Don't Ignore This Chart!

US Moving Towards Leading Quadrant vs. the World..... oh, and Canada Too

Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer

Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

With the S&P 500 jumping to new highs, it's interesting to see how that impacts the position and the rotation of the US vs. the rest of the world.

The RRG above visualizes that. The highlighted area shows both the S&P and the Candian TSX inside the improving quadrant and rotating towards leading. Compared with the other indexes on this RRG, they are the only two moving at a positive RRG-Heading (0-90 degrees). That means that these markets are rapidly picking up strength vs. the rest of the world in this universe.

Looking at the price chart above, it is clear that the recent push to new highs is confirming that the uptrend is still alive and kicking.

The relative strength vs. the DJ Global index is a different story. At the start of November, both RRG-Lines dropped below the 100-level at the same time when the RS-Line broke its rising support line. From that point onwards, the US started lagging behind the performance of the Global index.

That trend seems to be changing again now. The RRG-Lines have both started to rise again, causing a rotation of the S&P into the improving quadrant and heading towards leading. That seems to be an early signal because, based on a visual inspection, the raw RS-Line cannot really be seen as "back in an uptrend."

The daily chart shows that turnaround in a bit more detail and clearer, IMHO.

The rounding bottom in the RS-Line shows a slow-but-sure rotation from a period of underperformance vs. the world into outperformance since early March. Combining these two charts and the current rotation on the RRG puts the US (S&P) back to the forefront of stock markets worldwide again. Together with Canada.

#StaySafe, --Julius

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Julius de Kempenaer
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
CreatorRelative Rotation Graphs
FounderRRG Research
Host ofSector Spotlight

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Feedback, comments or questions are welcome at Juliusdk@stockcharts.com. I cannot promise to respond to each and every message, but I will certainly read them and, where reasonably possible, use the feedback and comments or answer questions.

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Julius de Kempenaer
About the author: is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in January of 2011 and was released on StockCharts.com in July of 2014. After graduating from the Dutch Royal Military Academy, Julius served in the Dutch Air Force in multiple officer ranks. He retired from the military as a captain in 1990 to enter the financial industry as a portfolio manager for Equity & Law (now part of AXA Investment Managers). Learn More