Don't Ignore This Chart!

Forces Are Shifting in The Battle Between INTC and MSFT


When you open up and go to Your Dashboard, one thing you'll find is a section called "Market Movers", located in the top-right corner of your screen.

I currently have this section of the page set up so that it shows the top 10 most active stocks inside the Dow Jones Industrials index. This way, it gives me a quick overview and general idea about the market behavior for the day. To expand that overview a bit further, I can then click on the RRG link below the table, which will run the Relative Rotation Graph for those ten stocks.

The default benchmark is $SPX, but that can easily be changed to any other benchmark if needed. In this particular case, I change the benchmark to $INDU, as I am looking at the most active stock inside that index.

That gives me the RRG below.

Now, the table from my dashboard has been translated into a visual overview. Two interesting rotations stand out. Inside the leading quadrant, MSFT has rolled over and is now heading down towards the weakening quadrant. Simultaneously, inside the lagging quadrant, INTC has made an opposite move and is now rotating upward towards the improving quadrant.

Although MSFT is still at the far right-hand side of the RRG, which means a strong relative trend, while INTC is at the far left-hand side of the RRG (weak relative trend) on the weekly time-frame, they may offer a nice (pair-trading) opportunity.

As a final investigation, we need to look at the actual chart(s) for those stocks. For this article, I have created a chart of INTC with relative strength and RRG-Lines against MSFT.

Starting with the relative analysis, we can see the sharp drop in relative strength from April into May and the stabilization in June. That stabilization has caused the RRG-Lines to converge and work their way up to the 100-level.

Be careful as these RRG-Lines are INTC vs. MSFT and on a daily time frame, so they are a different, more granular comparison than that on the weekly RRG above.

The RS-line is now pushing against the upper boundary of the range it has been moving in recently. A breakout from that range will be the trigger for a move higher in RS and a further improvement of INTC over MSFT.

On the price chart, a new channel is starting to develop. A break above the overhead resistance near $50 will certainly help the improvement of relative strength for this pair.

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Julius de Kempenaer
Senior Technical Analyst,
Creator, Relative Rotation Graphs
Founder, RRG Research

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RRG, Relative Rotation Graphs, JdK RS-Ratio, and JdK RS-Momentum are registered trademarks of RRG Research.

Julius de Kempenaer
About the author: is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in January of 2011 and was released on in July of 2014. After graduating from the Dutch Royal Military Academy, Julius served in the Dutch Air Force in multiple officer ranks. He retired from the military as a captain in 1990 to enter the financial industry as a portfolio manager for Equity & Law (now part of AXA Investment Managers). Learn More
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