The Canadian Technician

$COPPER - Worthy Of A Penny For Our Thoughts

Greg Schnell

Greg Schnell

Chief Technical Analyst, Osprey Strategic

Here goes $COPPER...                Yeah,well,  the question is which way?

$COPPER 20130111



Twice last year I wrote that $COPPER was quiet and not much was going on, only to have $COPPER immediately break to the upside right after my article. In both articles!

Well, here we sit with $COPPER testing the trendline. The price action late last week was not encouraging and we have a little negative divergence on the daily. You can see when copper fails at the zero line on the MACD it's a big deal. 

It looks to me like the major miners need a rest before continuing their assault to higher prices. To offset that, I have some other ideas.

I also have wedge formations that look identical to this on $WTIC and  $XOI. See the chart here.

Another chart that shows indecision is the $USD. ITs not time to go to sleep on any of these charts. A meaningful breakout any time soon could talk a lot about the longevity for the market overall.

$USD 20130111
I could have piled 4 more arrows on the right side for you to check out, but I left it clear. You can see in July we were wondering. Here we are wondering again. I mentioned the European currencies the other day. They all got support and rose.

The gold miners performed very well on Friday with the big $20 move down. The 3X gold etf -  NUGT was almost unchanged on the day. You would have expected major pain. So someone wasn't selling their miners.

A breakout this week in Commodities could be very bullish. Lets see which way $COPPER goes. It's probably the smartest of the three commodities here. I'll be watching, not predicting this one!

Good Trading,

 

Greg Schnell, CMT

 

Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, MFTA is Chief Technical Analyst at Osprey Strategic specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. He is also the co-author of Stock Charts For Dummies (Wiley, 2018). Based in Calgary, Greg is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is an active member of both the CMT Association and the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). Learn More