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CRB BREAKS 200-DAY AVERAGE

Chip Anderson

Chip Anderson

President, StockCharts.com

I wrote yesterday about recent selling in commmodity pits pushing the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index into a test of its 200-day average. Today's five point drop has pushed it below that long-term support line in pretty decisive fashion (see red arrow). Chart 1 shows the CRB peaking in early May at 366 and bottoming in mid June at 329.61. The July rally attempt fell short of its May peak thereby leaving a pattern of "lower tops". Today's price drop puts the CRB in danger of breaking its June low. If it does, it will initiate a pattern of "lower peaks" and "lower troughs" which is symptomatic of a peaking market. That would be the first significant sign of a commodity top in five years. Although most commodities are falling today, the biggest weight on the CRB is coming from the energy sector.

$CRB Index

Chip Anderson
About the author: is the founder and president of StockCharts.com. He founded the company after working as a Windows developer and corporate consultant at Microsoft from 1987 to 1997. Since 1999, Chip has guided the growth and development of StockCharts.com into a trusted financial enterprise and highly-valued resource in the industry. In this blog, Chip shares his tips and tricks on how to maximize the tools and resources available at StockCharts.com, and provides updates about new features or additions to the site. Learn More