PMO Buy Signal Lacks Confirmation


After breaking out from a short-term declining trend channel, the market seems to be losing steam. But, is it? The PMO has just had a positive crossover its 10-EMA triggering a PMO Buy signal. 


We may be looking at a fake-out PMO Buy signal like we saw in early April. Before getting too excited by a positive PMO crossover, let's consult some of our indicator charts from the DP Chart Gallery. The ultra-short-term CVI and Participation- UP are falling after topping in overbought territory, not a promising set-up for a rally.


Short-term indicators look even less favorable with the STVO, STO-B and STO-V all topping in overbought territory.


Intermediate-term indicators look somewhat positive having just had positive crossovers like the PMO, but the indecisive movement since the beginning of April, makes their positive crossovers suspect.


In conclusion, I think the PMO Buy signal is shaky right now given there isn't substantial confirmation coming from our other indicators, especially in the short term. If we see a pullback, horizontal support around 1815 seems reasonable.

Happy Charting!

Erin Swenlin
About the author: is a co-founder of the website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master's degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor's degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California. Learn More
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