Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF Makes a Bid to End its Big Digestion


The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) was one of the leading industry group ETFs in the spring after it surged some 164% off its November low. This was clearly a massive gain and the ETF was entitled to a rest. Big meals require long digestive periods and this is exactly what XES did as it traded flat the last nine months. Long-term trend followers might wait for a range breakout to turn bullish. Astute traders can use range support and RSI to identify reversals within the range and get the early jump. Let's investigate.

The chart below shows this big digestive period marked as a large rectangle consolidation (blue outline). There is a clear support zone and XES is reversing off this zone with a solid bounce this week. The blue arrows show a gap down on November 26th and a gap up on December 7th. It is not exactly an island reversal, but it is clearly a reversal off support, and this is bullish price action.

The indicator window shows RSI dipping to a downswing zone three times (blue shading). The cup is half full when RSI is above 50 (upswing) and have empty when RSI is below 50 (downswing). Notice how RSI stayed below 50 for several weeks in March-April and July-August. The break above 50 signaled a momentum breakout and this confirmed the reversals off support. The same thing is happening now as RSI makes a bid to break above 50.   

Looking for more setups like these? Check out Each week we pick the best setups from a core ETF list and include them in the ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups Report. There is also a regularly updated broad market timing model to keep us on the right side of the market trend and an ETF ranking table.

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Arthur Hill, CMT

Chief Technical Strategist,

Author, Define the Trend and Trade the Trend

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Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More
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