DP Bulletin: Dow First to Lose Its PMO BUY Signal - Will Others Follow?


The DecisionPoint Scoreboards nearly made it to "all green" as the NDX was the first to manage a PMO crossover on the weekly chart and the others seemed sure to follow until this recent pullback. To make matters worse, the Dow which had just managed a PMO BUY signal on its daily chart two weeks ago, lost it. 

The new PMO BUY signal was triggered when the daily PMO crossed below its signal line. There's plenty to dislike about this chart. While NDX and Small-Caps enjoy new all-time highs, the Dow has floundered. Trading was below the 50-EMA the entire day and the OBV is beginning to dive. Good-ish news is that support seems available in the short term at 24250. And, the rising trend on the PMO hasn't yet been broken despite today's SELL signal.

To give you some context on how terrible the Dow has been performing among the major indexes, I annotated a chart that shows price relative to the SPX, NDX and Small-Caps. The ratio is dropping very quickly among all. Note the negative divergence as well; declining tops on the relative ratios and rising tops on price.

Looking at the rest of the Scoreboard indexes, you'll note that the margin is still thinning between the PMOs and their signal lines. This means all of these indexes are vulnerable to the same fate as the Dow.

Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

Happy Charting!
- Erin

Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Erin's PMO Scan

DecisionPoint Shared ChartList and DecisionPoint Chart Gallery

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)


SCTR Ranking

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Erin Swenlin
About the author: is a co-founder of the website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master's degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor's degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California. Learn More
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