Top Advisors Corner

December 2022

Top Advisors Corner

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3rd Year of Presidential Term is Supposed to Be Bullish

by Tom McClellan

Now that the November 2022 mid-term elections are behind us, the stock market is now in year 3 of the 4-year presidential cycle pattern... Read More 

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What's Your Vision for 2023?

by John Hopkins

2022 has come to an end with a collective "Thank Goodness!" There's just no sugarcoating it; 2022 was a brutal year for those who were long stocks. This was particularly true for those who stuck with technology stocks, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ falling 33% for the year... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle December 27, 2022

by Tim Ord

Last week, trading was below last week's low on lighter volume, but then closed above last week's low. It's said, "If a market can't take out the previous low on higher volume, it will reverse and attempt to take out the previous high... Read More 

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M2 Shrinking, GDP Rising: A Bad Recipe For Stocks

by Tom McClellan

The Fed boosted the size of the money supply in a huge way because of COVID-19, exacerbating an upswing that was already underway in the ratio of M2 to GDP featured in this week's chart... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Central Banks, 1 – Santa, 0. Bond Traders Laugh

by Joe Duarte

This is my final Market Summary for 2022. I will be back in January; subscribers can expect portfolio summaries and intermittent alerts as usual... Read More 

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Federal Government Not Ready for High Rates

by Tom McClellan

Total federal debt has risen every year since the 1950s. It even rose during the supposed budget surpluses back in 1999–2000. A little bit of debt is not a problem, but, when the total debt gets up to a really high level, it becomes a big problem... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle December 13, 2022

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 11/10/22 at 3956.27 Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. We have updated the chart and statistics from yesterday... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Big Move in Stocks Ahead; Lower Interest Rates Fuel Rally in Homebuilder and Builder Materials Sectors

by Joe Duarte

The stock market is preparing for a big move as volatility bands tighten around the major indexes. There are three major factors to consider at the moment: the Fed, tax selling, and sector specificity. Technical developments suggest the market is weakening... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle: December 6, 2022 Update

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 11/10/22 at 3956.27. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long-Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. Yesterday, we said, "The 10-day average of the Arms Index (TRIN) close near 1.20 appears near short-term lows... Read More 

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At the Edge of Chaos: Seasonality is Winning as Employment Data Fails to Impress Stocks and Bonds

by Joe Duarte

We remain in a seasonally bullish period for stocks. And while the bullish trend could end abruptly once the Fed makes its latest interest rate decision known on December 14, so far, against all apparent odds, the seasonal trends seem to be holding up... Read More 

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The Gold Price Move ETF Traders Weren't Betting On

by Tom McClellan

Gold prices have moved up by almost $200 off the October lows. Generally, that would bring a response from investors to start buying into SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU), the big gold bullion exchange-traded funds (ETFs)... Read More