NDX at Breaking Point


If you look at the DP Scoreboards by themselves, you would note that the NDX appears to have internal strength given that two July BUY signals are still intact in the intermediate term. However, a look at the charts reveals those signals are about to break. 

The Intermediate-Term Trend Model signals are on the daily chart. They are determined by 20/50-EMA crossovers in relation to the 200-EMA. In the case of the NDX below, you can see that an ITTM Neutral signal is likely to trigger next week. 

The weekly chart went final today and the NDX narrowly avoided an IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signal by .01. A SELL signal will likely appear on next Friday's chart. 

The monthly chart which the LT PMO signals are generated from shows not only a current LT PMO SELL signal but a new top below the signal line which is also quite bearish. 

Conclusion: Although the DecisionPoint Scoreboard for the NDX appears bullish in the intermediate term, the weakness of the charts shows that all BUY signals in the intermediate term will be extinguished next week.

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Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

Happy Charting!
- Erin

Erin Swenlin
About the author: is a co-founder of the website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master's degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor's degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California. Learn More
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