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STOCK INDEXES IN P&F UPTRENDS

John Murphy

John Murphy

Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

One of the things I like best about poing & figure charts is their simplicity. Their strongest feature is that buy and sell signals are easier to spot than on bar or candlestick charts. A p&f chart shows alternating columns of X's and O's. The X columns represent rising prices and the O columns falling prices. A buy signal takes place when the latest X column exceeds a previous X column. A sell signal occurs when the last O column falls below a previous O column. Trendlines are drawn at 45 degree angles from previous tops and bottoms. A buy signal is stronger if prices are trading above the red resistance line; conversely, a sell signal is stronger if prices are trading below their blue support line. The sensitivity of the p&f chart can be altered to make it more responsive to short-term trends (a smaller box size) or for longer-range trend signals (larger box size). With all of the recent focus on moving averages and other bar chart indicators, I thought it might be a good time to review current p&f trends in the four major asset classes (stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies). I"ve adjusted box sizes to measure recent short- to intermediate- term trend signals. The first four charts show all major stock indexes in p&f uptrends at the moment. The Dow and NYSE Index are also trading well above their red resistance lines which makes their uptrend stronger (Charts 1 and 2). The S&P 500 has just cleared its red resistance line, but needs to reach 1135 to clear its June high (Chart 3). Chart 4 shows the Nasdaq Composite testing its red resistance line and still trading well below its June high at 2340. Prices in all four stock indexes would have to fall below a previous O column to reverse recent buy signals.

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John Murphy
About the author: is the Chief Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com, a renowned author in the investment field and a former technical analyst for CNBC, and is considered the father of inter-market technical analysis. With over 40 years of market experience, he is the author of numerous popular works including “Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets” and “Trading with Intermarket Analysis”. Before joining StockCharts, John was the technical analyst for CNBC-TV for seven years on the popular show Tech Talk, and has authored three best-selling books on the subject: Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, Trading with Intermarket Analysis and The Visual Investor. Learn More