Mish's Market Minute

Pivotal Price Levels the Market Must Hold or Clear Next Week


The past week's earnings have set the market stage, with large tech companies such as Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG/GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) beating earnings estimates. With that said, prices look to be waning not only in the large tech companies, but in the overall market. This could be related to other factors in the market that have taken the spotlight from increasing inflation, including the rise in COVID-19 worries as the delta variant spreads.

Now that the pandemic recovery and the back-to-normal trend sit further down the road, the economy and investor's bullish sentiment could also be weakening. However, since the market has proven its resilience before, which key price levels should we watch as we move into the coming week?

To start, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) will need to hold over its low from July 27th at $360. Since the QQQ is a teach-heavy index, the 27th correlates back to big-tech earnings from Microsoft, Google and Apple, which were reported that same day. Additionally, the S&P 500 (SPY) and the small-cap Russell 2000 (IWM) share a similar support level on the 27th. 

For the Dow Jones, (DIA) clear support is hard to find. We would like to see DIA hold over this week's low at $348.71; however, since that price level is close, it could easily break. After that, the next area of support for the DIA is the 50-day moving average at $345.22.

When it comes to resistance, because the SPY and QQQ have recently broken to new highs, they do not have any large resistance lingering nearby. On the other hand, IWM and DIA are both in resistance zones, as IWM sits in the middle of a very choppy range dating back multiple months while the DIA is having trouble clearing resistance set from the high in May at $351.

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ETF Summary

  • S&P 500 (SPY): Holding near highs.
  • Russell 2000 (IWM): 224.98 resistance.
  • Dow (DIA): 351 resistance area.
  • Nasdaq (QQQ): Holding over the 10-DMA at 363.70.
  • KRE (Regional Banks): Needs to hold over the 10-DMA at 62.12.
  • SMH (Semiconductors): Cleared highs today. Watching to stay over 263.
  • IYT (Transportation): Needs to hold over 248.49.
  • IBB (Biotechnology): Holding upward trend. Needs to stay over 164.69.
  • XRT (Retail): Support 93.79. Looking very choppy and beginning to trade more sideways.

Forrest Crist-Ruiz


Assistant Director of Trading Research and Education

Mish Schneider
About the author: serves as Director of Trading Education at MarketGauge.com. For nearly 20 years, MarketGauge.com has provided financial information and education to thousands of individuals, as well as to large financial institutions and publications such as Barron’s, Fidelity, ILX Systems, Thomson Reuters and Bank of America. In 2017, MarketWatch, owned by Dow Jones, named Mish one of the top 50 financial people to follow on Twitter. In 2018, Mish was the winner of the Top Stock Pick of the year for RealVision. Learn More
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