Don't Ignore This Chart!

Real Estate Emerging Out of Doldrums

Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer

Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

Ok, the header image may not be entirely accurate to the message of this article, as it deals with the Real Estate sector which is all about listed REITs, but I could not resist using it ;)

When I looked at the Relative Rotation Graphs for sectors this morning, I noticed the tail for XLRE, the Real Estate sector, was rotating in a positive direction on both the weekly and the daily RRG.

On this chart, XLRE is still inside the lagging quadrant, but very close to crossing over into lagging and traveling at a positive RRG-Heading.

On the daily RRG, XLRE is already well inside the leading quadrant and also traveling at a positive RRG-Heading. This image with the long tail shows the improvement that the sector went through over the last, say, two weeks after rotating out of leading into weakening and then into lagging.

Such an alignment of tails, even if it's in the very early stage like this one, deserves a further inspection of the price chart.

On the weekly chart above, it can be seen that XLRE is breaking away from a consolidation this week, which opens up the way for a move to the next resistance level just below $38. When XLRE can take out that level, the next target will be around the former peak at $42.

The RS-Line just bottomed at the same levels as its previous low, which creates the possibility for a double bottom. This formation will execute when that previous high, which is also long-term resistance after the recent break, can be taken out. This week, and maybe the next two weeks, will show us if that is happening.

The daily chart shows the recent price action in a little more detail and also shows that $36.30 is the short term hurdle that needs to be taken out for further upside. The RS-Line nicely broke the falling resistance but now needs to hold there and move higher.

All in all a nice early message from the RRG charts with good potential if these price structures hold up in coming days!!

#StaySafe, --Julius


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Julius de Kempenaer
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
CreatorRelative Rotation Graphs
FounderRRG Research
Host ofSector Spotlight

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Julius de Kempenaer
About the author: is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in January of 2011 and was released on StockCharts.com in July of 2014. After graduating from the Dutch Royal Military Academy, Julius served in the Dutch Air Force in multiple officer ranks. He retired from the military as a captain in 1990 to enter the financial industry as a portfolio manager for Equity & Law (now part of AXA Investment Managers). Learn More