Don't Ignore This Chart!

Copper Hits Key Fibonacci Level after Shallow Pullback


The Copper ETN (JJC) broke out with a big surge in October-November and then pulled back in December. This pullback looks like a normal correction after a big move and chartists should be alert for a continuation higher. The weekly chart shows JJC and the Copper Continuous Futures Contract ($COPPER) basing from November 2015 until October 2016 and then breaking base resistance with a strong move. This breakout move also pushed copper to a 52-week high, but created a short-term overbought condition that needed to be alleviated. Overbought conditions dissipate with a pullback, a flat consolidation or a little of both. JJC did indeed pull back in December and shows signs of firmness the last three weeks. We will look at the daily chart after the jump. 

The daily chart shows JJC firming near the 38.2% retracement line. This is a relatively shallow retracement of the prior surge and is the minimum expected on a pullback. JJC held the 28.5 area the last two weeks of December and turned up with a move above 29 last week. The indicator window shows MACD flattening near the zero line and an edging higher. A break above the signal line would signal an upturn in momentum. 

Thanks for tuning in and have a great day!
--Arthur Hill CMT

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Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More
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