Don't Ignore This Chart!

Here's a Materials Stock With Potential

Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer

Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

With the Materials sector (XLB) moving into the leading quadrant on the weekly RRG, it makes sense to look for some individual stocks that may offer upside potential. Using Relative Rotation Graphs, we can do just that by loading all members of the Materials sector and using XLB as the benchmark from the dropdown box.

A stock that really attracts attention on both the weekly and the daily RRG is ALB, Albemarle. The two images above show the trajectory for the weekly tail (on the left) and the daily version (on the right). Both tails are rotating nicely into the leading quadrant at a positive RRG-Heading (0-90 degrees), which suggests that there is more (relative) upside potential for this stock going forward.

When I opened the price chart, I noticed some nice technical patterns that have worked for ALB so far this year.

First, in February of this year, there was the small H&S reversal pattern that completed after the uptrend that started in December 2019.

Then, after the decline following the completion of that H&S formation, an almost perfect symmetrical triangle formed. There were four touch points on the declining resistance, as well as four touch points on the rising support and an upward break around 2/3 of the base of the formation (they don't get much better than this). This was followed by a nice rally that meets, and slightly exceeds, the price target after a few weeks.

After the peak at $86.50, which was just over the expected horizontal resistance right above $81, ALB dropped back below this level, then had trouble getting back above it for about a month. During this time, an inverted H&S continuation pattern formed, which was completed with the break back above resistance/neckline around $81.

Currently, the stock is working its way higher following that break. Meanwhile, it has taken out the high at $86.50, which adds to the positive outlook. The next hurdle is the horizontal resistance around $91*

*Or $98.40 depending on where you draw your resistance. I prefer to use the level where the "meat" of the price action has taken place - IMHO, that is more in the area around $90-$91 than at the spike at $98.40. This observation gets even stronger when you add more history to the chart.

With both the weekly and the daily tails for ALB rotating into the leading quadrant, I am watching for a break above $91 and a further move upward.

#StaySafe, --Julius


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Julius de Kempenaer
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
CreatorRelative Rotation Graphs
FounderRRG Research
Host ofSector Spotlight

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Feedback, comments or questions are welcome at Juliusdk@stockcharts.com. I cannot promise to respond to each and every message, but I will certainly read them and, where reasonably possible, use the feedback and comments or answer questions.

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Julius de Kempenaer
About the author: is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in January of 2011 and was released on StockCharts.com in July of 2014. After graduating from the Dutch Royal Military Academy, Julius served in the Dutch Air Force in multiple officer ranks. He retired from the military as a captain in 1990 to enter the financial industry as a portfolio manager for Equity & Law (now part of AXA Investment Managers). Learn More