Art's Charts

Charting a Future Possibility versus the Current Reality

Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill

Chief Technical Strategist,

The chart below shows the Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) with two sets of annotations: a future possibility and the current reality. The future possibility shows that a bullish reversal could be in the making as the ETF held the January low and surged late last week. The current reality, however, is a downtrend that has yet to be reversed.

The blue annotations show a possible support zone that stems from broken resistance (45-46 area). It is also clear that the decline from the November high to the Jan-Feb lows retraced around 2/3 of the prior advance (March low to November high). Thus, we have a normal retracement and a return to broken resistance break, which means this could be a correction.  

Even though CIBR found support and surged late late week, it has yet to reverse the immediate downtrend by breaking above a prior high. Also note that the Trend Composite turned bearish in mid January and price broke support on 21-January (green zone). The Trend Composite signal and breakdown are the dominant chart features. The red shading shows resistance and a break above this level is needed to reverse the immediate downtrend. Thus, the downtrend is in force until proven otherwise.

Recently at TrendInvestorPro we identified new bullish Trend Composite signals in two commodity-related ETFs. The weekend video also showed a bullish setup in an Aerospace & Defense ETF and a short-term breakout in a Clean Energy ETF.   Click here to learn more and gain immediate access.

The Trend Composite is one of 11 indicators in the TrendInvestorPro Indicator Edge Plugin for StockCharts ACP. Other indicators include the Momentum Composite and ATR Trailing Stop. Click here to learn more


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Arthur Hill, CMT

Chief Technical Strategist,

Author, Define the Trend and Trade the Trend

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Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More