d be willing to wager that this is seldom the case.

This is especially true if you are stalking similar equities, ETFs or mutual funds in the same industry or asset class.  I find when I review my asset allocation baskets and focus on the “top” options (which I inventory on asset specific perf charts), my preferences for “best of breed” may vary from month to month. 

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What They Don't Teach You About Investing at Harvard and Stanford Business Schools

I was recently discussing trading and investing with Carlos Obando, former portfolio manager and graduate of a famous east-coast Business School – yes, Harvard. And as regular readers know, my MBA is from Stanford.  Both schools are famous for their respective teaching methods, but as investment professionals, Carlos and I agreed that there are a lot of things business schools just don’t teach you about investing in the financial markets and portfolio management. There are things you have to learn the hard way.  Here are eight things we both agreed upon quickly.

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Warren Buffett Would Be Proud of Us!

The legendary Warren Buffet once said, “You only have to do a few things right in your life so long as you don’t do too many things wrong.”  Co-authoring an investment book alongside my son, Grayson Roze, stands out as one of the most profoundly “right” things I’ve done in my professional life.  After two years in the making, it is with tremendous pride and boundless excitement that I write this blog today to announce the official release of Tensile Trading: The 10 Essential Stages of Stock Market Mastery, published by Wiley under its Wiley Trading Series.

 

From the very beginning, this work has been a unique father-son team production, sharing the secrets of the insider-structured investment methodology that both Grayson and myself use to trade the financial markets.  This book’s candid details were forged from a father’s desire to pass on to his son the skills and knowledge gleaned from over 25 years of experience as a full-time trader-investor, one who has proven that an individual investor can outperform the industry professionals and still enjoy the ride.  Unburdened by the distraction of clients, our unfiltered, brutally honest guidance is structured as a comprehensive 10-stage roadmap that we ourselves put to use each and every day.  Over the course of more than 16 years of teaching, the material in this book has been presented to thousands of investors.  Refined and enhanced continuously, the result is a book that provides the building blocks for a profitable, high-probability, long-term investment system.  

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ChartPack Quarterly Update: Over 100 New Enhancements (v 8.0)

Visual Analysis on Steroids
I am a big believer that investing should be fun and need not eat up all my time.  One element I’ve found that makes it more so is creating colorful and visually alluring charts.  To this end, present ChartPack users will therefore notice that over 100 charts have been improved with more distinctive presentation and attractive colorization.  You’ll want to spend more time looking and listening to what these charts have to tell you.

As is the case in all of these chartlists, the overall paramount objective when we first offered the ChartPack back in 2013 and continues to be true today with each update is to present ever more visually powerful charts that save you precious analysis time while maximizing your market insights.

With this update, we actually hired a professional investor to review the entire ChartPack for a fresh perspective but still keeping these specific goals in mind.  His suggestions were insightful and are reflected in this update. 

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Here's How Your Buying & Selling RT (Reaction Time) Flows Through to Your Bottom Line

I’ve been told I’m a little unusual in that I rate my trades on a scale of 1 – 5 stars depending on my reaction time (RT).  My reaction time rating is merely a measure of the quickness an investor responds to some sort of market stimulus.  I rate it both on the buy side and on the sell side of my trades.  No, I don’t get wired up like the Dutch physiologist, F. C. Donders, started doing back in 1865 when he began measuring human reaction, but I do have my system.  Stop and think about it.  Your RT plays a large part in your everyday life.  Fast reaction times can produce big payoffs and slow RTs can result in serious negative consequences in a whole host of daily situations.

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As Easy As 1, 2, 3...or 4?

What does it take to succeed as an investor?  That’s a broad question but nonetheless a supremely important one. Let’s stop, think about this for a minute and see if we can boil it down to a few core elements. First off, it takes genuine curiosity. It requires a thirst for knowledge, a willingness to continually seek out education and expand your intellectual capital. This is the learning part of the equation. I’m confident that you have this checkbox covered because you’re displaying that curiosity right now just by reading this blog. You’ve come here to satisfy that thirst for knowledge, hoping to learn something new or uncover something insightful. So what’s next?

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