Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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About the author: retired from Eaton Vance Management in January 2020 after a 40-year career in US fixed income with an emphasis on technical analysis and relative value investing. He joined Eaton Vance as the Senior Trader for the Investment Grade Fixed Income team in 2005. During his tenure, he was a portfolio manager for institutional separate accounts and mutual funds, managed the team’s inflation assets, and was the team’s strategist for duration, relative value, and economic positioning. From 1992 to 2005, he provided private investing and trading consultation to institutional buy side, broker-dealers, and hedge funds. Learn More

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Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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Gold Top? Focus on These Potential Price Objectives

by Stewart Taylor

In early 2024, gold reached the price objective derived from the breakout of the large triangle that had evolved beginning in early 2022. Upon reaching the area of the objective, a classic buying climax halted the trend...Read More 

Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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Stock Market Behavior: Separating Signal From Noise

by Stewart Taylor

My initial intent was to focus on the number of major equity indices near their all-time highs or attempting to break out of long-term ranges, and how their behaviors around those prior highs over coming months will likely offer significant insight into what comes next...Read More 

Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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Important Inflection Point in FXI: Is It Time To Accumulate?

by Stewart Taylor

The iShares China Large-Cap exchange-traded fund (FXI) holds the 50 largest large-cap Chinese stocks that trade on the Hong Kong exchange. FXI could soon make a secondary test of its 2022 low. A successful test will show strength, but a failed test will show weakness...Read More 

Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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The Bond Market is Signaling a Potential Short-Term Trading Opportunity

by Stewart Taylor

In our last piece, we presented a long term/secular outlook for intermediate-term Treasuries, where we concluded that the structural break above the secular downtrend from the September 1981 high, coupled with the push above the November 2018 pivot @ 3...Read More 

Fill The Gap by CMT Association

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Decoding 10-Year Treasury Yields: A Monthly/Secular Perspective Overview

by Stewart Taylor

I begin each year by reviewing the long-term technical positions and behaviors of the "Big Four" — 10-year yields, S&P 500 ($SPX), Commodities, and the US Dollar...Read More