Despite a few discrepancies, the indicator summary remains in the bullish camp. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has yet to break its summer highs, but QQQQ, SPY and DIA have broken through. The NYSE AD Line hit another new high, but the Nasdaq AD Line has yet to take out its summer highs. Most recently, the finance sector has turned into a big underperformer. Even so, leadership from technology is more than making up for this laggard.
- AD Lines: Neutral. The NYSE AD Line hit a new 52-week high again this week (bullish), but the Nasdaq AD Line remains below its August high (bearish).
- AD Volume Lines: Bullish. The NYSE and Nasdaq AD Volume Lines moved above their summer highs to forge higher highs (bullish).
- Net New Highs: Bullish. Nasdaq and NYSE Net New Highs surged to their highest levels since April (bullish).
- Bullish Percent Indices: Bullish. Except for the Nasdaq BPI (49.76%), the BPIs for the other major indices are above 50%. Eight of the nine sector BPIs are above 50%. Finance (45.52%) remains the hold out.
- VIX/VXN: Bullish. The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX) and Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index ($VXN) have been trending lower since late May. Falling volatility means lower risk.
- Trend Structure: Bullish. QQQQ, SPY and DIA broke above their summer highs. IWM remains the lone holdout and has yet to confirm the other three. 3 out of 4 is enough though.
- SPY Momentum: Bullish. MACD(5,35,5) and Aroon (20) moved into positive territory the second week of September and RSI surged above 60.
- Offensive Sector Performance: Bullish. Finance turned into the big laggard, but tech, consumer discretionary and industrials are leading. Again, 3 out of 4 are in bull mode.
- Nasdaq Performance: Bullish. The $COMPQ:$NYA ratio broke above its late August highs and techs are clearly leading the charge.
- Small-cap Performance: Bullish. A small bullish divergence formed in the $RUT:$OEX ratio in mid August and this price relative has been moving higher ever since.
- Breadth Charts have been updated (click here)
About the author:
Arthur Hill, CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London.
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