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DOLLAR INDEX BOUNCES OFF 200-DAY LINE

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An impressive upside reversal day on Wednesday enabled the Power Shares US Dollar Index (UUP) to bounce off its 200-day moving average as shown in Chart 1 (see arrow). That dollar turnaround was apparently the result of Mr. Bernanke omitting any mention of QE3 in his testimony before Congress that day. That's dollar friendly since infusions of more money into the system resulting from Fed bond purchases weakens the dollar. At the same time, the European Central Bank (ECB) spent more than expected on the second round of its Long-Term Financing Operation (LTRO). LTRO involves three-year loans to European banks at 1%. That had the effect of weakening the Euro. The immediate reaction in all of the financial markets was fairly dramatic. Stocks sold off in the heaviest trading this year. U.S. bond yields jumped. [Fed buying of longer-dated bond maturities has kept yields unusually low]. The biggest gainer was the U.S. dollar. The biggest losers were precious metals.

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John Murphy
About the author: is the Chief Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com, a renowned author in the investment field and a former technical analyst for CNBC, and is considered the father of inter-market technical analysis. With over 40 years of market experience, he is the author of numerous popular works including “Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets” and “Trading with Intermarket Analysis”. Before joining StockCharts, John was the technical analyst for CNBC-TV for seven years on the popular show Tech Talk, and has authored three best-selling books on the subject: Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, Trading with Intermarket Analysis and The Visual Investor. Learn More
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