The Canadian Technician

Is your portfolio on a profit diet? It could be for a while!

Greg Schnell

Greg Schnell

Chief Technical Analyst, Osprey Strategic

One of the things the world keeps talking about is food inflation. Well, wheat futures are breaking to new lows. The chart below is the current month contract for $WHEAT. However, the futures curves all look weak and are getting weaker. $WHEAT 20120514


The Current Month wheat has not broken to new lows. However the futures have broken down on multiple expiry dates. 

$WHEAT Futures 20120514

Obviously the next thing to look for is other food commodities. Soy is powering higher, but the weekly bars are wide and loose. Corn has been falling out of bed lately (OOPS, it hasn't seen a floor yet!) Sugar is making 16 month lows. 

John Deere is trying to hold above the 40 week. CAT opened the week below its 40 week MA.

So commodities continue to plummet. First Gold, then Oil, now Copper, and the food commodities are all looking weak. Keep in mind that the deflationary signals have turned green. The hardest part is trying to make money when things are deflating. Be aware. The trend continues. Keep watching the various breakdowns, but the industrial metals have been weak and are getting weaker. The Canadian $TSX is a commodity exchange. 

Good Trading 

Greg Schnell, CMT

 

Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, MFTA is Chief Technical Analyst at Osprey Strategic specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. He is also the co-author of Stock Charts For Dummies (Wiley, 2018). Based in Calgary, Greg is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is an active member of both the CMT Association and the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). Learn More