When I brought up the Relative Rotation Graph showing the NYFANG components against $SPX, I made a few interesting observations.
In general, the rotation of almost all tails looks horrible. They are either already inside the lagging quadrant (and) at a negative RRG-Heading, or rotating back to lagging. The two exceptions are TSLA, which is inside improving and at a strong heading, and TSLA, which is inside lagging, but also at a strong heading.
However, when I inspect both of their price charts, I still see a lot of risks. The tails on BABA and BIDU are now strongly rotating back down to the lagging quadrant, which completely confirms their weak price charts.
The tail that I want to focus on for this article is GOOGL (Alphabet).
As you can see on the blown-up RRG, GOOGL made a sharp hook back down to lagging after briefly traveling through improving. Usually, that is not a good sign. And when I look at the price chart, I think this time is no different.
Since the start of this year, GOOGL already tested support near 2500 three times already and is close to a fourth. Relative strength has just broken its floor and is likely to accelerate lower.
Breaking that 2500 support level on the weekly chart (meaning we need to see a Friday close well below 2500) will be a significant deterioration for this chart and likely cause an acceleration lower in price as well. Based on the height of the pattern (range between 2500-3000), a target price can be pegged around 2000.
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