Top Advisors Corner

April 2023

Top Advisors Corner

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QQEW Divergence vs. QQQ Shows Weak Liquidity

by Tom McClellan

Earnings news from big cap Nasdaq stocks like Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META, used to be Facebook) have been pushing up the capitalization-weighted indices, as well as the share price of QQQ, the ETF which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle April 25, 2023

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/6/23 at 4110.98. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. Don't believe an extended decline is beginning here... Read More 

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Introducing the Four Horsemen of MELA; Homebuilders Thrive as Commercial Real Estate Implodes

by Joe Duarte

The next liquidity crisis will likely be spurred by the woes in commercial real estate (CRE); ironically, a four-headed megatrend which has been accelerated by the Fed's rate hike cycle... Read More 

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Lead Prices Foretell CPI Changes

by Tom McClellan

Inflation rates have been coming back down from their big post-COVID spike to above 8%. But they are likely to see a brief upturn, if this week's guest fortune-teller is correct... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle April 18, 2023

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/6/23 at 4110.98 Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. We updated this chart from yesterday. The SPY/VIX ratio is still rising, which suggests the SPY is in an uptrend... Read More 

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As Fed Plays with Fire, Focus on Strength, Ignore Intraday Volatility, and Expect the Unexpected

by Joe Duarte

There is only one way to survive this market. Focus on strength. Ignore the intraday volatility. And always expect the unexpected. The stock market remains in a stubborn trading pattern, with nearly equal measures of strength and relative weakness... Read More 

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The Bull Case--Why We're Likely to See Stocks Move Higher

by John Hopkins

It might not be kitchen sink time--you know, when everything has been thrown in--but the market has been tossed a lot of curveballs lately; non-stop increase in rates, bank jitters, recession fears, and earnings fears... Read More 

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Crude Oil at Major Price Low, Per COT Report Data

by Tom McClellan

Crude oil prices were in the middle of an uptrend when Russia invaded Ukraine just over a year ago, and that news caused oil prices to spike up to over $120/barrel. But oil prices have given back those gains, getting cut almost in half since the last poke above $120 in June 2022... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle April 11, 2023

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/6/23 at 4110.98. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. Above is a sentiment indicator, the 5-day average of the CBOE Equity put/ call ratio (bottom window)... Read More 

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Stocks Retain Uptrend: Focusing on the Right Homebuilder in a Volatile Market

by Joe Duarte

The release of the March payrolls numbers threw a wrench into the notion that the US economy is slowing. At the same time, given all the negative data which preceded it, the big question is when the market will start to doubt the veracity of the monthly employment numbers... Read More 

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Bulls Show Their Might in First Quarter: Now What?

by John Hopkins

An awful lot has happened since the beginning of the year, including further rate increases, bank failures, and continuing concerns about rising inflation and weakening earnings... Read More 

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The Ord Oracle April 4, 2023

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/6/23 at 4110.98. Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral. Above, we have the chart of the daily SPY. The pink area shows the times when the 10-day TRIN was above 1... Read More 

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Don't Fight the Tape; Stock Market Returns to Uptrend, Nasdaq 100 Blows Out 13,000 Resistance Level

by Joe Duarte

The stock market is back in an uptrend. Moreover, the rally is being led by the technology sector, which is usually a very bullish development. Last week in this space, I noted that money flows into stocks were increasing. So far, that's been a correct observation... Read More