Mish's Market Minute

What is Your Risk/Reward Plan?

 | 

"How much are you risking?" This is a key question to ask when making a trade and might even be the most important one to ask, as lately, the market's high volatility has created huge price swings.

Take the Retail Sector, (XRT) for example. In just the past 5 trading days, XRT reached a new all-time high at $99.24 and now sits with Tuesday's low at 75.28. The average 10-day price movement for XRT has gone from $2.47 on 1/25 up to $7.58. The average range has almost tripled!

Large price swings can create a tough trading environment, as the market becomes harder to predict under these circumstances. Therefore, no matter what type of trader you are, having a solid set of rules is a must. So lets jump right in with some simple rules that can help anyone become a more profitable trader.

First, your reward must at least be double the risk. For example, if you are risking $100, then you would expect to make $200.

Second, once you have reached the amount you originally risked, you should not take a loss on the trade going forward. This means that if you take a trade where you risked $100 and the profit reaches $100, but then comes back down, you would get out at your entry for $0 loss. You might be bummed that you did not make any money, but at least you didn't lose any.

Many people take quick profits and either kick themselves if the stock continues higher or congratulate themselves if the price retreats lower, but ultimately this can make trading even more tough, as those traders will need to be right more often than not as their risk/reward is now skewed.

The last rule is to choose exactly how much you are willing to risk on a trade and then stick to it. This is especially important for building consistent profits and to prevent bad trades from wiping out progress from past gains. Eventually, as you build more capital, you might decide to increase your dollar risk, but until then keep things simple and consistent.


Whenever you're ready, here are 3 ways I can help you reach your trading goals...

  1. Stay one step ahead of the market with my daily market analysis, Mish's Daily.
  2. Get the foundational building blocks of my trading strategies from my book Plant Your Money Tree: A Guide to Building Your Wealth and accompanying bonus training.
  3. Trade with me and take your trading the next level by following my real-time trading ideas as a member of my premium services.

  • S&P 500 (SPY): Cleared the 10-DMA, 379.88
  • Russell 2000 (IWM): Like to see 204 hold with resistance 217.91
  • Dow (DIA): 50-DMA at 303.65
  • Nasdaq (QQQ): Cleared the the 10-DMA 323.75
  • KRE (Regional Banks): Support 53.08. Resistance 59.86
  • SMH (Semiconductors): 246.79 resistance. Support 221.67
  • IYT (Transportation): 222.62 50-DMA resistance
  • IBB (Biotechnology): 168.51 resistance.
  • XRT (Retail): Like to see this hold 74 area


Mish Schneider

MarketGauge.com

Director of Trading Research and Education

Forrest Crist-Ruiz

MarketGauge.com

Assistant Director of Trading Research and Education

Mish Schneider
About the author: serves as Director of Trading Education at MarketGauge.com. For nearly 20 years, MarketGauge.com has provided financial information and education to thousands of individuals, as well as to large financial institutions and publications such as Barron’s, Fidelity, ILX Systems, Thomson Reuters and Bank of America. In 2017, MarketWatch, owned by Dow Jones, named Mish one of the top 50 financial people to follow on Twitter. In 2018, Mish was the winner of the Top Stock Pick of the year for RealVision. Learn More
Subscribe to Mish's Market Minute to be notified whenever a new post is added to this blog!
comments powered by Disqus