Art's Charts

Oil Breaks Support as Stocks Remain Overbought

Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill

Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com

And now for the Employment Report....and Factory Orders....and ISM Services. This is like the golden trio of economic reports. In one day we will cover employment, manufacturing and services. Stocks are overbought. Treasuries are at resistance and well above their late January lows. The Dollar is oversold after a sharp three week decline. The market's reactions to today's reports could shake up the situation – for the short-term at least. There is no real change on the charts. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) broke flag resistance on Tuesday morning and extended its gains on Wednesday. This surge reinforces key support at 130. A move below this level and an RSI break below 40 would reverse the short-term uptrend. Those looking for a quicker signal can watch the gap/breakout and December trendline at 131.50. A move back below this level would fill the gap and negate the flag breakout. A little caution is advised because it is very possible that stocks move into a trading range type correction instead of a pullback type correction.

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Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More