DP Bulletin: New ST Trend Model Neutral Signal on the DOW - First to Fall


Just a quick bulletin to let you know the Dow Industrials lost the Short-Term Trend Model BUY signal, meaning it has now moved to "Neutral."

The 5-EMA crossed below the 20-EMA, which is what triggered the signal change. Had the negative crossover occurred BELOW the 50-EMA, it would have been a SELL signal. However, it occurred above the 50-EMA, so we deem it a "Neutral" signal. Price has now tested the bottom of the bearish rising wedge successfully... so far. Expectation is a breakdown and, measuring the back of the pattern, the downside target would be right around 24250. I don't think we will see that type of correction, but a breakdown is likely given that the PMO is accelerating lower.

Watch the latest episode of DecisionPoint with Carl & Erin Swenlin LIVE on Fridays 4:30p EST or on the StockCharts TV YouTube channel here!

Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

Happy Charting!
- Erin

Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Erin's PMO Scan

DecisionPoint Shared ChartList and DecisionPoint Chart Gallery

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)


SCTR Ranking

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Erin Swenlin
About the author: is a co-founder of the website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master's degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor's degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California. Learn More
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