Don't Ignore This Chart!

Positive Divergence Suggests CA Likely To Resume Uptrend


CA Inc (CA) topped in March 2015 and was in the midst of an 8 month downtrend - until last week's action.  Prior to the break of this downtrend and key 20 week EMA resistance, CA had printed a fresh weekly CLOSING low that was accompanied by a higher MACD, a classic positive divergence.  It wasn't easy to see the positive divergence, especially if you use candlesticks as I do.  Remember that the MACD uses CLOSING prices, not opens or intraweek lows.  One glance at a candlestick chart won't always reveal that positive divergence.  That's when a simple line chart has an advantage because the line only connects closing prices.  It eliminates all the other noise on the chart.  Take a look at the chart of CA below as a perfect illustration:

I rarely use line charts, but spotting positive and negative divergences is much easier using line charts over just about any other chart form.  The positive divergence suggested that momentum to the downside was slowing and CA is in the midst of a longer-term uptrend.  Last week's breakout above 8 month trendline resistance indicates the probability of higher prices ahead.

Happy trading!


Tom Bowley
About the author: is the Chief Market Strategist of, a company providing a research and educational platform for both investment professionals and individual investors. Tom writes a comprehensive Daily Market Report (DMR), providing guidance to members every day that the stock market is open. Tom has contributed technical expertise here at since 2006 and has a fundamental background in public accounting as well, blending a unique skill set to approach the U.S. stock market. Learn More
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